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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2798
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Textiles
$1.6B
Andrew W. Higgins
Albany International Corp. engages in textile and materials processing business. The MC segment designs, manufactures, and markets paper machine clothing for use in the manufacturing of papers, paperboards, tissues, and towels. The AEC segment 3D-woven and injected composite components for aircraft engines.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | 28.5% | 8.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 10.4% | -4.6% | 3.3% | 0.0x | $141.8B | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | 46.1% | 16.6% | 51.3% | 31.9% | 26.8% | -4.0% | 1.0% | 25.0x | $272.1B | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | 10.3% | 3.1% | 24.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 14.3% | 0.8% | 25.0x | $11.4B | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | 2.2% | 1.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | -8.5% | 2.2% | 16.0x | $18.9B | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 35.5% | 19.8% | 48.7% | 29.2% | 24.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 32.0x | $181.9B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | 11.8% | 8.8% | 45.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 25.7% | 3.7% | 0.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.6% | 7.0% | 66.5% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 39.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $115M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | 22.6% | 4.9% | 71.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 124.0x | $72.1B | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | 3.0% | 1.1% | 20.9% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 67.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | 8.2% | 3.5% | 55.3% | 25.9% | 12.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.0x | $87.0B | VS | |
$AIN ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ | 45 | 26 | 41 | 39 | - | - | -7.1% | -3.1% | 19.0% | -4.8% | -5.6% | -21.3% | 2.0% | 65.0x | $1.6B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -2.5% | -0.1% | 42.5% | 1.3% | -0.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ (AIN) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 45.0/100. It ranks #2798 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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YOY expansion rate
Core pricing power
Operating efficiency
Bottom-line conversion
Equity capital efficiency
Asset base utilization
Financial leverage load
Direct cash return
Andrew W. Higgins
Chief Executive Officer
Labor Force
4,100
26
34
68
Audit Verdict: Lower quality and stability scores may indicate governance concerns.
No recent insider transactions available for AIN
Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for AIN.
View All RatingsMaterial decline in asset turnover efficiency detected
High margin volatility — erratic forensic earnings quality
ROIC -24.7% vs WACC 9.0% (spread -33.7%)
GM 19% vs sector 43%, OM -5% vs sector 1%
Capital turnover 0.70x
Rev growth -21%, 10yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 45.0/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2798 out of 7,333 stocks. AIN's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
AIN's quality score of 26/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of -7.1% (sector avg: -2.5%), gross margins of 19.0% (sector avg: 42.5%), net margins of -5.6% (sector avg: -0.2%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 41/100, AIN appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/B ratio of 2.29x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/'s investment score of 34/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -21.3% vs. a sector average of 5.9% and a return on assets of -3.1% (sector: -0.1%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
AIN is currently showing below-average momentum at 39/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at -21.3% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.12 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
AIN shows good financial stability with a score of 68/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.12 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 65.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
AIN carries a short interest score of 74/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 65.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $1.6B market cap (small-cap), ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
AIN pays a solid dividend yield of 2.0%, contributing an income component to total returns. This moderate yield suggests a balance between returning capital to shareholders and retaining earnings for reinvestment — a common profile among quality compounders.
ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ is a small-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2798 of 7,333 overall (62nd percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -7.1% trailing the -2.5% sector median and operating margins of -4.8% below the 1.3% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While AIN currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
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Improvement in Quality (26) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 185% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 55% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Op. Margin 472% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
AUDIT DATA AS OF SEP 30, 2025 (Q2 FY2025)
We rate ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ (AIN) as a Reduce with a composite score of 45.0/100 at a current price of $54.76. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential and elevated risk of underperformance relative to peers over the next 12 months.
The rating is primarily driven by strength in stability (68th percentile) and value (41th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. Offsetting weakness in quality (26th percentile) and investment (34th percentile) tempers our overall conviction. We assign a No Moat rating (26/100), High uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation.
Key items to watch: momentum to confirm whether the current price trend has legs; the path to profitability. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.
ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 45.0/100 places it at rank #2798 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $1.6B in market capitalization, ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ is a small-cap player in the Manufacturing space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.
Revenue contraction of -21% combined with momentum at the 39th percentile paints a cautious picture of the near-term business outlook. The market appears to be pricing in continued challenges, and a catalyst for reversal is not clearly visible from current data.
The margin cascade tells an important story: gross margins of 19% (-23.5pp vs sector) narrow to operating margins of -5% (-6.1pp vs sector) and net margins of -5.6%, yielding a gross-to-net conversion rate of -29%. The significant margin erosion from gross to net suggests elevated operating expenses, high interest costs, or other structural drags that warrant monitoring.
At a current price of $54.76, ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ is trading near fair value based on current fundamentals. Our value factor score of 41/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. Valuation metrics are mixed, with no strong signal of mispricing in either direction.
The stock currently trades at P/B of 2.3x, P/S of 1.5x. We evaluate these multiples in the context of both absolute levels and sector-relative positioning to form our valuation view.
A 2.03% dividend yield provides income while you wait, and dividends historically account for a significant portion of total equity returns.
The Reduce rating (composite 45.0/100) reflects multi-factor weakness, and historically, stocks in this scoring range have underperformed the market by a meaningful margin.
Revenue decline of -21% signals business deterioration — declining revenues make it difficult to grow into the current valuation and often precede further negative revisions.
Thin net margins of -5.6% provide limited cushion against cost pressures, competitive pricing, or macroeconomic headwinds — even small changes in costs could swing the company to a loss.
Below-average quality (26th percentile) raises durability concerns about the fundamental profile and increases the risk of negative earnings surprises.
