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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2240
Positioning
Market Dominance
Mining
Petroleum And Natural Gas
$1.7B
Timothy S. Duncan
Talos Energy focuses on the exploration and production of oil and natural gas properties in the United States Gulf of Mexico and offshore Mexico. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Houston, Texas.
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Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$VALE Vale S.A. | 75 | 88 | 93 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SU SUNCOR ENERGY INC | 74 | 87 | 90 | 53 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRX TRX GOLD Corp | 72 | 83 | 77 | 96 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ORLA Orla Mining Ltd. | 72 | 94 | 83 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$KGC KINROSS GOLD CORP | 71 | 83 | 89 | 79 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD | 71 | 80 | 80 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$RIO RIO TINTO PLC | 70 | 76 | 84 | 64 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IAG IAMGOLD CORP | 70 | 71 | 82 | 89 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NGD New Gold Inc. /FI | 70 | 76 | 67 | 92 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp | 70 | 77 | 90 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TALO TALOS ENERGY INC. | 49 | 41 | 52 | 48 | - | 1.9x | -8.6% | -3.6% | 70.0% | -17.6% | -12.4% | -18.1% | 0.0% | 51.0x | $1.7B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 13.7x | 5.2x | 4.3% | 3.9% | 45.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
TALOS ENERGY INC. (TALO) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 48.6/100. It ranks #2240 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Mining sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for TALO.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 41 | 38 | +3NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 48 | 48 | 0NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 52 | 56 | -4NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 33 | 36 | -3NEUTRAL |
| STABILITY | 49 | 52 | -3NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 34 | 21 | +13ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC -7.6% vs WACC 7.3% (spread -14.9%)
GM 70% vs sector 46%, OM -18% vs sector 8%
Capital turnover 0.50x
Rev growth -18%, 8yr history
Interest coverage -2.1x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate TALOS ENERGY INC. (TALO) as a Reduce with a composite score of 48.6/100 at a current price of $12.60. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
TALOS ENERGY INC. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Mining sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 48.6/100 places it at rank #2240 in our full universe.
No Moat
High
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 70% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
TALOS ENERGY INC. represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
TALOS ENERGY INC. receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 48.6/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2240 out of 7,333 stocks. TALO's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
TALO's quality score of 41/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of -8.6% (sector avg: 4.3%), gross margins of 70.0% (sector avg: 45.8%), net margins of -12.4% (sector avg: 5.8%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
TALO's value score of 52/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include an EV/EBITDA of 1.94x, a P/B ratio of 0.96x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
TALOS ENERGY INC.'s investment score of 33/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -18.1% vs. a sector average of 0.1% and a return on assets of -3.6% (sector: 3.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
TALO is currently showing below-average momentum at 48/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at -18.1% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.49 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
With a stability score of 49/100, TALO exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.49 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 51.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
TALOS ENERGY INC.'s short interest score of 34/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.49), elevated leverage (D/E: 51.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $1.7B (small-cap), TALO carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
TALOS ENERGY INC. is a small-cap company in the Mining sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2240 of 7,333 overall (69th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -8.6% trailing the 4.3% sector median and operating margins of -17.6% below the 7.6% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Mining peers.
While TALO currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the MINING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Mining Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Investment (33) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 63% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 299% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 53% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081

This article analyzes Talos Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: TALO), highlighting a strong sentiment across all time horizons supporting an overweight bias. It presents various AI-generated trading strategies including position, momentum breakout, and risk hedging, along with multi-timeframe signal analysis for support and resistance levels. The report also notes elevated downside risk due to the absence of additional long-term support signals.

Talos Energy (NYSE: TALO) announced an Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, reaffirming its borrowing base at $700 million and extending the facility's maturity to January 20, 2030. This move is seen as a strong vote of confidence from lenders, providing the company with financial flexibility to fund high-return projects and navigate commodity cycles. Paul Goodfellow, President and CEO, highlighted that this agreement strengthens long-term access to capital and supports their disciplined capital allocation strategy.

This article from Stock Traders Daily discusses how movements in Talos Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: TALO) can inform risk allocation models. It highlights near-term strong sentiment, a breakout underway, and provides specific institutional trading strategies including position trading, momentum, and risk hedging, along with multi-timeframe signal analysis. The article is based on AI-generated signals and offers real-time analysis for managing risk.
The article discusses the valuation of Talos Energy (TALO) following Harbour's takeover of operatorship for the Zama project in Mexico. Despite a recent short-term share price retreat, Talos is trading at a significant implied discount to one intrinsic value estimate and below some analyst targets, raising questions about potential mispricing. The narrative suggests the stock is 21.4% undervalued with a fair value of $13.79, based on projected earnings growth and profit margins, although this relies on assumptions that could be challenged by Gulf of Mexico concentration risk and high costs.

The article provides an algorithmic analysis of Talos Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: TALO), indicating a near-term neutral sentiment amidst mid and long-term strength. It highlights a significant short setup with a 44.0:1 risk-reward ratio and outlines specific institutional trading strategies for position trading, momentum breakout, and risk hedging, complete with entry, target, and stop-loss levels. The analysis also includes multi-timeframe signal strengths and support/resistance levels.