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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#4013
Positioning
Market Dominance
Mining
Non-Metallic And Industrial Metal Mining
$128M
George M. Bee
U.S. Gold Corp. explores for gold, copper, silver, and zinc deposits. The company holds interest in the CK Gold project located in the Silver Crown mining district of southeast Wyoming.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$VALE Vale S.A. | 75 | 88 | 93 | 67 | - | - | 15.8% | 6.9% | 36.6% | 22.8% | 15.9% | -8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $38.7B | VS | |
$SU SUNCOR ENERGY INC | 74 | 87 | 90 | 53 | - | - | 13.1% | 6.5% | 58.3% | 18.4% | 11.0% | -3.6% | 4.9% | 29.0x | $46.0B | VS | |
$TRX TRX GOLD Corp | 72 | 83 | 77 | 96 | - | - | 10.7% | 6.1% | 41.5% | 27.8% | 11.4% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 2.0x | $104M | VS | |
$ORLA Orla Mining Ltd. | 72 | 94 | 83 | 78 | - | - | 19.6% | 15.7% | 74.8% | 47.5% | 26.2% | 47.2% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $1.7B | VS | |
$KGC KINROSS GOLD CORP | 71 | 83 | 89 | 79 | - | - | 15.1% | 9.3% | 37.8% | 31.6% | 20.0% | 21.3% | 1.3% | 21.0x | $11.4B | VS | |
$AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD | 71 | 80 | 80 | 71 | - | - | 9.4% | 6.5% | 60.5% | 36.0% | 22.9% | 25.0% | 2.0% | 6.0x | $38.9B | VS | |
$RIO RIO TINTO PLC | 70 | 76 | 84 | 64 | - | - | 20.3% | 11.2% | 23.0% | 20.1% | 23.1% | -1.3% | 11.2% | 26.0x | $93.8B | VS | |
$IAG IAMGOLD CORP | 70 | 71 | 82 | 89 | - | - | 29.9% | 17.1% | 33.7% | 57.8% | 51.9% | 65.4% | 0.0% | 34.0x | $2.5B | VS | |
$NGD New Gold Inc. /FI | 70 | 76 | 67 | 92 | - | - | 11.1% | 4.8% | 52.8% | 19.7% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 38.0x | $1.7B | VS | |
$PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp | 70 | 77 | 90 | 65 | - | - | 6.6% | 3.6% | 34.4% | 11.0% | 5.9% | -10.0% | 0.0% | 52.0x | $876M | VS | |
$USAU U.S. GOLD CORP. | 36 | 19 | 21 | 60 | - | - | -56.0% | -52.5% | - | - | - | - | 0.0% | 7.0x | $128M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 13.7x | 5.2x | 4.0% | 3.9% | 43.2% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
U.S. GOLD CORP. (USAU) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 36.0/100. It ranks #4013 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Equity capital efficiency
Asset base utilization
Financial leverage load
Direct cash return
George M. Bee
Chief Executive Officer
Labor Force
4
19
25
47
Audit Verdict: Lower quality and stability scores may indicate governance concerns.
No recent insider transactions available for USAU
Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Mining sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for USAU.
View All RatingsHigh margin volatility — erratic forensic earnings quality
| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 19 | 6 | +13ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 60 | 63 | -3NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 21 | 11 | +10ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 25 | 17 | +8ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 47 | 45 | +2NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 45 | 44 | +1NEUTRAL |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy -56.0% (sector 4.0%)
GM N/A vs sector 43%, OM N/A vs sector 12%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth N/A, 11yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
Our quantitative model flags U.S. GOLD CORP. with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 36.0/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #4013 of 7,333 stocks, USAU falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
U.S. GOLD CORP. registers a weak quality score of just 19/100, indicating significant profitability challenges. The company reports a return on equity of -56.0% (sector avg: 4.0%). Low quality scores are often associated with businesses in turnaround mode, early-stage growth, or structurally challenged industries.
USAU registers a value score of just 21/100, suggesting the stock trades at a significant premium to its fundamental metrics. Key valuation metrics include a P/B ratio of 11.04x. High-premium valuations like this require strong future execution to avoid multiple compression, and downside risk is elevated if growth disappoints.
U.S. GOLD CORP.'s investment score of 25/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include a return on assets of -52.5% (sector: 3.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
USAU demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 60/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth data is not currently available, while a beta of 0.53 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
With a stability score of 47/100, USAU exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.53 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 7.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
The short interest score of 45/100 for USAU suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 7.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. With a $128M market cap (micro-cap), U.S. GOLD CORP. may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
U.S. GOLD CORP. is a micro-cap company in the Mining sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #4013 of 7,333 overall (45th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -56.0% trailing the 4.0% sector median. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Mining peers.
While USAU currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the MINING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
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Improvement in Quality (19) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 1515% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Debt/Equity 2592% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
Div. Yield NaN% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
AUDIT DATA AS OF JUL 31, 2025 (Q2 FY2025)
We rate U.S. GOLD CORP. (USAU) as Avoid with a composite score of 36.0/100 at a current price of $17.95. The stock falls in the bottom quintile of our universe across key quantitative factors, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
The rating is primarily driven by strength in momentum (60th percentile) and stability (47th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. Offsetting weakness in quality (19th percentile) and value (21th percentile) tempers our overall conviction. We assign a No Moat rating (19/100), Medium uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation.
Key items to watch: valuation compression risk if growth disappoints. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.
U.S. GOLD CORP. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Mining sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 36.0/100 places it at rank #4013 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $128M in market capitalization, U.S. GOLD CORP. is a small-cap player in the Mining space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.
