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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1426
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Chemicals
$54.6B
Seifollah Ghasemi
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. provides atmospheric gases, process and specialty gases, equipment, and services worldwide. The company designs and manufactures equipment for air separation, hydrocarbon recovery and purification, natural gas liquefaction, and liquid helium and liquid hydrogen transport and storage. It has a strategic collaboration with Baker Hughes Company to develop hydrogen compression systems.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$APD Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. | 54 | 47 | 62 | 40 | 169.9x | 208.1x | 2.1% | 0.9% | 31.6% | -1.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 131.0x | $54.6B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (APD) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 53.8/100. It ranks #1426 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for APD.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 47 | 38 | +9ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 40 | 29 | +11ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 62 | 57 | +5NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 36 | 63 | -27DRAG |
| STABILITY | 83 | 88 | -5NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 61 | 72 | -11DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 2.1% (sector -1.9%)
GM 32% vs sector 44%, OM -2% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover N/A, R&D intensity 0.7%
Rev growth 4%, 11yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (APD) as a Hold with a composite score of 53.8/100 at a current price of $279.61. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 53.8/100 places it at rank #1426 in our full universe.
No Moat
Medium
Poor
Undervalued
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Elevated P/E ratio of 169.9x leaves little room for execution misses.
Leverage of 131% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. a Hold rating, with a composite score of 53.8/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1426 of 7,333 stocks, APD presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 47/100, APD shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 2.1% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 31.6% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of 2.2% (sector avg: 1.0%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
APD's value score of 62/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 169.90x, an EV/EBITDA of 208.06x, a P/B ratio of 3.51x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.'s investment score of 36/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 3.9% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of 0.9% (sector: 0.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
APD is currently showing below-average momentum at 40/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 3.9% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.80 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
APD shows good financial stability with a score of 83/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.80 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 131.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
APD carries a short interest score of 61/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 131.00x). At $54.6B market cap (large-cap), Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
APD pays a solid dividend yield of 2.9%, contributing an income component to total returns. This moderate yield suggests a balance between returning capital to shareholders and retaining earnings for reinvestment — a common profile among quality compounders.
Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. is a large-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1426 of 7,333 overall (81st percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 2.1% exceeding the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of -1.6% below the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While APD currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Stability (83) vs Investment (36) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 1716% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 209% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 28% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
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The latest update to the Air Products and Chemicals narrative comes with only a very small uplift in fair value, moving from about US$300.43 to about US$301.73, paired with a slight trim to the discount rate from about 7.97% to about 7.97% and a marginal shift in revenue growth assumptions from about 5.59% to about 5.57%. These tiny tweaks reflect how analysts are weighing optimism around the project backlog and management’s ability to deliver against ongoing questions about execution risk...
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