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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#4406
Positioning
Market Dominance
Services
Computer Software
$157M
Pending
Detailed business profile pending verification.
Headcount
—
HQ Base
WEST HOLLYWOOD, CA
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = VWAV ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$YALA Yalla Group Ltd | 75 | 89 | 99 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GRVY GRAVITY Co., Ltd. | 75 | 82 | 96 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ISSC INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC | 73 | 81 | 88 | 94 | 25.0x | 14.1x | 17.1% | 10.3% | 35.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 105.2% | 0.0% | 41.0x | $244M | VS | |
$AER AerCap Holdings N.V. | 72 | 60 | 87 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$HCSG HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP INC | 72 | 74 | 88 | 88 | 7.1x | 6.1x | 28.9% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 1.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$LQDT LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | 72 | 90 | 88 | 68 | 24.9x | 14.3x | 14.1% | 8.3% | 45.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 28.1% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $736M | VS | |
$TRTNpA Triton International Ltd | 71 | 70 | 89 | 70 | - | 1.7x | 0.0% | - | 97.4% | 58.0% | 37.4% | - | 8.8% | 264.0x | $2.5B | VS | |
$EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. | 71 | 83 | 52 | 77 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NTES NetEase, Inc. | 71 | 88 | 93 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC | 70 | 86 | 86 | 72 | 43.2x | 16.0x | 15.3% | 5.8% | 100.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 24.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$VWAV VisionWave Holdings, Inc. | 32 | 16 | 21 | 36 | - | - | -906.1% | -151.0% | - | -65.7% | -69.4% | - | 0.0% | 500.0x | $157M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 23.7x | 11.7x | 5.7% | 2.4% | 64.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
VisionWave Holdings, Inc. (VWAV) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 31.7/100. It ranks #4406 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Moderate investment profile
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for VWAV.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 16 | 1 | +15ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 36 | 33 | +3NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 21 | 10 | +11ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 37 | 62 | -25DRAG |
| STABILITY | 30 | 21 | +9ALPHA |
| SHORT INT | 63 | 79 | -16DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC -201.4% vs WACC 9.5% (spread -210.8%)
GM N/A vs sector 65%, OM -66% vs sector 5%
Capital turnover 3.88x
Rev growth N/A
Interest coverage -110.7x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate VisionWave Holdings, Inc. (VWAV) as Avoid with a composite score of 31.7/100 at a current price of $7.74. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
VisionWave Holdings, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 31.7/100 places it at rank #4406 in our full universe.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 500% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
VisionWave Holdings, Inc. represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags VisionWave Holdings, Inc. with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 31.7/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #4406 of 7,333 stocks, VWAV falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
VisionWave Holdings, Inc. registers a weak quality score of just 16/100, indicating significant profitability challenges. The company reports a return on equity of -906.1% (sector avg: 5.7%), net margins of -69.4% (sector avg: 2.8%). Low quality scores are often associated with businesses in turnaround mode, early-stage growth, or structurally challenged industries.
VWAV registers a value score of just 21/100, suggesting the stock trades at a significant premium to its fundamental metrics. Key valuation metrics include a P/B ratio of 45.31x. High-premium valuations like this require strong future execution to avoid multiple compression, and downside risk is elevated if growth disappoints.
VisionWave Holdings, Inc.'s investment score of 37/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include a return on assets of -151.0% (sector: 2.4%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
VWAV is currently showing below-average momentum at 36/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth data is not currently available, while a beta of 1.00 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
VWAV's stability score of 30/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.00 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 500.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
VWAV carries a short interest score of 63/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 500.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. At $157M market cap (micro-cap), VisionWave Holdings, Inc. offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
VisionWave Holdings, Inc. is a micro-cap company in the Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #4406 of 7,333 overall (40th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -906.1% trailing the 5.7% sector median and operating margins of -65.7% below the 4.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Services peers.
While VWAV currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
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Improvement in Quality (16) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 15886% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Op. Margin 1560% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Debt/Equity 142757% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081

VisionWave Holdings (NASDAQ: VWAV) announced a binding definitive agreement to acquire a 51% controlling interest in C.M. Composite Materials Ltd., a certified aerospace-grade composite manufacturer producing structural components for Israel's Iron Dome and Barak 8 defense systems. The transaction, expected to close in Q1 2026, combines VisionWave's QSpeed™ computational acceleration platform with C.M.'s revenue-generating aerospace manufacturing operations. C.M. reported approximately $17.3 million in revenue and $3.0 million in net income for fiscal 2025. The company is also exploring strategic expansion into India's growing defense market.
VisionWave Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: VWAV) ("VisionWave" or the "Company") today announced it has executed a binding definitive agreement to acquire a 51% controlling interest in C.M. Composite Materials Ltd. ("C.M."), a
WEST HOLLYWOOD, Calif., Feb. 19, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- VisionWave Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: VWAV) today announced it has begun early-stage architecture and feasibility work on a conceptual AI-controlled intelligent radar system concept designed, which if successfully developed, may potentially enhance the survivability and continuity of sensing by distributing radar-related functions across a network of mesh-connected RF units. The system concept is grounded in a resilient, distributed-sensing

VisionWave Holdings announced the acquisition of QuantumSpeed, a pre-commercial computational acceleration engine designed to reduce decision latency in defense, autonomous systems, and AI applications. The technology, currently in proof-of-concept phase, uses a Hybrid Successive Approximation framework to optimize computation. VisionWave valued the intellectual property at approximately $99.6 million and plans to invest up to $10 million in U.S.-based development over 6-12 months, though significant technical and regulatory risks remain.

VisionWave Holdings has signed a definitive agreement to acquire Solar Drone Ltd., a robotics company, for strategic expansion into defense, security, and industrial robotics. The acquisition involves issuing 1.8 million shares and potentially pre-funded warrants, with expected closing by December 10, 2025.