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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2138
Positioning
Market Dominance
Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services
Utilities
$11.1B
Robert S. Trauschke
OGE Energy Corp. provides retail electric service to approximately 879,000 customers in Oklahoma and Arkansas. The company owns and operates coal-fired, natural gas, wind-powered, and solar-powered generating assets. As of December 31 2021, the company owned and operated interconnected electric generation, transmission, and distribution systems.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UGP ULTRAPAR HOLDINGS INC | 79 | 90 | 95 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TNK TEEKAY TANKERS LTD. | 78 | 94 | 97 | 82 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DHT DHT Holdings, Inc. | 75 | 84 | 88 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$STNG Scorpio Tankers Inc. | 75 | 86 | 95 | 74 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NAT NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS Ltd | 75 | 82 | 88 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMX AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV/ | 74 | 86 | 81 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PAC Pacific Airport Group | 73 | 94 | 80 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GSL Global Ship Lease, Inc. | 73 | 82 | 94 | 81 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRMD TORM plc | 73 | 86 | 94 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$VIV TELEFONICA BRASIL S.A. | 73 | 82 | 90 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$OGE OGE ENERGY CORP. | 49 | 48 | 55 | 34 | 15.7x | 9.0x | 12.5% | 4.3% | 62.0% | 27.0% | 16.9% | 57.7% | 3.7% | 108.0x | $11.1B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 16.9x | 6.1x | 11.9% | 3.2% | 52.6% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.3x | - | REF |
OGE ENERGY CORP. (OGE) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 49.2/100. It ranks #2138 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for OGE.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 48 | 53 | -5NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 34 | 26 | +8ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 55 | 64 | -9DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 32 | 36 | -4NEUTRAL |
| STABILITY | 92 | 96 | -4NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 22 | 10 | +12ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 12.4% vs WACC 7.8% (spread +4.6%)
GM 62% vs sector 53%, OM 27% vs sector 15%
Capital turnover 0.61x
Rev growth 58%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 3.0x, Net debt/EBITDA 4.0x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate OGE ENERGY CORP. (OGE) as a Reduce with a composite score of 49.2/100 at a current price of $48.40. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
OGE ENERGY CORP. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 49.2/100 places it at rank #2138 in our full universe.
Narrow
Medium
Standard
Fair Value
Gross margins of 62% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 108% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
OGE ENERGY CORP. represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
OGE ENERGY CORP. receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 49.2/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2138 out of 7,333 stocks. OGE's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
With a quality score of 48/100, OGE shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 12.5% (sector avg: 11.9%), gross margins of 62.0% (sector avg: 52.6%), net margins of 16.9% (sector avg: 7.7%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
OGE's value score of 55/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 15.74x, an EV/EBITDA of 8.96x, a P/B ratio of 1.96x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
OGE ENERGY CORP.'s investment score of 32/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 57.7% vs. a sector average of 4.2% and a return on assets of 4.3% (sector: 3.2%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
OGE is currently showing below-average momentum at 34/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 57.7% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.26 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
OGE ENERGY CORP. earns an excellent stability score of 92/100, reflecting low price volatility and a conservatively managed balance sheet. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.26 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 108.00x (sector avg: 1.3x). Stocks with this level of stability tend to act as portfolio anchors, providing downside protection during market corrections while still participating in broad market advances.
OGE ENERGY CORP.'s short interest score of 22/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 108.00x). At $11.1B (large-cap), OGE carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
OGE pays a solid dividend yield of 3.7%, contributing an income component to total returns. This compares to a sector average dividend yield of 1.4%. This moderate yield suggests a balance between returning capital to shareholders and retaining earnings for reinvestment — a common profile among quality compounders.
OGE ENERGY CORP. is a large-cap company in the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2138 of 7,333 overall (71st percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 12.5% exceeding the 11.9% sector median and operating margins of 27.0% above the 14.8% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services peers.
While OGE currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the TRANSPORTATION, COMMUNICATIONS, ELECTRIC, GAS, AND SANITARY SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Short Int. (22) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 47% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE IN LINE WITH SECTOR BENCHMARKS
Gross Margin 18% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
OGE Energy Corp. has reported its full-year 2025 results, with revenue of US$3,260.1 million, net income of US$470.7 million, diluted EPS from continuing operations of US$2.32, and the Board approving a second-quarter 2026 dividend of US$0.425 per share to be paid on April 24, 2026. The combination of an earnings beat versus consensus, year-over-year growth in revenue and profit, and a maintained cash dividend signals management’s confidence in the company’s current operations and financial...
OGE Energy's (OGE) first-quarter earnings and revenues miss the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The company keeps its 2024 EPS outlook unchanged.
PNW vs. OGE: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
PNW vs. OGE: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
OGE Energy (OGE) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock? We take a look at earnings estimates for some clues.