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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#4578
Positioning
Market Dominance
Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services
Transportation
$222M
Michael A. Colglazier
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. focuses on the development, manufacture, and operation of spaceships and related technologies for conducting commercial human spaceflight. The company serves private individuals, researchers, and government agencies.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UGP ULTRAPAR HOLDINGS INC | 79 | 90 | 95 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TNK TEEKAY TANKERS LTD. | 78 | 94 | 97 | 82 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DHT DHT Holdings, Inc. | 75 | 84 | 88 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$STNG Scorpio Tankers Inc. | 75 | 86 | 95 | 74 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NAT NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS Ltd | 75 | 82 | 88 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMX AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV/ | 74 | 86 | 81 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PAC Pacific Airport Group | 73 | 94 | 80 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GSL Global Ship Lease, Inc. | 73 | 82 | 94 | 81 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRMD TORM plc | 73 | 86 | 94 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$VIV TELEFONICA BRASIL S.A. | 73 | 82 | 90 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc | 29 | 32 | 32 | 10 | - | - | -128.7% | -34.1% | -4475.5% | -18717.8% | -17772.3% | -91.3% | 0.0% | 278.0x | $222M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 16.9x | 6.1x | 11.9% | 3.2% | 52.6% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.3x | - | REF |
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc (SPCE) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 29.2/100. It ranks #4578 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Moderate investment profile
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for SPCE.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 32 | 22 | +10ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 10 | 6 | +4NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 32 | 26 | +6ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 36 | 51 | -15DRAG |
| STABILITY | 19 | 13 | +6ALPHA |
| SHORT INT | 46 | 45 | +1NEUTRAL |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC -17.3% vs WACC 3.3% (spread -20.6%)
GM -4476% vs sector 53%, OM -18718% vs sector 15%
Capital turnover 0.00x, R&D intensity 5550.6%
Rev growth -91%, 8yr history
Interest coverage -20.4x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc (SPCE) as Avoid with a composite score of 29.2/100 at a current price of $2.55. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 29.2/100 places it at rank #4578 in our full universe.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 278% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 29.2/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #4578 of 7,333 stocks, SPCE falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
SPCE's quality score of 32/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of -128.7% (sector avg: 11.9%), gross margins of -4475.5% (sector avg: 52.6%), net margins of -17772.3% (sector avg: 7.7%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 32/100, SPCE appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/B ratio of 0.80x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc's investment score of 36/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -91.3% vs. a sector average of 4.2% and a return on assets of -34.1% (sector: 3.2%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 10/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at -91.3% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.44 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc registers a low stability score of 19/100, indicating high volatility and potentially stressed financial conditions. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.44 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 278.00x (sector avg: 1.3x). Stocks at this level carry elevated capital loss risk and may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios without careful risk management.
The short interest score of 46/100 for SPCE suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.44), elevated leverage (D/E: 278.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. With a $222M market cap (micro-cap), Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc is a micro-cap company in the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #4578 of 7,333 overall (38th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -128.7% trailing the 11.9% sector median and operating margins of -18717.8% below the 14.8% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services peers.
While SPCE currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the TRANSPORTATION, COMMUNICATIONS, ELECTRIC, GAS, AND SANITARY SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Momentum (10) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 1179% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 8610% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Op. Margin 126316% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
ORANGE COUNTY, Calif., February 17, 2026--Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: SPCE) ("Virgin Galactic" or the "Company") today announced that it will report its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025 following the close of the U.S. markets on Monday, March 30, 2026. This date aligns with Securities and Exchange Commission rules requiring the Company, as a non-accelerated filer, to submit its annual report on Form 10-K within 90 days after the end of the fiscal year. Virgin
Virgin Galactic’s recent share performance Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE) has drawn investor attention after a stretch of weak returns, including a 6% decline over the past day, 11% over the past week, and a 41% decline over the past year. See our latest analysis for Virgin Galactic Holdings. The recent 1 month share price return of an 18.54% decline adds to a much steeper 1 year total shareholder return loss of 41.23%. This suggests momentum has been fading as investors reassess Virgin...
If you are wondering whether Virgin Galactic Holdings at around US$2.85 is a bargain or a value trap, you are not alone. A closer look at its valuation can help frame that question more clearly. The stock has seen a 5.3% decline over the last 7 days, a 13.4% decline over the last 30 days and year to date, and a 37.5% decline over the last year, on top of very large drawdowns over 3 and 5 years that suggest sentiment and risk perception have shifted over time. Recent attention on Virgin...
Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE) continues to attract attention as a space tourism pure play, with investors weighing its recent share price declines over the past month and past three months against its latest financial figures. See our latest analysis for Virgin Galactic Holdings. At a share price of $2.85, Virgin Galactic Holdings has seen weakening momentum, with a 7 day share price return of 7.17% and a 30 day share price return of 13.37%, while the 1 year total shareholder return of...
Wondering whether Virgin Galactic Holdings at US$2.85 is a bargain or a value trap? This article walks through what the current price may be implying about the stock. The share price has seen steep declines, with returns of 7.2% over 7 days, 11.2% over 30 days, 13.4% year to date and 40.1% over 1 year, and an even larger 3 year and 5 year pullback of 97.7% and 99.7% respectively. These moves sit against a backdrop of ongoing attention on the commercial space tourism theme, including frequent...