MATW

We rate MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORP (MATW) as a Hold with a composite score of 60.9/100 at a current price of $26.75. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling for existing holders. Our factors are split, and the overall profile suggests patience is warranted.

The rating is primarily driven by strength in value (86th percentile) and quality (81th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. All factors score above the 40th percentile, indicating no material weakness in the quantitative profile. We assign a No Moat rating (25/100), Medium uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation.

Key items to watch: balance sheet deleveraging progress. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.

MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORP holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 60.9/100 places it at rank #608 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $748M in market capitalization, MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORP is a small-cap player in the Manufacturing space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.

Revenue contraction of -33% combined with momentum at the 50th percentile paints a cautious picture of the near-term business outlook. The market appears to be pricing in continued challenges, and a catalyst for reversal is not clearly visible from current data.

The margin cascade tells an important story: gross margins of 34% (-8.8pp vs sector) narrow to operating margins of 15% (+13.4pp vs sector) and net margins of 4.2%, yielding a gross-to-net conversion rate of 12%. The significant margin erosion from gross to net suggests elevated operating expenses, high interest costs, or other structural drags that warrant monitoring.

At a current price of $26.75, MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORP appears undervalued relative to its fundamentals. Our value factor score of 86/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. The stock screens as attractively priced on a majority of these measures, suggesting the market may be underappreciating the underlying fundamentals.

The stock currently trades at a P/E of 17.6x (a 21% discount to the sector median of 22.3x), EV/EBITDA of 4.5x (discounted to peers), P/B of 1.5x, P/S of 0.6x. The below-sector P/E suggests possible undervaluation or the market pricing in near-term headwinds.

We assign a Medium uncertainty rating to MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORP. The stock presents a balanced risk profile: significant leverage (186% debt-to-equity) and the combination of leverage (186% D/E) and thin margins (4.2% net) amplifies downside risk. While not risk-free, the core business fundamentals are adequate to withstand moderate economic stress, and the range of potential outcomes around our fair value estimate is manageable.

Specific risk factors that inform our assessment include: significant leverage (186% debt-to-equity); the combination of leverage (186% D/E) and thin margins (4.2% net) amplifies downside risk. Each of these factors independently widens the distribution of potential outcomes, and in combination they create a risk profile that demands careful position sizing. The stability factor at the 76th percentile and quality factor at the 81th percentile provide a quantitative summary of the overall risk landscape.

Key risk mitigants include: above-average stability (76th percentile) suggests predictable business dynamics; a 4.12% dividend yield anchors total return. These factors partially offset the identified risks and provide downside protection in adverse scenarios. On balance, the risk-reward profile is favorable for long-term investors.

We rate MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORP's capital allocation as Poor. Key concerns include elevated leverage (186% D/E). Exemplary capital allocators generate ROE above 20% and maintain conservative leverage — MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORP significantly underperforms these benchmarks, raising questions about management's ability to create shareholder value.

Investors should scrutinize management's reinvestment decisions and balance sheet trajectory before committing capital. Poor capital allocation often compounds over time: overlevered balance sheets limit strategic flexibility, while low returns on capital destroy shareholder value. We would need to see sustained improvement in profitability metrics and balance sheet discipline before considering an upgrade.

In summary, MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORP receives a Hold rating with a composite score of 60.9/100 (rank #608 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a No Moat (25/100, trend: stable), Medium uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 69/100.

Our analysis supports a neutral stance on MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORP. While the quantitative profile is not weak enough to warrant selling, it lacks the multi-factor strength required for a buy recommendation. Existing holders should maintain positions and monitor for catalysts — either fundamental improvement or valuation compression — that would shift the risk-reward balance.