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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2525
Positioning
Market Dominance
Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services
Utilities
$31.9B
Vincent Sorgi
PPL Corporation delivers electricity and natural gas in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company operates through two segments: Kentucky Regulated and Pennsylvania Regulated. It serves approximately 429,000 electric and 333,000 natural gas customers in Louisville and adjacent areas in Kentucky.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UGP ULTRAPAR HOLDINGS INC | 79 | 90 | 95 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TNK TEEKAY TANKERS LTD. | 78 | 94 | 97 | 82 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DHT DHT Holdings, Inc. | 75 | 84 | 88 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$STNG Scorpio Tankers Inc. | 75 | 86 | 95 | 74 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NAT NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS Ltd | 75 | 82 | 88 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMX AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV/ | 74 | 86 | 81 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PAC Pacific Airport Group | 73 | 94 | 80 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GSL Global Ship Lease, Inc. | 73 | 82 | 94 | 81 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRMD TORM plc | 73 | 86 | 94 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$VIV TELEFONICA BRASIL S.A. | 73 | 82 | 90 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PPL PPL Corp | 47 | 31 | 35 | 42 | 30.6x | 26.0x | 6.1% | 2.0% | 40.0% | 21.7% | 10.9% | -2.8% | 2.9% | 127.0x | $31.9B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 16.9x | 6.1x | 11.9% | 3.2% | 52.6% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.3x | - | REF |
PPL Corp (PPL) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 46.8/100. It ranks #2525 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for PPL.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 31 | 21 | +10ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 42 | 36 | +6ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 35 | 31 | +4NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 34 | 44 | -10DRAG |
| STABILITY | 88 | 91 | -3NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 56 | 64 | -8DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 9.3% vs WACC 7.1% (spread +2.2%)
GM 40% vs sector 53%, OM 22% vs sector 15%
Capital turnover 0.51x
Rev growth -3%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 2.6x, Net debt/EBITDA 8.4x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate PPL Corp (PPL) as a Reduce with a composite score of 46.8/100 at a current price of $38.13. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
PPL Corp holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 46.8/100 places it at rank #2525 in our full universe.
No Moat
Medium
Poor
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 127% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
PPL Corp represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
PPL Corp receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 46.8/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2525 out of 7,333 stocks. PPL's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
PPL's quality score of 31/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of 6.1% (sector avg: 11.9%), gross margins of 40.0% (sector avg: 52.6%), net margins of 10.9% (sector avg: 7.7%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 35/100, PPL appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 30.60x, an EV/EBITDA of 25.98x, a P/B ratio of 1.86x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
PPL Corp's investment score of 34/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -2.8% vs. a sector average of 4.2% and a return on assets of 2.0% (sector: 3.2%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
PPL is currently showing below-average momentum at 42/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at -2.8% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.20 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
PPL Corp earns an excellent stability score of 88/100, reflecting low price volatility and a conservatively managed balance sheet. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.20 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 127.00x (sector avg: 1.3x). Stocks with this level of stability tend to act as portfolio anchors, providing downside protection during market corrections while still participating in broad market advances.
The short interest score of 56/100 for PPL suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 127.00x). With a $31.9B market cap (large-cap), PPL Corp may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
PPL pays a solid dividend yield of 2.9%, contributing an income component to total returns. This compares to a sector average dividend yield of 1.4%. This moderate yield suggests a balance between returning capital to shareholders and retaining earnings for reinvestment — a common profile among quality compounders.
PPL Corp is a large-cap company in the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2525 of 7,333 overall (66th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 6.1% trailing the 11.9% sector median and operating margins of 21.7% above the 14.8% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services peers.
While PPL currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the TRANSPORTATION, COMMUNICATIONS, ELECTRIC, GAS, AND SANITARY SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Quality (31) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 325% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 49% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 24% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
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