IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Blank Capital Research ("BCR") is a technology platform, not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer. The algorithmically generated signals, scores, and rankings provided on this site ("God Mode" Signals) are for informational and research purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or solicit an offer to buy any securities.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS: The "timing scores" and "regime signals" displayed are based on quantitative models. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity.
RISK OF LOSS: Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Data provided by third-party sources (Intrinio, Snowflake) is believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
© 2026 Blank Capital Research. All rights reserved. System Version: Aegis V8 (God Mode).
Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1377
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Rubber And Plastic Products
$182M
David L. Duvall
Core Molding Technologies, Inc. operates as a molder of thermoplastic and thermoset structural products. It serves various markets, including medium and heavy-duty truck, automobile, power sport, construction, agriculture, building products, and other commercial markets. The company was formerly known as Core Materials Corporation.
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = CMT ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | 28.5% | 8.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 10.4% | -4.6% | 3.3% | 0.0x | $141.8B | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | 46.1% | 16.6% | 51.3% | 31.9% | 26.8% | -4.0% | 1.0% | 25.0x | $272.1B | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | 10.3% | 3.1% | 24.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 14.3% | 0.8% | 25.0x | $11.4B | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | 2.2% | 1.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | -8.5% | 2.2% | 16.0x | $18.9B | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 35.5% | 19.8% | 48.7% | 29.2% | 24.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 32.0x | $181.9B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | 11.8% | 8.8% | 45.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 25.7% | 3.7% | 0.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.6% | 7.0% | 66.5% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 39.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $115M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | 22.6% | 4.9% | 71.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 124.0x | $72.1B | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | 3.0% | 1.1% | 20.9% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 67.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | 8.2% | 3.5% | 55.3% | 25.9% | 12.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.0x | $87.0B | VS | |
$CMT CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC | 54 | 53 | 70 | 57 | 14.6x | 12.8x | 7.2% | 5.1% | 17.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | -34.2% | 0.0% | 12.0x | $182M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -2.5% | -0.1% | 42.5% | 1.3% | -0.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC (CMT) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 54.1/100. It ranks #1377 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
Sign in to join the discussion.
YOY expansion rate
Core pricing power
Operating efficiency
Bottom-line conversion
Equity capital efficiency
Asset base utilization
Financial leverage load
Direct cash return
David L. Duvall
Chief Executive Officer
Labor Force
1,580
53
45
87
Audit Verdict: Average governance indicators based on financial metrics.
No recent insider transactions available for CMT
In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for CMT.
View All RatingsMaterial decline in asset turnover efficiency detected
High margin volatility — erratic forensic earnings quality
| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 53 | 40 | +13ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 57 | 48 | +9ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 70 | 63 | +7ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 45 | 82 | -37DRAG |
| STABILITY | 87 | 91 | -4NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 23 | 7 | +16ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 7.2% (sector -2.5%)
GM 18% vs sector 43%, OM 5% vs sector 1%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth -34%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 75.7x, Net debt/EBITDA -9.4x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
Our model assigns CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC a Hold rating, with a composite score of 54.1/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1377 of 7,333 stocks, CMT presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 53/100, CMT shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 7.2% (sector avg: -2.5%), gross margins of 17.9% (sector avg: 42.5%), net margins of 4.0% (sector avg: -0.2%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
CMT carries a solid value score of 70/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 14.58x, an EV/EBITDA of 12.83x, a P/B ratio of 1.06x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
With an investment score of 45/100, CMT exhibits moderate growth-oriented spending. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -34.2% vs. a sector average of 5.9% and a return on assets of 5.1% (sector: -0.1%). The company appears to be balancing growth investments with capital returns, though the pace of investment may not be enough to accelerate top-line growth meaningfully.
CMT demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 57/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at -34.2% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.50 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC earns an excellent stability score of 87/100, reflecting low price volatility and a conservatively managed balance sheet. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.50 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 12.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). Stocks with this level of stability tend to act as portfolio anchors, providing downside protection during market corrections while still participating in broad market advances.
CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC's short interest score of 23/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 12.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. At $182M (micro-cap), CMT carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC is a micro-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1377 of 7,333 overall (81st percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 7.2% exceeding the -2.5% sector median and operating margins of 5.1% above the 1.3% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While CMT currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Stability (87) vs Short Int. (23) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 12% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 392% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 58% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
AUDIT DATA AS OF SEP 30, 2025 (Q2 FY2025)
We rate CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC (CMT) as a Hold with a composite score of 54.1/100 at a current price of $19.17. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling for existing holders. Our factors are split, and the overall profile suggests patience is warranted.
The rating is primarily driven by strength in stability (87th percentile) and value (70th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. All factors score above the 40th percentile, indicating no material weakness in the quantitative profile. We assign a No Moat rating (38/100), Low uncertainty, and Standard capital allocation.
Key items to watch: quarterly earnings execution and sector-level competitive dynamics. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.
CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 54.1/100 places it at rank #1377 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $182M in market capitalization, CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC is a small-cap player in the Manufacturing space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.
Revenue contraction of -34% combined with momentum at the 57th percentile paints a cautious picture of the near-term business outlook. The market appears to be pricing in continued challenges, and a catalyst for reversal is not clearly visible from current data.
The margin cascade tells an important story: gross margins of 18% (-24.6pp vs sector) narrow to operating margins of 5% (+3.8pp vs sector) and net margins of 4.0%, yielding a gross-to-net conversion rate of 23%. This conversion rate is typical for the sector, suggesting a standard cost structure without notable efficiency advantages or disadvantages.
At a current price of $19.17, CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC is trading near fair value based on current fundamentals. Our value factor score of 70/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. Valuation metrics are mixed, with no strong signal of mispricing in either direction.
The stock currently trades at a P/E of 14.6x (a 34% discount to the sector median of 22.3x), EV/EBITDA of 12.8x (near the sector median), P/B of 1.1x, P/S of 0.6x. The below-sector P/E suggests possible undervaluation or the market pricing in near-term headwinds.
A value factor score of 70/100 suggests the market is underpricing these fundamentals, creating a potential margin of safety for new investors.
A conservative balance sheet (12% D/E) provides financial flexibility for acquisitions, buybacks, or weathering economic downturns without dilution.
Revenue decline of -34% signals business deterioration — declining revenues make it difficult to grow into the current valuation and often precede further negative revisions.
We assign a Low uncertainty rating to CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC. The company exhibits strong financial stability with a beta of 0.50, conservative leverage (12% D/E), and a stability factor in the 87th percentile. The predictable nature of the business model and solid financial position reduce the range of potential outcomes, giving us confidence in our fair value estimate.
Specific risk factors that inform our assessment include: low beta of 0.50 — while defensive, this may indicate limited upside participation in bull markets. Each of these factors independently widens the distribution of potential outcomes, and in combination they create a risk profile that demands careful position sizing. The stability factor at the 87th percentile and quality factor at the 53th percentile provide a quantitative summary of the overall risk landscape.
Key risk mitigants include: conservative leverage (12% D/E) limits balance sheet risk; above-average stability (87th percentile) suggests predictable business dynamics. These factors partially offset the identified risks and provide downside protection in adverse scenarios. On balance, the risk-reward profile is favorable for long-term investors.
We rate CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC's capital allocation as Standard. Management has shown adequate — though not exceptional — stewardship of shareholder capital. Returns on equity stand at 7.2%, and the balance sheet is managed within acceptable parameters (D/E: 12%). Exemplary allocators typically sustain ROE above 20% and D/E below 50%; CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC falls short on at least one dimension.
There is room for improvement in optimizing the capital structure or enhancing shareholder returns. Absent a dividend, the overall capital allocation framework would benefit from either higher reinvestment returns, improved balance sheet efficiency, or increased shareholder distributions. We will monitor for signs of strategic improvement that could warrant an upgrade.
In summary, CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC receives a Hold rating with a composite score of 54.1/100 (rank #1377 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a No Moat (38/100, trend: stable), Low uncertainty, and Standard capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 62/100.
