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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#922
Positioning
Market Dominance
Mining
Petroleum And Natural Gas
$5.2B
Miguel M. Galuccio
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in Latin America. The company's principal assets are located in Vaca Muerta with approximately 183, 100 acres. As of December 31, 2021, it had proved reserves of 181.6 MMBOE.
Headcount
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$VALE Vale S.A. | 75 | 88 | 93 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SU SUNCOR ENERGY INC | 74 | 87 | 90 | 53 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRX TRX GOLD Corp | 72 | 83 | 77 | 96 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ORLA Orla Mining Ltd. | 72 | 94 | 83 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$KGC KINROSS GOLD CORP | 71 | 83 | 89 | 79 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD | 71 | 80 | 80 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$RIO RIO TINTO PLC | 70 | 76 | 84 | 64 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IAG IAMGOLD CORP | 70 | 71 | 82 | 89 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NGD New Gold Inc. /FI | 70 | 76 | 67 | 92 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp | 70 | 77 | 90 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$VIST Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. | 58 | 77 | 77 | 38 | 11.4x | 1.6x | 128.7% | 45.1% | 47.9% | 36.7% | 28.0% | 26.6% | 0.0% | 100.0x | $5.2B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 13.7x | 5.2x | 4.3% | 3.9% | 45.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 57.8/100. It ranks #922 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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410
HQ Base
Pending Verification
Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Mining sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for VIST.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 77 | 88 | -11DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 38 | 38 | 0NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 77 | 85 | -8DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 26 | 18 | +8ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 47 | 47 | 0NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 31 | 16 | +15ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 69.7% vs WACC 8.5% (spread +61.2%)
GM 48% vs sector 46%, OM 37% vs sector 8%
Capital turnover 2.36x
Rev growth 27%, 6yr history
Interest coverage 10.0x, Net debt/EBITDA 0.7x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) as a Hold with a composite score of 57.8/100 at a current price of $57.46. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Mining sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 57.8/100 places it at rank #922 in our full universe.
Narrow
Medium
Standard
Undervalued
Gross margins of 48% signal strong pricing power.
Returns on equity of 128.7% exceed cost of capital.
Value factor score of 77 suggests attractive pricing.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. a Hold rating, with a composite score of 57.8/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #922 of 7,333 stocks, VIST presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
VIST earns a quality score of 77/100, indicating above-average business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 128.7% (sector avg: 4.3%), gross margins of 47.9% (sector avg: 45.8%), net margins of 28.0% (sector avg: 5.8%). Companies in this tier generally demonstrate consistent profitability and efficient capital deployment, though they may face some competitive pressure.
VIST carries a solid value score of 77/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 11.38x, an EV/EBITDA of 1.58x, a P/B ratio of 4.15x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.'s investment score of 26/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 26.6% vs. a sector average of 0.1% and a return on assets of 45.1% (sector: 3.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
VIST is currently showing below-average momentum at 38/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 26.6% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.45 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
With a stability score of 47/100, VIST exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.45 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 100.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.'s short interest score of 31/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 100.00x). At $5.2B (mid-cap), VIST carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. is a mid-cap company in the Mining sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #922 of 7,333 overall (87th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 128.7% exceeding the 4.3% sector median and operating margins of 36.7% above the 7.6% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Mining peers.
While VIST currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MINING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Mining Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Value (77) vs Investment (26) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 70% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 2894% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin IN LINE WITH SECTOR BENCHMARKS
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
VIST to report fourth-quarter 2025 results on Feb. 25, with EPS expected to soar 482% y/y, but weaker crude prices are likely to have weighed on revenue growth.

PING Capital Management increased its stake in Vista Energy by 101,000 shares (worth ~$4.57 million) in Q4, bringing the position to 3.15% of its portfolio. The investment reflects confidence in Vista's operational execution, with the company delivering strong Q3 2025 results including 74% year-over-year production growth and 67% EBITDA margins despite lower oil prices.

Exxon Mobil, Chevron, BP and Vista Energy are part of the Zacks Industry Outlook article.

From upstream activities to midstream, prospects for companies are rosy now, enhancing the outlook for the Zacks Oil and Gas Integrated International industry. XOM, CVX, BP & VIST will make the most of the favorable business scenario.