We assign a High uncertainty rating to ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/. Key risk factors include current negative profitability (net margin -5.6%), weak quality scores (26th percentile), the combination of leverage (65% D/E) and thin margins (-5.6% net) amplifies downside risk. The wide range of potential outcomes widens our fair value estimate and increases the possibility of permanent capital impairment. Investors considering this name should size positions accordingly and demand a meaningful margin of safety before initiating.
Specific risk factors that inform our assessment include: current negative profitability (net margin -5.6%); weak quality scores (26th percentile); the combination of leverage (65% D/E) and thin margins (-5.6% net) amplifies downside risk. Each of these factors independently widens the distribution of potential outcomes, and in combination they create a risk profile that demands careful position sizing. The stability factor at the 68th percentile and quality factor at the 26th percentile provide a quantitative summary of the overall risk landscape.
Key risk mitigants include: above-average stability (68th percentile) suggests predictable business dynamics; a 2.03% dividend yield anchors total return. These factors partially offset the identified risks and provide downside protection in adverse scenarios. On balance, the risk-reward profile warrants caution and disciplined position management.
We rate ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/'s capital allocation as Poor. Key concerns include low returns on equity (-7.1%), negative profitability, weak asset returns (ROA -3.1%). Exemplary capital allocators generate ROE above 20% and maintain conservative leverage — ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ significantly underperforms these benchmarks, raising questions about management's ability to create shareholder value.
Investors should scrutinize management's reinvestment decisions and balance sheet trajectory before committing capital. Poor capital allocation often compounds over time: overlevered balance sheets limit strategic flexibility, while low returns on capital destroy shareholder value. We would need to see sustained improvement in profitability metrics and balance sheet discipline before considering an upgrade.
In summary, ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ receives a Reduce rating with a composite score of 45.0/100 (rank #2798 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a No Moat (26/100, trend: stable), High uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 42/100.
Our analysis does not support a constructive view on ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ at this time. The combination of limited competitive advantages, high uncertainty, and poor capital allocation suggests unfavorable risk-reward at current levels. We recommend investors avoid new positions and existing holders consider reducing exposure.
Analysis derived from Blank Capital Research quantitative terminal. For informational purposes only. No trade solicitation. Past performance not indicative of future results. Consult a qualified advisor.
We do not assign ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ a meaningful economic moat, scoring 26/100 on our composite assessment. The ROIC-WACC spread of -33.7% is the primary signal of economic value creation. Current fundamentals do not demonstrate the kind of durable competitive advantages — such as superior returns on invested capital, margin superiority, or reinvestment efficiency — that would protect the company from competitive erosion over the long term. The highest-scoring pillar, financial resilience, reached only 8.1/20.
The strongest moat sources are financial resilience (8.1/20) and margin superiority (7.6/20). Interest coverage N/A. GM 19% vs sector 43%, OM -5% vs sector 1%. These pillars form the core of ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/'s competitive identity and are the primary drivers of excess returns in our framework.
Areas of relative weakness include reinvestment efficiency (0.5/20) and economic value creation (3.5/20). Capital turnover 0.70x. Improvement in these areas could meaningfully widen the moat over time, while deterioration would be an early warning of competitive erosion.
Our moat trend assessment is Stable. Multi-year ROIC and operating margin trajectories show neither meaningful improvement nor deterioration, suggesting the competitive position is steady. We expect ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/'s moat profile to remain largely unchanged absent a material shift in return on capital or industry dynamics.
Key profit drivers include declining revenues (-21%) that pressure the earnings outlook. The margin cascade from 19% gross to -5% operating to -5.6% net reveals the company's cost structure and reinvestment intensity. Our analysis indicates that profit quality raises some durability concerns, with the quality factor at the 26th percentile.
The margin profile shows gross margins of 19%, operating margins of -5%, net margins of -5.6%. Return metrics include ROE of -7.1% and ROA of -3.1%. Relative to the Manufacturing sector, gross margins are 23.5 percentage points below the sector median of 43%, and ROE of -7.1% compares to a sector median of -2.5%.
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with D/E of 65%, a dividend yield of 2.03%, revenue growth of -21%. The sector median D/E is 0%, putting ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP /DE/ at higher leverage than the typical peer. Overall balance sheet health is adequate for the current business environment.
Elevated short interest (74th percentile) indicates that sophisticated market participants are betting against the stock.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
The Schall Law Firm is investigating Albany International Corp. (AIN) on behalf of investors for potential securities law violations after the company's Q2 2025 earnings missed estimates and its shares dropped over 23.6%. The investigation focuses on whether Albany International issued misleading statements or failed to disclose critical information. Shareholders who suffered losses are encouraged to contact the firm for a free consultation regarding their rights.
Albany International (AIN) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Skylands Capital LLC initiated a new position in Albany International (NYSE:AIN) during the third quarter, purchasing 37,375 shares valued at approximately $1.99 million. This acquisition makes Skylands Capital LLC a 0.13% stakeholder in the company, which now has 97.37% institutional ownership. Albany International recently increased its quarterly dividend to $0.28, and its CEO, Gunnar Kleveland, bought an additional 2,300 shares.
Albany International (NYSE:AIN) recently saw its stock price cross above its 200-day moving average, trading as high as $58.22. Despite this, the company has a "Reduce" consensus analyst rating with an average target price of $61.50, and its Q4 earnings missed estimates with revenue down 12.4%. However, the company raised its quarterly dividend and its CEO recently purchased shares, indicating mixed foundational signals.
Seven analysts have given Albany International Corporation (NYSE:AIN) an average "Reduce" rating, with three recommending "sell" and four "hold", and a one-year average target price of $61.50. The company recently missed quarterly EPS estimates, saw a 12.4% revenue decline year-over-year, and reports a negative net margin, despite a dividend increase. CEO Gunnar Kleveland recently purchased 2,300 shares, increasing his holding by over 13%, while institutional investors hold a significant majority of the stock.