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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#948
Positioning
Market Dominance
Services
Healthcare
$462M
Jon R. Cohen
Talkspace, Inc. operates as a virtual behavior healthcare company. It delivers healthcare through encrypted web and mobile platform. Members can send text, video, and voice messages to their therapists.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = TALK ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$YALA Yalla Group Ltd | 75 | 89 | 99 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GRVY GRAVITY Co., Ltd. | 75 | 82 | 96 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ISSC INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC | 73 | 81 | 88 | 94 | 25.0x | 14.1x | 17.1% | 10.3% | 35.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 105.2% | 0.0% | 41.0x | $244M | VS | |
$AER AerCap Holdings N.V. | 72 | 60 | 87 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$HCSG HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP INC | 72 | 74 | 88 | 88 | 7.1x | 6.1x | 28.9% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 1.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$LQDT LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | 72 | 90 | 88 | 68 | 24.9x | 14.3x | 14.1% | 8.3% | 45.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 28.1% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $736M | VS | |
$TRTNpA Triton International Ltd | 71 | 70 | 89 | 70 | - | 1.7x | 0.0% | - | 97.4% | 58.0% | 37.4% | - | 8.8% | 264.0x | $2.5B | VS | |
$EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. | 71 | 83 | 52 | 77 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NTES NetEase, Inc. | 71 | 88 | 93 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC | 70 | 86 | 86 | 72 | 43.2x | 16.0x | 15.3% | 5.8% | 100.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 24.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$TALK Talkspace, Inc. | 58 | 60 | 47 | 79 | 168.6x | 560.0x | 4.5% | 3.8% | 45.1% | -0.4% | 2.3% | 28.9% | 0.0% | 18.0x | $462M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 23.7x | 11.7x | 5.7% | 2.4% | 64.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
Talkspace, Inc. (TALK) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 57.6/100. It ranks #948 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Fair valuation relative to peers
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for TALK.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 60 | 75 | -15DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 79 | 88 | -9DRAG |
| VALUATION | 47 | 47 | 0NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 26 | 19 | +7ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 47 | 47 | 0NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 41 | 35 | +6ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 4.5% (sector 5.7%)
GM 45% vs sector 65%, OM -0% vs sector 5%
Capital turnover N/A, R&D intensity 4.6%
Rev growth 29%, 5yr history
Interest coverage N/A, Net debt/EBITDA -13.7x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Talkspace, Inc. (TALK) as a Hold with a composite score of 57.6/100 at a current price of $4.53. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
Talkspace, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 57.6/100 places it at rank #948 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at 29% and momentum in the 79th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
No Moat
Medium
Standard
Fair Value
Gross margins of 45% signal strong pricing power.
Positive momentum indicates institutional accumulation.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Elevated P/E ratio of 168.6x leaves little room for execution misses.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Talkspace, Inc. represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns Talkspace, Inc. a Hold rating, with a composite score of 57.6/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #948 of 7,333 stocks, TALK presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 60/100, TALK shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 4.5% (sector avg: 5.7%), gross margins of 45.1% (sector avg: 64.6%), net margins of 2.3% (sector avg: 2.8%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
With a value score of 47/100, TALK appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 168.63x, an EV/EBITDA of 560.04x, a P/B ratio of 7.58x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
Talkspace, Inc.'s investment score of 26/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 28.9% vs. a sector average of 8.6% and a return on assets of 3.8% (sector: 2.4%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
TALK shows strong momentum characteristics with a score of 79/100. The stock has been trending above key moving averages, indicating solid demand from institutional buyers. Revenue growth stands at 28.9% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.03 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. This level of momentum typically signals sustained investor confidence and favorable near-term price action.
With a stability score of 47/100, TALK exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.03 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 18.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
The short interest score of 41/100 for TALK suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 18.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. With a $462M market cap (small-cap), Talkspace, Inc. may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
Talkspace, Inc. is a small-cap company in the Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #948 of 7,333 overall (87th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 4.5% trailing the 5.7% sector median and operating margins of -0.4% below the 4.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Services peers.
While TALK currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Momentum (79) vs Investment (26) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 4674% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 22% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 30% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Talkspace, Inc. (TALK) shows strong investment potential driven by robust revenue growth of 29.3% in the virtual behavioral healthcare sector, backed by optimistic analyst ratings. Despite a negative free cash flow, its forward P/E ratio and current price exceeding moving averages suggest bullish sentiment. Investors should consider its non-dividend strategy and market volatility while assessing this growth-oriented opportunity.
Needham has raised its price target for Talkspace Inc. (NASDAQ:TALK) to $6.00 from $5.00, maintaining a Buy rating on the mental health services provider. This adjustment follows a strong quarter and an optimistic fiscal 2026 outlook, which Needham believes may be conservative. The firm identified several potential catalysts across Talkspace's business segments, including payor segment integrations, direct-to-enterprise teen pipeline opportunities, and the upcoming launch of TalkAI subscriptions.

Talkspace (NASDAQ: TALK) reported robust financial results for Q4 and full-year 2025, with total revenue reaching $228.9 million, up 22% year-over-year, and net income soaring to $7.8 million. The growth was primarily driven by a significant increase in Payor revenue, which offset a decline in Consumer revenue. The company also announced plans to launch its proprietary AI agent later in 2026 and provided optimistic revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026.

Talkspace, Inc. (NASDAQ:TALK) has received a consensus "Moderate Buy" recommendation from analysts, with seven firms covering the stock and an average 12-month price target of $4.88. The company's stock is currently trading around $4.05, with a market cap of approximately $670.9 million and a high P/E ratio. Talkspace recently met EPS estimates and slightly exceeded revenue expectations for its last quarter.
Talkspace, Inc. (TALK) is attracting significant investor attention due to its strong growth potential and positive analyst ratings, with a 25.94% potential upside based on an average target price of $5.00. The virtual behavioral healthcare company, with a market capitalization of $664.84 million, shows robust revenue growth of 25.30% and a positive return on equity, despite current negative free cash flow. Talkspace's strategic positioning in the digital health sector, diversified revenue streams through partnerships, and lack of sell ratings indicate strong investor confidence, even with an overbought RSI.