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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3819
Positioning
Market Dominance
Mining
Non-Metallic And Industrial Metal Mining
$2.6B
Gerard Barron
TMC the metals company Inc. focuses on the collection, processing, and refining of polymetallic nodules found on the seafloor in the Clarion Clipperton Zone (CCZ) in the south-west of San Diego, California. Company primarily explores for nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese products.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$VALE Vale S.A. | 75 | 88 | 93 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SU SUNCOR ENERGY INC | 74 | 87 | 90 | 53 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRX TRX GOLD Corp | 72 | 83 | 77 | 96 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ORLA Orla Mining Ltd. | 72 | 94 | 83 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$KGC KINROSS GOLD CORP | 71 | 83 | 89 | 79 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD | 71 | 80 | 80 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$RIO RIO TINTO PLC | 70 | 76 | 84 | 64 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IAG IAMGOLD CORP | 70 | 71 | 82 | 89 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NGD New Gold Inc. /FI | 70 | 76 | 67 | 92 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp | 70 | 77 | 90 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TMC TMC the metals Co Inc. | 38 | 34 | 33 | 58 | 13.2x | - | 951.8% | -170.8% | - | -99767.6% | -116463.3% | 226.6% | 0.0% | - | $2.6B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 13.7x | 5.2x | 4.3% | 3.9% | 45.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
TMC the metals Co Inc. (TMC) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 37.7/100. It ranks #3819 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Mining sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for TMC.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 34 | 30 | +4NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 58 | 61 | -3NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 33 | 29 | +4NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 25 | 12 | +13ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 9 | 2 | +7ALPHA |
| SHORT INT | 65 | 80 | -15DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 951.8% (sector 4.3%)
GM N/A vs sector 46%, OM -99768% vs sector 8%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth 227%, 5yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate TMC the metals Co Inc. (TMC) as Avoid with a composite score of 37.7/100 at a current price of $6.41. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
TMC the metals Co Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Mining sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 37.7/100 places it at rank #3819 in our full universe.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Returns on equity of 951.8% exceed cost of capital.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
TMC the metals Co Inc. represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags TMC the metals Co Inc. with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 37.7/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #3819 of 7,333 stocks, TMC falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
TMC's quality score of 34/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of 951.8% (sector avg: 4.3%), net margins of -116463.3% (sector avg: 5.8%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 33/100, TMC appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 13.20x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
TMC the metals Co Inc.'s investment score of 25/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 226.6% vs. a sector average of 0.1% and a return on assets of -170.8% (sector: 3.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
TMC demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 58/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at 226.6% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.62 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
TMC the metals Co Inc. registers a low stability score of 9/100, indicating high volatility and potentially stressed financial conditions. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.62. Stocks at this level carry elevated capital loss risk and may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios without careful risk management.
TMC carries a short interest score of 65/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include high market sensitivity (beta: 1.62). At $2.6B market cap (mid-cap), TMC the metals Co Inc. offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
TMC the metals Co Inc. is a mid-cap company in the Mining sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3819 of 7,333 overall (48th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 951.8% exceeding the 4.3% sector median and operating margins of -99767.6% below the 7.6% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Mining peers.
While TMC currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the MINING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Mining Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Stability (9) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 22035% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Op. Margin 1318034% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Div. Yield NaN% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
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Regulatory milestone puts TMC the metals (NasdaqGS:TMC) in focus TMC the metals (NasdaqGS:TMC) has moved into the spotlight after securing a key permitting milestone for its deep sea mining projects, a development tied directly to progressing its polymetallic nodule assets toward commercialization. See our latest analysis for TMC the metals. The permitting milestone comes after a mixed stretch for the stock, with a 1 day share price return of 1.20% to US$5.90, a 30 day share price return...
We recently published an article titled 11 Best Canadian Growth Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. On January 23, Alliance Global increased its price target on TMC the metals company Inc. (NASDAQ:TMC) to $12.25 from $6.50 while maintaining a Buy rating, reflecting growing confidence in the company’s regulatory and operational progress. The revision follows […]
TMC the metals (NasdaqGS:TMC) is seeking regulatory approval from the U.N. backed International Seabed Authority to begin commercial deep sea mining for battery grade metals. The International Seabed Authority has not yet finalized its mining code, so TMC’s production plans remain contingent on that process. The company has outlined a goal to start production by late 2027, with its initial project framed as a key value driver for the business and the broader deep sea mining industry. TMC...
TMC The Metals Company (NasdaqGS:TMC) is progressing its undersea mining plans for polymetallic nodules while facing unresolved regulatory questions. The company is preparing its first potential commercial project in international waters, which still requires approval from the International Seabed Authority before production can start. Recent updates highlight both the prospect of accessing critical metals from the seafloor and the operational and technological hurdles that remain. TMC The...