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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1600
Positioning
Market Dominance
Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services
Utilities
$31.2B
Mauricio Gutierrez
NRG Energy, Inc. operates as an integrated power company in the United States. The company owns and leases power generation portfolio with approximately 18,000 megawatts of capacity at 25 plants. It generates electricity using natural gas, coal, oil, solar, nuclear, and battery storage.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UGP ULTRAPAR HOLDINGS INC | 79 | 90 | 95 | 87 | - | - | 29.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | -16.9% | 4.9% | 22.0x | $2.8B | VS | |
$TNK TEEKAY TANKERS LTD. | 78 | 94 | 97 | 82 | - | - | 24.4% | 20.6% | 67.0% | 30.9% | 32.8% | -16.6% | 7.6% | 0.0x | $1.3B | VS | |
$DHT DHT Holdings, Inc. | 75 | 84 | 88 | 78 | - | - | 17.5% | 12.2% | 54.8% | 36.8% | 31.7% | 2.0% | 10.9% | 40.0x | $1.5B | VS | |
$STNG Scorpio Tankers Inc. | 75 | 86 | 95 | 74 | - | - | 24.7% | 16.6% | 63.1% | 61.5% | 53.8% | -7.2% | 3.3% | 30.0x | $2.6B | VS | |
$NAT NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS Ltd | 75 | 82 | 88 | 87 | - | - | 8.9% | 5.5% | 64.4% | 22.1% | 13.3% | -10.7% | 18.0% | 53.0x | $465M | VS | |
$AMX AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV/ | 74 | 86 | 81 | 68 | - | - | 5.8% | 1.5% | 61.1% | 20.7% | 3.2% | -13.7% | 3.5% | 202.0x | $44.7B | VS | |
$PAC Pacific Airport Group | 73 | 94 | 80 | 78 | - | - | 35.2% | 10.8% | 84.4% | 44.8% | 26.4% | -18.0% | 5.6% | 81.0x | $8.5B | VS | |
$GSL Global Ship Lease, Inc. | 73 | 82 | 94 | 81 | - | - | 26.7% | 15.6% | 100.0% | 53.7% | 50.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 47.0x | $753M | VS | |
$TRMD TORM plc | 73 | 86 | 94 | 65 | - | - | 32.7% | 19.3% | 58.8% | 40.9% | 38.0% | 2.5% | 30.1% | 59.0x | $1.7B | VS | |
$VIV TELEFONICA BRASIL S.A. | 73 | 82 | 90 | 78 | - | - | 7.0% | 4.0% | 43.9% | 15.5% | 10.0% | -15.9% | 5.6% | 0.0x | $12.5B | VS | |
$NRG NRG ENERGY, INC. | 53 | 54 | 33 | 67 | 1247.8x | 52.6x | 1.6% | 0.1% | 18.0% | 1.8% | -0.4% | 14.7% | 1.1% | 1117.0x | $31.2B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 16.9x | 6.1x | 11.9% | 3.5% | 55.1% | 17.6% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.0x | - | REF |
NRG ENERGY, INC. (NRG) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 52.6/100. It ranks #1600 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Average quality profile
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for NRG.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 54 | 60 | -6DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 67 | 74 | -7DRAG |
| VALUATION | 33 | 28 | +5NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 31 | 31 | 0NEUTRAL |
| STABILITY | 32 | 31 | +1NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 54 | 57 | -3NEUTRAL |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 2.3% vs WACC 7.7% (spread -5.4%)
GM 18% vs sector 55%, OM 2% vs sector 18%
Capital turnover 0.68x
Rev growth 15%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 2.2x, Net debt/EBITDA 27.1x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate NRG ENERGY, INC. (NRG) as a Hold with a composite score of 52.6/100 at a current price of $183.00. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
NRG ENERGY, INC. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 52.6/100 places it at rank #1600 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at 15% and momentum in the 67th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Positive momentum indicates institutional accumulation.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Elevated P/E ratio of 1247.8x leaves little room for execution misses.
Leverage of 1117% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
NRG ENERGY, INC. represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns NRG ENERGY, INC. a Hold rating, with a composite score of 52.6/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1600 of 7,333 stocks, NRG presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 54/100, NRG shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 1.6% (sector avg: 11.9%), gross margins of 18.0% (sector avg: 55.1%), net margins of -0.4% (sector avg: 10.4%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
With a value score of 33/100, NRG appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 1247.84x, an EV/EBITDA of 52.56x, a P/B ratio of 19.64x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
NRG ENERGY, INC.'s investment score of 31/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 14.7% vs. a sector average of 4.0% and a return on assets of 0.1% (sector: 3.5%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
NRG demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 67/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at 14.7% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.62 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
NRG's stability score of 32/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.62 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1117.00x (sector avg: 1.0x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
The short interest score of 54/100 for NRG suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include high market sensitivity (beta: 1.62), elevated leverage (D/E: 1117.00x). With a $31.2B market cap (large-cap), NRG ENERGY, INC. may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
NRG offers a modest dividend yield of 1.1%. This compares to a sector average dividend yield of 1.5%. While the income contribution is relatively small, even a small dividend signals management's commitment to shareholder returns and can serve as a signal of financial discipline.
NRG ENERGY, INC. is a large-cap company in the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1600 of 7,333 overall (78th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 1.6% trailing the 11.9% sector median and operating margins of 1.8% below the 17.6% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services peers.
While NRG currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the TRANSPORTATION, COMMUNICATIONS, ELECTRIC, GAS, AND SANITARY SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Investment (31) is the limiting factor — improvement here would lift the composite score most.
EV/EBITDA 760% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 87% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 67% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081

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