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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2476
Positioning
Market Dominance
Mining
Petroleum And Natural Gas
$3.5B
Thomas J. Nimbley
PBF Energy Inc. engages in refining and supplying petroleum products. It produces gasoline, ultra-low-sulfur diesel, heating oil, diesel fuel, jet fuel, lubricants, petrochemicals, and asphalt. The company sells its products in Northeast, Midwest, Gulf Coast, and West Coast of the United States.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$VALE Vale S.A. | 75 | 88 | 93 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SU SUNCOR ENERGY INC | 74 | 87 | 90 | 53 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRX TRX GOLD Corp | 72 | 83 | 77 | 96 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ORLA Orla Mining Ltd. | 72 | 94 | 83 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$KGC KINROSS GOLD CORP | 71 | 83 | 89 | 79 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD | 71 | 80 | 80 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$RIO RIO TINTO PLC | 70 | 76 | 84 | 64 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IAG IAMGOLD CORP | 70 | 71 | 82 | 89 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NGD New Gold Inc. /FI | 70 | 76 | 67 | 92 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp | 70 | 77 | 90 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PBF PBF Energy Inc. | 47 | 46 | 61 | 37 | 5.1x | 1.9x | -9.7% | -4.1% | -2.4% | -1.9% | -1.8% | -12.4% | 3.6% | 139.0x | $3.5B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 13.7x | 5.2x | 4.3% | 3.9% | 45.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 47.1/100. It ranks #2476 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
Average quality profile
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Mining sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for PBF.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 46 | 46 | 0NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 37 | 35 | +2NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 61 | 67 | -6DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 39 | 55 | -16DRAG |
| STABILITY | 37 | 32 | +5NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 34 | 22 | +12ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy -9.7% (sector 4.3%)
GM -2% vs sector 46%, OM -2% vs sector 8%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth -12%, 10yr history
Interest coverage -0.3x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) as a Reduce with a composite score of 47.1/100 at a current price of $35.09. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
PBF Energy Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Mining sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 47.1/100 places it at rank #2476 in our full universe.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Undervalued
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 139% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
PBF Energy Inc. represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
PBF Energy Inc. receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 47.1/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2476 out of 7,333 stocks. PBF's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
With a quality score of 46/100, PBF shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of -9.7% (sector avg: 4.3%), gross margins of -2.4% (sector avg: 45.8%), net margins of -1.8% (sector avg: 5.8%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
PBF's value score of 61/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 5.08x, an EV/EBITDA of 1.92x, a P/B ratio of 0.74x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
PBF Energy Inc.'s investment score of 39/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -12.4% vs. a sector average of 0.1% and a return on assets of -4.1% (sector: 3.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
PBF is currently showing below-average momentum at 37/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at -12.4% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.26 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
PBF's stability score of 37/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.26 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 139.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
PBF Energy Inc.'s short interest score of 34/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.26), elevated leverage (D/E: 139.00x). At $3.5B (mid-cap), PBF carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
PBF pays a solid dividend yield of 3.6%, contributing an income component to total returns. This moderate yield suggests a balance between returning capital to shareholders and retaining earnings for reinvestment — a common profile among quality compounders.
PBF Energy Inc. is a mid-cap company in the Mining sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2476 of 7,333 overall (66th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -9.7% trailing the 4.3% sector median and operating margins of -1.9% below the 7.6% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Mining peers.
While PBF currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the MINING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Mining Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Short Int. (34) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 63% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 326% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 105% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081

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