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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2255
Positioning
Market Dominance
Mining
Non-Metallic And Industrial Metal Mining
$174M
Paul West-Sells
Western Copper and Gold Corporation engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Canada. The company explores for gold, copper, silver, and molybdenum deposits. Its principal property is the Casino mineral property that comprise 1,136 full and partial quartz claims, and 55 placer claims.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$VALE Vale S.A. | 75 | 88 | 93 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SU SUNCOR ENERGY INC | 74 | 87 | 90 | 53 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRX TRX GOLD Corp | 72 | 83 | 77 | 96 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ORLA Orla Mining Ltd. | 72 | 94 | 83 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$KGC KINROSS GOLD CORP | 71 | 83 | 89 | 79 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD | 71 | 80 | 80 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$RIO RIO TINTO PLC | 70 | 76 | 84 | 64 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IAG IAMGOLD CORP | 70 | 71 | 82 | 89 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NGD New Gold Inc. /FI | 70 | 76 | 67 | 92 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp | 70 | 77 | 90 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$WRN Western Copper & Gold Corp | 49 | 27 | 23 | 88 | 116.5x | - | -14.6% | -14.4% | - | - | - | -74.6% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $174M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 13.7x | 5.2x | 4.3% | 3.9% | 45.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
Western Copper & Gold Corp (WRN) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 48.5/100. It ranks #2255 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Mining sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for WRN.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 27 | 16 | +11ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 88 | 93 | -5NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 23 | 13 | +10ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 52 | 84 | -32DRAG |
| STABILITY | 48 | 50 | -2NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 51 | 60 | -9DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy -14.6% (sector 4.3%)
GM N/A vs sector 46%, OM N/A vs sector 8%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth -75%, 8yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Western Copper & Gold Corp (WRN) as a Reduce with a composite score of 48.5/100 at a current price of $3.43. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
Western Copper & Gold Corp holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Mining sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 48.5/100 places it at rank #2255 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at -75% and momentum in the 88th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
No Moat
Medium
Poor
Fair Value
Positive momentum indicates institutional accumulation.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Elevated P/E ratio of 116.5x leaves little room for execution misses.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Western Copper & Gold Corp represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Western Copper & Gold Corp receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 48.5/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2255 out of 7,333 stocks. WRN's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
WRN's quality score of 27/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of -14.6% (sector avg: 4.3%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
WRN registers a value score of just 23/100, suggesting the stock trades at a significant premium to its fundamental metrics. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 116.55x, a P/B ratio of 4.86x. High-premium valuations like this require strong future execution to avoid multiple compression, and downside risk is elevated if growth disappoints.
With an investment score of 52/100, WRN exhibits moderate growth-oriented spending. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -74.6% vs. a sector average of 0.1% and a return on assets of -14.4% (sector: 3.9%). The company appears to be balancing growth investments with capital returns, though the pace of investment may not be enough to accelerate top-line growth meaningfully.
WRN shows strong momentum characteristics with a score of 88/100. The stock has been trending above key moving averages, indicating solid demand from institutional buyers. Revenue growth stands at -74.6% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.75 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. This level of momentum typically signals sustained investor confidence and favorable near-term price action.
With a stability score of 48/100, WRN exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.75 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
The short interest score of 51/100 for WRN suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include micro-cap liquidity risk. With a $174M market cap (micro-cap), Western Copper & Gold Corp may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
Western Copper & Gold Corp is a micro-cap company in the Mining sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2255 of 7,333 overall (69th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -14.6% trailing the 4.3% sector median. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Mining peers.
While WRN currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the MINING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
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Improvement in Value (23) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 440% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Debt/Equity 100% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Div. Yield NaN% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Western Copper and Gold (TSE:WRN) has secured C$80 million through a bought-deal underwriting agreement for 19,277,500 common shares at C$4.15 each, with an additional over-allotment option. This financing, finalized on February 12, 2026, reinforces the company's strategy of using equity markets to fund its project development. While Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, rates the stock Neutral due to weak financial performance, it notes a strong balance sheet and supportive technical momentum.
Western Copper and Gold (TSX/NYSE: WRN) has announced a C$50 million bought deal financing, consisting of 12,048,400 common shares at C$4.15 each. The net proceeds are intended to fund permitting and engineering activities for the Casino Project in the Yukon, as well as for general corporate purposes. An underwriters' option could increase the total gross proceeds to approximately C$57.5 million, with closing expected around February 26, 2026, subject to regulatory approvals.
Western Copper and Gold Corporation has appointed Mark E. Smith, a professional engineer with 45 years of global mining experience, to its Board of Directors. Smith's extensive background in the Yukon and his expertise in technical and environmental standards are expected to be invaluable as the company advances its Casino Project. Both the CEO and Chairman emphasized his contributions to sustainable and environmentally sound copper and gold projects.
Stakeholder Gold Corp. CEO Christopher Berlet discussed the company's Ballarat Gold-Copper Project in Yukon's White Gold District, highlighting its extensive land package and proximity to major economic gold and copper deposits. The company plans a maiden diamond drill program on the Skye Gold Zone and Loki Copper Zone, having received exploration approval from the Yukon Government. Additionally, Stakeholder Gold operates a quartzite building stone subsidiary in Brazil, which is expected to generate significant cash flow to fund future Yukon exploration.
Western Copper and Gold has filed a final prospectus for a public offering of common shares valued at C$80 million, with a potential increase to C$92 million. This financing aims to support the advancement of its flagship Casino copper-gold project in Yukon. The offering is expected to close around February 26, 2026, pending regulatory approvals.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081