Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast
Company Overview — What Does Origin Materials, Inc. Do?
Origin Materials, Inc. operates as a carbon negative materials company. Its proprietary platform technology converts biomass or plant-based carbon into chloromethylfurfural and hydrothermal carbon, as well as other minor products. The company is headquartered in West Sacramento, California. Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) is classified as a micro-cap stock in the Materials sector, specifically within the Chemicals industry. The company is led by CEO John Bissell and employs approximately 160 people. With a market capitalization of $12M, ORGN is one of the notable companies in the Materials sector.
Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) Stock Rating — Reduce (April 2026)
As of April 2026, Origin Materials, Inc. receives a Reduce rating with a composite score of 23.3/100 and 2 out of 5 stars from the Blank Capital Research quantitative model.ORGN ranks #3,749 out of 4,446 stocks in our coverage universe. Within the Materials sector, Origin Materials, Inc. ranks #265 of 284 stocks, placing it in the lower half of its Materials peers. The rating is generated by a multi-factor model that weighs quality (30%), momentum (25%), value (15%), investment (10%), stability (10%), and short interest (10%).
ORGN Stock Price and 52-Week Range
Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) currently trades at $1.95. The stock lost $0.02 (1.0%) in the most recent trading session. The 52-week high for ORGN is $0.95, which means the stock is currently trading 105.4% from its annual peak. The 52-week low is $0.11, putting the stock 1672.7% above its annual trough. Recent trading volume was 51K shares, suggesting relatively thin trading activity.
Is ORGN Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis
Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) carries a value factor score of 6/100 in the Blank Capital model, signaling premium valuation that prices in significant future growth. The price-to-book ratio stands at 0.11x, versus the sector average of 2.83x. The price-to-sales ratio is 0.49x, compared to 0.74x for the average Materials stock.
At current multiples, Origin Materials, Inc. trades at a premium to most Materials peers. This elevated valuation may be justified if the company can sustain above-average growth rates and profitability, but it also creates downside risk if earnings disappoint expectations.
Origin Materials, Inc. Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score
Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) earns a quality factor score of 22/100, signaling below-average profitability metrics relative to the broader market. The return on equity (ROE) is -88.6%, compared to the Materials sector average of 3.3%, which is below typical expectations for high-quality companies. Return on assets (ROA) comes in at -58.6% versus the sector average of 0.6%.
On a margin basis, Origin Materials, Inc. reports gross margins of 0.0%, compared to 29.8% for the sector. The operating margin is -404.2% (sector: 6.0%). Net profit margin stands at -376.6%, versus 3.0% for the average Materials stock. Revenue growth is running at -33.8% on a trailing basis, compared to 1.8% for the sector. Profitability is below benchmark levels, which may reflect industry headwinds, elevated reinvestment, or structural challenges.
ORGN Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health
Origin Materials, Inc. has a debt-to-equity ratio of 51.0%, compared to the Materials sector average of 41.0%. Leverage is within a manageable range for the industry, though investors should monitor debt trends over time. The current ratio is 2.83x, indicating strong short-term liquidity. Total debt on the balance sheet is $4M. Cash and equivalents stand at $34M.
ORGN has a beta of 8.57, meaning it is more volatile than the broader market — a $10,000 investment in ORGN would be expected to move 757.3% more than the S&P 500 on any given day. The stability factor score for Origin Materials, Inc. is 2/100, suggesting elevated price swings that may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios.
Origin Materials, Inc. Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend
In TTM 2026, Origin Materials, Inc. reported revenue of $24M and earnings per share (EPS) of $-50.55. Net income for the quarter was $-92M. Gross margin was 0.0%. Operating income came in at $-97M.
In FY 2025, Origin Materials, Inc. reported revenue of $19M and earnings per share (EPS) of $-50.55. Net income for the quarter was $-250M. Revenue grew -39.5% year-over-year compared to FY 2024. Operating income came in at $-259M.
In Q3 2025, Origin Materials, Inc. reported revenue of $5M and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.11. Net income for the quarter was $-16M. Revenue grew -43.2% year-over-year compared to Q3 2024. Operating income came in at $-17M.
In Q2 2025, Origin Materials, Inc. reported revenue of $6M and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.09. Net income for the quarter was $-13M. Revenue grew -17.3% year-over-year compared to Q2 2024. Operating income came in at $-15M.
Over the past 8 quarters, Origin Materials, Inc. has demonstrated a growth trajectory, with revenue expanding from $7M to $24M. Investors analyzing ORGN stock should weigh these quarterly trends alongside the valuation and quality metrics discussed above.
ORGN Dividend Yield and Income Analysis
Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) does not currently pay a dividend. This is common among smaller companies in the Chemicals industry that prefer to reinvest cash flows into business expansion rather than returning capital to shareholders. Income-focused investors looking for Materials dividend stocks may want to explore other Materials stocks or use the stock screener to filter by dividend yield.
ORGN Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile
Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) has a momentum factor score of 42/100, reflecting neutral trend characteristics. The stock is neither significantly outperforming nor underperforming the broader market on a momentum basis. The investment factor score is 38/100, which measures capital allocation efficiency and asset growth patterns. The short interest score of 14/100 signals elevated short interest, which can indicate bearish sentiment among institutional investors.
ORGN vs Competitors — Materials Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison
Within the Materials sector, Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) ranks #265 out of 284 stocks based on the Blank Capital composite score. This places ORGN in the lower half of all Materials stocks in our coverage universe. Key competitors and sector peers include CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) with a score of 56.6/100, Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) with a score of 56.6/100, CVR PARTNERS, LP (UAN) with a score of 55.6/100, LSB INDUSTRIES, INC. (LXU) with a score of 53.6/100, and ACME UNITED CORP (ACU) with a score of 51.2/100.
Comparing ORGN against the S&P 500 benchmark is also instructive for understanding relative performance. Investors can view the full ORGN vs S&P 500 (SPY) comparison to assess how Origin Materials, Inc. stacks up against the broader market across all factor dimensions.
ORGN Next Earnings Date
No upcoming earnings date has been announced for Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) at this time. Check the earnings calendar for the latest scheduling updates across all stocks in our coverage universe.
Should You Buy ORGN? — Investment Thesis Summary
The quantitative profile for Origin Materials, Inc. suggests caution. The quality score of 22/100 flags below-average profitability. The value score of 6/100 indicates premium valuation. High volatility (stability score 2/100) increases portfolio risk.
In summary, Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) earns a Reduce rating with a composite score of 23.3/100 as of April 2026. The rating is derived from the Blank Capital Research methodology, which combines six factor dimensions into a single quantitative ranking. Investors should consider these quantitative signals alongside their own fundamental research, risk tolerance, and investment time horizon before making buy or sell decisions on ORGN stock.
Related Resources for ORGN Investors
Explore more research and tools: ORGN vs S&P 500 comparison, top Materials stocks, stock screener, our methodology, quality factor explained, value factor explained, momentum factor explained. Compare ORGN head-to-head with peers: ORGN vs CF, ORGN vs NTR, ORGN vs UAN.