Momentum indicators (60th percentile) are constructive regarding the near-term price trend. Revenue growth data is unavailable, limiting our ability to confirm whether momentum is fundamentally supported.
Margin data is not available for U.S. GOLD CORP., which limits our assessment of the company's cost structure and operating efficiency. We rely on factor-based signals to infer business quality in the absence of detailed margin data.
At a current price of $17.95, U.S. GOLD CORP. is trading at a premium to fundamental value. Our value factor score of 21/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. The premium valuation implies the market is pricing in significant future growth or quality improvements that are not yet fully reflected in current fundamentals.
The stock currently trades at P/B of 11.0x. We evaluate these multiples in the context of both absolute levels and sector-relative positioning to form our valuation view.
A conservative balance sheet (7% D/E) provides financial flexibility for acquisitions, buybacks, or weathering economic downturns without dilution.
The Avoid rating (composite 36.0/100) reflects multi-factor weakness, and historically, stocks in this scoring range have underperformed the market by a meaningful margin.
Below-average quality (19th percentile) raises durability concerns about the fundamental profile and increases the risk of negative earnings surprises.
We assign a Medium uncertainty rating to U.S. GOLD CORP.. The stock presents a balanced risk profile: weak quality scores (19th percentile) and low beta of 0.53 — while defensive, this may indicate limited upside participation in bull markets. While not risk-free, the core business fundamentals are adequate to withstand moderate economic stress, and the range of potential outcomes around our fair value estimate is manageable.
Specific risk factors that inform our assessment include: weak quality scores (19th percentile); low beta of 0.53 — while defensive, this may indicate limited upside participation in bull markets. Each of these factors independently widens the distribution of potential outcomes, and in combination they create a risk profile that demands careful position sizing. The stability factor at the 47th percentile and quality factor at the 19th percentile provide a quantitative summary of the overall risk landscape.
Key risk mitigants include: conservative leverage (7% D/E) limits balance sheet risk. These factors partially offset the identified risks and provide downside protection in adverse scenarios. On balance, the risk-reward profile is favorable for long-term investors.
We rate U.S. GOLD CORP.'s capital allocation as Poor. Key concerns include low returns on equity (-56.0%), weak asset returns (ROA -52.5%). Exemplary capital allocators generate ROE above 20% and maintain conservative leverage — U.S. GOLD CORP. significantly underperforms these benchmarks, raising questions about management's ability to create shareholder value.
Investors should scrutinize management's reinvestment decisions and balance sheet trajectory before committing capital. Poor capital allocation often compounds over time: overlevered balance sheets limit strategic flexibility, while low returns on capital destroy shareholder value. We would need to see sustained improvement in profitability metrics and balance sheet discipline before considering an upgrade.
In summary, U.S. GOLD CORP. receives a Avoid rating with a composite score of 36.0/100 (rank #4013 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a No Moat (19/100, trend: stable), Medium uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 34/100.
Our analysis does not support a constructive view on U.S. GOLD CORP. at this time. The combination of limited competitive advantages, medium uncertainty, and poor capital allocation suggests unfavorable risk-reward at current levels. We recommend investors avoid new positions and existing holders consider reducing exposure.
Analysis derived from Blank Capital Research quantitative terminal. For informational purposes only. No trade solicitation. Past performance not indicative of future results. Consult a qualified advisor.
We do not assign U.S. GOLD CORP. a meaningful economic moat, scoring 19/100 on our composite assessment. Current fundamentals do not demonstrate the kind of durable competitive advantages — such as superior returns on invested capital, margin superiority, or reinvestment efficiency — that would protect the company from competitive erosion over the long term. The highest-scoring pillar, margin superiority, reached only 10/20.
The strongest moat sources are margin superiority (10/20) and financial resilience (6.8/20). GM N/A vs sector 43%, OM N/A vs sector 12%. Interest coverage N/A. These pillars form the core of U.S. GOLD CORP.'s competitive identity and are the primary drivers of excess returns in our framework.
Areas of relative weakness include reinvestment efficiency (0/20) and growth durability (0/20). Capital turnover N/A. Improvement in these areas could meaningfully widen the moat over time, while deterioration would be an early warning of competitive erosion.
Our moat trend assessment is Stable. Multi-year ROIC and operating margin trajectories show neither meaningful improvement nor deterioration, suggesting the competitive position is steady. We expect U.S. GOLD CORP.'s moat profile to remain largely unchanged absent a material shift in return on capital or industry dynamics.
Key profit drivers are not clearly identifiable from current fundamentals. This may reflect a company in transition, a cyclical downturn, or structural challenges in the business model. We assign a quality factor of 19/100 which further underscores our concern regarding earnings sustainability.
Return metrics include ROE of -56.0% and ROA of -52.5%. Relative to the Mining sector, sector comparison data is limited, and ROE of -56.0% compares to a sector median of 4.0%.
The balance sheet reflects a conservatively managed balance sheet with D/E of 7%. The sector median D/E is 0%, putting U.S. GOLD CORP. at higher leverage than the typical peer. Overall balance sheet health is adequate for the current business environment.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
U.S. Gold Corp. (Nasdaq: USAU) ("U.S. Gold" or the "Company") is pleased to announce its participation in the upcoming Emerging Growth Conference on February 25, 2026 (the "Conference").
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CHEYENNE — U.S. Gold Corp., the gold exploration and development company spearheading the CK Gold Mine west of Cheyenne, announced Dec. 23 that the company has raised $31.2 million through a private stock offering — money that will be used to fund preliminary projects while in-progress studies near completion. The CK Gold Mine is a copper and gold mine proposed to be built on land 20 miles ...