WEYS

We rate WEYCO GROUP INC (WEYS) as a Hold with a composite score of 53.0/100 at a current price of $31.45. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling for existing holders. Our factors are split, and the overall profile suggests patience is warranted.

The rating is primarily driven by strength in value (82th percentile) and quality (58th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. Offsetting weakness in investment (32th percentile) and momentum (38th percentile) tempers our overall conviction. We assign a Narrow Moat rating (40/100), Low uncertainty, and Standard capital allocation.

Key items to watch: momentum to confirm whether the current price trend has legs. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.

WEYCO GROUP INC holds a mid-tier position (#31 of 50) within the Wholesale Trade sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 53.0/100 places it at rank #1532 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $287M in market capitalization, WEYCO GROUP INC is a small-cap player in the Wholesale Trade space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.

Revenue is growing at 14%, though momentum at the 38th percentile suggests the market has not yet fully recognized this trajectory. This potential disconnect between fundamental improvement and market recognition could represent an opportunity for patient investors if the growth trend persists.

The margin cascade tells an important story: gross margins of 43% (+20.8pp vs sector) narrow to operating margins of 10% (+7.2pp vs sector) and net margins of 8.0%, yielding a gross-to-net conversion rate of 18%. This conversion rate is typical for the sector, suggesting a standard cost structure without notable efficiency advantages or disadvantages.

At a current price of $31.45, WEYCO GROUP INC appears undervalued relative to its fundamentals. Our value factor score of 82/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. The stock screens as attractively priced on a majority of these measures, suggesting the market may be underappreciating the underlying fundamentals.

The stock currently trades at a P/E of 13.6x (a 28% discount to the sector median of 19.1x), EV/EBITDA of 9.8x (near the sector median), P/B of 1.2x, P/S of 1.1x. The below-sector P/E suggests possible undervaluation or the market pricing in near-term headwinds.

We assign a Low uncertainty rating to WEYCO GROUP INC. The company exhibits strong financial stability with a beta of 1.14, conservative leverage (21% D/E), and a stability factor in the 52th percentile. The predictable nature of the business model and solid financial position reduce the range of potential outcomes, giving us confidence in our fair value estimate.

We identify no major risk factors at this time. The company's stability factor sits at the 52th percentile with quality at the 58th percentile, both of which support our low-risk assessment. The absence of material leverage, profitability, or volatility concerns reduces the likelihood of a permanent capital loss scenario.

Key risk mitigants include: healthy gross margins of 43% provide a buffer against cost pressures; conservative leverage (21% D/E) limits balance sheet risk; a 10.17% dividend yield anchors total return. These factors partially offset the identified risks and provide downside protection in adverse scenarios. On balance, the risk-reward profile is favorable for long-term investors.

We rate WEYCO GROUP INC's capital allocation as Standard. Management has shown adequate — though not exceptional — stewardship of shareholder capital. Returns on equity stand at 8.9%, and the balance sheet is managed within acceptable parameters (D/E: 21%). Exemplary allocators typically sustain ROE above 20% and D/E below 50%; WEYCO GROUP INC falls short on at least one dimension.

There is room for improvement in optimizing the capital structure or enhancing shareholder returns. The 10.17% dividend yield provides some income return, but the overall capital allocation framework would benefit from either higher reinvestment returns, improved balance sheet efficiency, or increased shareholder distributions. We will monitor for signs of strategic improvement that could warrant an upgrade.

In summary, WEYCO GROUP INC receives a Hold rating with a composite score of 53.0/100 (rank #1532 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a Narrow Moat (40/100, trend: stable), Low uncertainty, and Standard capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 52/100.

Our analysis supports a neutral stance on WEYCO GROUP INC. While the quantitative profile is not weak enough to warrant selling, it lacks the multi-factor strength required for a buy recommendation. Existing holders should maintain positions and monitor for catalysts — either fundamental improvement or valuation compression — that would shift the risk-reward balance.