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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3795
Positioning
Market Dominance
Mining
Non-Metallic And Industrial Metal Mining
$0
John G. Turner
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. engages in the production, processing, and sale of mesh and sand used as a proppant during the well completion process in the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. The company provides transportation and logistics, storage solutions, and contract labor services. It sells its products and services to oil and natural gas exploration and production companies, hydraulic fracturing services, and oilfield services companies. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Headcount
—
HQ Base
Pending Verification
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$VALE Vale S.A. | 75 | 88 | 93 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SU SUNCOR ENERGY INC | 74 | 87 | 90 | 53 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRX TRX GOLD Corp | 72 | 83 | 77 | 96 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ORLA Orla Mining Ltd. | 72 | 94 | 83 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$KGC KINROSS GOLD CORP | 71 | 83 | 89 | 79 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD | 71 | 80 | 80 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$RIO RIO TINTO PLC | 70 | 76 | 84 | 64 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IAG IAMGOLD CORP | 70 | 71 | 82 | 89 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NGD New Gold Inc. /FI | 70 | 76 | 67 | 92 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp | 70 | 77 | 90 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. | 38 | 45 | 25 | 20 | - | 103.0x | -2.0% | -1.1% | 15.7% | 1.4% | -2.3% | -9.7% | - | 43.0x | $0 | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 13.7x | 5.2x | 4.3% | 3.9% | 45.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 37.9/100. It ranks #3795 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Average quality profile
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Moderate investment profile
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Mining sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for AESI.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 45 | 46 | -1NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 20 | 12 | +8ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 25 | 15 | +10ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 36 | 46 | -10DRAG |
| STABILITY | 38 | 33 | +5NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 28 | 13 | +15ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC -3.0% vs WACC 9.6% (spread -12.6%)
GM 16% vs sector 46%, OM 1% vs sector 8%
Capital turnover 0.53x
Rev growth -10%, 3yr history
Interest coverage -1.2x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) as Avoid with a composite score of 37.9/100 at a current price of $10.37. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Mining sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 37.9/100 places it at rank #3795 in our full universe.
No Moat
High
Poor
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 37.9/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #3795 of 7,333 stocks, AESI falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
With a quality score of 45/100, AESI shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of -2.0% (sector avg: 4.3%), gross margins of 15.7% (sector avg: 45.8%), net margins of -2.3% (sector avg: 5.8%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
AESI registers a value score of just 25/100, suggesting the stock trades at a significant premium to its fundamental metrics. Key valuation metrics include an EV/EBITDA of 103.05x, a P/B ratio of 1.19x. High-premium valuations like this require strong future execution to avoid multiple compression, and downside risk is elevated if growth disappoints.
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.'s investment score of 36/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -9.7% vs. a sector average of 0.1% and a return on assets of -1.1% (sector: 3.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 20/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at -9.7% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.47 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
AESI's stability score of 38/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.47 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 43.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.'s short interest score of 28/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.47), elevated leverage (D/E: 43.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. At $0 (micro-cap), AESI carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. is a micro-cap company in the Mining sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3795 of 7,333 overall (48th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -2.0% trailing the 4.3% sector median and operating margins of 1.4% below the 7.6% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Mining peers.
While AESI currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the MINING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Mining Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Momentum (20) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 1870% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 146% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 66% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc (AESI) reports robust Q4 results with significant revenue growth and strategic advancements in power solutions, despite market challenges.
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Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081