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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1091
Positioning
Market Dominance
Services
Personal Services
$2.6B
Bang X. Zhang
TAL Education Group provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People's Republic of China. The company also operates jzb.com, an online education platform that serves as a gateway for online courses. As of February 29, 2021, its educational network included 1,098 learning centers and 990 service centers in 109 cities throughout China.
Headcount
16.2K
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = TAL ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$YALA Yalla Group Ltd | 75 | 89 | 99 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GRVY GRAVITY Co., Ltd. | 75 | 82 | 96 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ISSC INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC | 73 | 81 | 88 | 94 | 25.0x | 14.1x | 17.1% | 10.3% | 35.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 105.2% | 0.0% | 41.0x | $244M | VS | |
$AER AerCap Holdings N.V. | 72 | 60 | 87 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$HCSG HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP INC | 72 | 74 | 88 | 88 | 7.1x | 6.1x | 28.9% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 1.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$LQDT LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | 72 | 90 | 88 | 68 | 24.9x | 14.3x | 14.1% | 8.3% | 45.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 28.1% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $736M | VS | |
$TRTNpA Triton International Ltd | 71 | 70 | 89 | 70 | - | 1.7x | 0.0% | - | 97.4% | 58.0% | 37.4% | - | 8.8% | 264.0x | $2.5B | VS | |
$EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. | 71 | 83 | 52 | 77 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NTES NetEase, Inc. | 71 | 88 | 93 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC | 70 | 86 | 86 | 72 | 43.2x | 16.0x | 15.3% | 5.8% | 100.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 24.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$TAL TAL Education Group | 57 | 56 | 71 | 54 | 25.2x | 11.5x | 8.9% | 6.1% | 53.3% | -0.1% | 3.7% | 51.0% | 0.0% | 9.0x | $2.6B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 23.7x | 11.7x | 5.7% | 2.4% | 64.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
TAL Education Group (TAL) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 56.5/100. It ranks #1091 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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HQ Base
Pending Verification
In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for TAL.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 56 | 69 | -13DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 54 | 56 | -2NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 71 | 81 | -10DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 56 | 92 | -36DRAG |
| STABILITY | 61 | 65 | -4NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 62 | 77 | -15DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 8.9% (sector 5.7%)
GM 53% vs sector 65%, OM -0% vs sector 5%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth 51%, 10yr history
Interest coverage N/A, Net debt/EBITDA -12.6x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate TAL Education Group (TAL) as a Hold with a composite score of 56.5/100 at a current price of $10.96. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
TAL Education Group holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 56.5/100 places it at rank #1091 in our full universe.
Narrow
Low
Standard
Undervalued
Gross margins of 53% signal strong pricing power.
Value factor score of 71 suggests attractive pricing.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
TAL Education Group represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns TAL Education Group a Hold rating, with a composite score of 56.5/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1091 of 7,333 stocks, TAL presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 56/100, TAL shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 8.9% (sector avg: 5.7%), gross margins of 53.3% (sector avg: 64.6%), net margins of 3.7% (sector avg: 2.8%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
TAL carries a solid value score of 71/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 25.24x, an EV/EBITDA of 11.47x, a P/B ratio of 1.77x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
With an investment score of 56/100, TAL exhibits moderate growth-oriented spending. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 51.0% vs. a sector average of 8.6% and a return on assets of 6.1% (sector: 2.4%). The company appears to be balancing growth investments with capital returns, though the pace of investment may not be enough to accelerate top-line growth meaningfully.
TAL demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 54/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at 51.0% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.70 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
With a stability score of 61/100, TAL exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.70 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 9.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
TAL carries a short interest score of 62/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 9.00x). At $2.6B market cap (mid-cap), TAL Education Group offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
TAL Education Group is a mid-cap company in the Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1091 of 7,333 overall (85th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 8.9% exceeding the 5.7% sector median and operating margins of -0.1% below the 4.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Services peers.
While TAL currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Momentum (54) is the limiting factor — improvement here would lift the composite score most.
EV/EBITDA IN LINE WITH SECTOR BENCHMARKS
ROE 56% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 17% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
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TAL Education Group recently reported past third-quarter and nine-month 2025 results, with sales rising to US$770.17 million and US$2.21 billion respectively, alongside higher net income and earnings per share from continuing operations versus the prior year. The company also completed a share repurchase of 5,039,921 shares for US$162.4 million, modestly shrinking its share count while analyst earnings expectations have been revised higher. We’ll now look at how TAL’s strong earnings growth...
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TAL Education, a leading provider of K-12 after-school tutoring services in China, reported strong financial results for its fiscal 2025 third quarter, with revenue growth of 62.4% and a significant improvement in non-GAAP net income. The company's investments in technological solutions, such as AI-powered learning tools, have helped it adapt to the evolving regulatory landscape and maintain its competitive edge.