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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1235
Positioning
Market Dominance
Services
Business Services
$3.4B
John A. Cuomo
VSE Corporation operates as a diversified aftermarket products and services company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Aviation, Fleet, and Federal and Defense. The Fleet segment offers parts supply, inventory management, e-commerce fulfillment, logistics, and other services to assist aftermarket commercial and federal customers with their supply chain management.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = VSEC ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$YALA Yalla Group Ltd | 75 | 89 | 99 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GRVY GRAVITY Co., Ltd. | 75 | 82 | 96 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ISSC INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC | 73 | 81 | 88 | 94 | 25.0x | 14.1x | 17.1% | 10.3% | 35.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 105.2% | 0.0% | 41.0x | $244M | VS | |
$AER AerCap Holdings N.V. | 72 | 60 | 87 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$HCSG HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP INC | 72 | 74 | 88 | 88 | 7.1x | 6.1x | 28.9% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 1.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$LQDT LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | 72 | 90 | 88 | 68 | 24.9x | 14.3x | 14.1% | 8.3% | 45.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 28.1% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $736M | VS | |
$TRTNpA Triton International Ltd | 71 | 70 | 89 | 70 | - | 1.7x | 0.0% | - | 97.4% | 58.0% | 37.4% | - | 8.8% | 264.0x | $2.5B | VS | |
$EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. | 71 | 83 | 52 | 77 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NTES NetEase, Inc. | 71 | 88 | 93 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC | 70 | 86 | 86 | 72 | 43.2x | 16.0x | 15.3% | 5.8% | 100.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 24.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$VSEC VSE CORP | 55 | 32 | 42 | 92 | 651.3x | 83.3x | 1.0% | 0.6% | 14.0% | 7.5% | 0.8% | 6.4% | 0.2% | 36.0x | $3.4B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 23.7x | 11.7x | 5.7% | 2.4% | 64.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
VSE CORP (VSEC) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 55.3/100. It ranks #1235 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Fair valuation relative to peers
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for VSEC.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 32 | 20 | +12ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 92 | 97 | -5NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 42 | 40 | +2NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 29 | 28 | +1NEUTRAL |
| STABILITY | 60 | 65 | -5NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 47 | 46 | +1NEUTRAL |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 1.8% vs WACC 9.3% (spread -7.5%)
GM 14% vs sector 65%, OM 8% vs sector 5%
Capital turnover 0.81x
Rev growth 6%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 2.3x, Net debt/EBITDA 34.4x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate VSE CORP (VSEC) as a Hold with a composite score of 55.3/100 at a current price of $224.46. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
VSE CORP holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 55.3/100 places it at rank #1235 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at 6% and momentum in the 92th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
No Moat
Low
Poor
Fair Value
Positive momentum indicates institutional accumulation.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Elevated P/E ratio of 651.3x leaves little room for execution misses.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
VSE CORP represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns VSE CORP a Hold rating, with a composite score of 55.3/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1235 of 7,333 stocks, VSEC presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
VSEC's quality score of 32/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of 1.0% (sector avg: 5.7%), gross margins of 14.0% (sector avg: 64.6%), net margins of 0.8% (sector avg: 2.8%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 42/100, VSEC appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 651.27x, an EV/EBITDA of 83.28x, a P/B ratio of 6.48x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
VSE CORP's investment score of 29/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 6.4% vs. a sector average of 8.6% and a return on assets of 0.6% (sector: 2.4%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
VSE CORP (VSEC) is exhibiting exceptional momentum with a score of 92/100, placing it among the strongest trending stocks in the market. Revenue growth stands at 6.4% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.20 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Stocks with momentum scores this high have historically outperformed over the following 3–12 months, suggesting VSEC may continue to benefit from strong institutional interest and positive price trends.
With a stability score of 60/100, VSEC exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.20 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 36.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
The short interest score of 47/100 for VSEC suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 36.00x). With a $3.4B market cap (mid-cap), VSE CORP may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
VSEC offers a modest dividend yield of 0.2%. While the income contribution is relatively small, even a small dividend signals management's commitment to shareholder returns and can serve as a signal of financial discipline.
VSE CORP is a mid-cap company in the Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1235 of 7,333 overall (83rd percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 1.0% trailing the 5.7% sector median and operating margins of 7.5% above the 4.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Services peers.
While VSEC currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Momentum (92) vs Investment (29) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 610% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 83% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 78% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Aviation and fleet aftermarket services provider VSE Corporation (NASDAQ:VSEC) will be reporting results this Wednesday after market hours. Here’s what to look for.
VSE (NASDAQ:VSEC) underwent analysis by 4 analysts in the last quarter, revealing a spectrum of viewpoints from bullish to bearish. In the table below, you'll find a summary of their recent ratings, revealing the shifting sentiments over the past 30 days and comparing them to the previous months. Bullish Somewhat Bullish Indifferent Somewhat Bearish Bearish Total Ratings 4 0 0 0 0 Last 30D 1 0 0 0 0 1M Ago 0 0 0 0 0 2M Ago 3 0 0 0 0 3M Ago 0 0 0 0 0 Providing deeper insights, analysts have established 12-month price targets, indicating an average target of $94.5, along with a high estimate of $101.00 and a low estimate of $85.00. This upward trend is apparent, with the current average reflecting a 8.21% increase from the previous average price target of $87.33. Exploring Analyst Ratings: An In-Depth Overview In examining recent analyst actions, we gain insights into how financial experts perceive VSE. The following summary outlines key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets. Analyst Analyst Firm Action Taken Rating Current Price Target Prior Price Target Josh Sullivan Benchmark Raises Buy $100.00 $85.00 Michael Ciarmoli Truist Securities Raises Buy $92.00 $86.00 Jeff Van Sinderen B. Riley Securities Raises Buy $101.00 $91.00 Josh Sullivan Benchmark Maintains Buy $85.00 - Key Insights: Action Taken: In response to dynamic market conditions and company performance, analysts update their recommendations. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise', or 'Lower' their stance, it signifies their reaction to recent developments related to VSE. This insight gives a snapshot of ...Full story available on Benzinga.com
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