Our analysis supports a neutral stance on CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC. While the quantitative profile is not weak enough to warrant selling, it lacks the multi-factor strength required for a buy recommendation. Existing holders should maintain positions and monitor for catalysts — either fundamental improvement or valuation compression — that would shift the risk-reward balance.
Analysis derived from Blank Capital Research quantitative terminal. For informational purposes only. No trade solicitation. Past performance not indicative of future results. Consult a qualified advisor.
We do not assign CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC a meaningful economic moat, scoring 38/100 on our composite assessment. Current fundamentals do not demonstrate the kind of durable competitive advantages — such as superior returns on invested capital, margin superiority, or reinvestment efficiency — that would protect the company from competitive erosion over the long term. The highest-scoring pillar, financial resilience, reached only 18.3/20.
The strongest moat sources are financial resilience (18.3/20) and margin superiority (9.2/20). Interest coverage 75.7x, Net debt/EBITDA -9.4x. GM 18% vs sector 43%, OM 5% vs sector 1%. These pillars form the core of CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC's competitive identity and are the primary drivers of excess returns in our framework.
Areas of relative weakness include reinvestment efficiency (0/20) and economic value creation (3.9/20). Capital turnover N/A. Improvement in these areas could meaningfully widen the moat over time, while deterioration would be an early warning of competitive erosion.
Our moat trend assessment is Stable. Multi-year ROIC and operating margin trajectories show neither meaningful improvement nor deterioration, suggesting the competitive position is steady. We expect CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC's moat profile to remain largely unchanged absent a material shift in return on capital or industry dynamics.
Key profit drivers include declining revenues (-34%) that pressure the earnings outlook. The margin cascade from 18% gross to 5% operating to 4.0% net reveals the company's cost structure and reinvestment intensity. Our analysis indicates that profit quality is adequate though not exceptional, with the quality factor at the 53th percentile.
The margin profile shows gross margins of 18%, operating margins of 5%, net margins of 4.0%. Return metrics include ROE of 7.2% and ROA of 5.1%. Relative to the Manufacturing sector, gross margins are 24.6 percentage points below the sector median of 43%, and ROE of 7.2% compares to a sector median of -2.5%.
The balance sheet reflects a conservatively managed balance sheet with D/E of 12%, revenue growth of -34%. The sector median D/E is 0%, putting CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES INC at higher leverage than the typical peer. Overall balance sheet health is adequate for the current business environment.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Core Molding Technologies (CMT) reported Q1 earnings of $0.25 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.33, and revenues of $61.45 million, falling short of the $78.15 million estimate. The company's shares have declined by 6.8% since the beginning of the year, underperforming the S&P 500. Analysts currently assign CMT a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that the stock is expected to perform in line with the market.
Core Molding Technologies Inc. announced a new investor presentation on November 19, 2025, detailing strategic initiatives and financial goals. Key highlights include a $25 million investment in their Matamoros facility, a $150 million contract with Volvo for roof production starting Q1 2027, and maintained gross margins of 17.6%. The company also authorized a $7.5 million share repurchase program and targets over $500 million in revenues through organic growth and acquisitions.
The Winona Fire Department extinguished a roof fire at Core Molding Technologies/CPI at 1700 Wilkie Drive early Monday morning. The fire was primarily confined to the building's roof and ductwork, and no injuries were reported. The cause of the fire is currently under investigation.
Core Molding Technologies Inc. reported a significant earnings and revenue miss for Q3 2025, with EPS at $0.24 against a forecast of $0.47, and revenue of $58.4 million against an anticipated $80.8 million, leading to a 9.21% pre-market stock drop. The company attributed the decline to the Volvo transition and reduced truck demand but highlighted strong financial health and growth initiatives including new business wins and a strategic $25 million investment in Mexico. Despite short-term challenges, Core Molding targets over $300 million in revenue by 2027, driven by new programs and operational efficiencies.
Core Molding Technologies (CMT) presented at the 17th Annual Southwest IDEAS Conference, detailing its strategic focus on organic growth, leadership transition, and market diversification. The company plans for over $500 million in sales and 8% operating income within 3-5 years, despite current challenges in the truck market cycle. Key initiatives include a $25 million investment in Mexico for expansion and transitioning CEO roles.