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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#630
Positioning
Market Dominance
Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services
Utilities
$4.5B
Stephen D. Westhoven
New Jersey Resources Corporation provides regulated gas distribution, retail and wholesale energy services. The company operates through four segments: Natural Gas Distribution, Clean Energy Ventures, Energy Services, and Storage and Transportation. The Energy Services segment offers unregulated wholesale energy management services to other energy companies and natural gas producers.
Headcount
1.3K
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UGP ULTRAPAR HOLDINGS INC | 79 | 90 | 95 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TNK TEEKAY TANKERS LTD. | 78 | 94 | 97 | 82 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DHT DHT Holdings, Inc. | 75 | 84 | 88 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$STNG Scorpio Tankers Inc. | 75 | 86 | 95 | 74 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NAT NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS Ltd | 75 | 82 | 88 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMX AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV/ | 74 | 86 | 81 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PAC Pacific Airport Group | 73 | 94 | 80 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GSL Global Ship Lease, Inc. | 73 | 82 | 94 | 81 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRMD TORM plc | 73 | 86 | 94 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$VIV TELEFONICA BRASIL S.A. | 73 | 82 | 90 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NJR NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORP | 61 | 69 | 71 | 45 | 17.9x | 11.6x | 12.1% | 3.8% | 52.8% | 23.1% | 12.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 220.0x | $4.5B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 16.9x | 6.1x | 11.9% | 3.2% | 52.6% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.3x | - | REF |
NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORP (NJR) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 60.7/100. It ranks #630 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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HQ Base
Wall, New Jersey
In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for NJR.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 69 | 78 | -9DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 45 | 43 | +2NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 71 | 79 | -8DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 39 | 61 | -22DRAG |
| STABILITY | 90 | 92 | -2NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 50 | 49 | +1NEUTRAL |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 12.1% (sector 11.9%)
GM 53% vs sector 53%, OM 23% vs sector 15%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth 2%, 11yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORP (NJR) as a Hold with a composite score of 60.7/100 at a current price of $53.64. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORP holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 60.7/100 places it at rank #630 in our full universe.
No Moat
Medium
Poor
Undervalued
Gross margins of 53% signal strong pricing power.
Value factor score of 71 suggests attractive pricing.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 220% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORP represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORP a Hold rating, with a composite score of 60.7/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #630 of 7,333 stocks, NJR presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
NJR earns a quality score of 69/100, indicating above-average business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 12.1% (sector avg: 11.9%), gross margins of 52.8% (sector avg: 52.6%), net margins of 12.9% (sector avg: 7.7%). Companies in this tier generally demonstrate consistent profitability and efficient capital deployment, though they may face some competitive pressure.
NJR carries a solid value score of 71/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 17.89x, an EV/EBITDA of 11.57x, a P/B ratio of 2.17x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORP's investment score of 39/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 1.8% vs. a sector average of 4.2% and a return on assets of 3.8% (sector: 3.2%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
NJR is currently showing below-average momentum at 45/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 1.8% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.06 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORP earns an excellent stability score of 90/100, reflecting low price volatility and a conservatively managed balance sheet. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.06 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 220.00x (sector avg: 1.3x). Stocks with this level of stability tend to act as portfolio anchors, providing downside protection during market corrections while still participating in broad market advances.
The short interest score of 50/100 for NJR suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 220.00x). With a $4.5B market cap (mid-cap), NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORP may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORP offers an attractive dividend yield of 4.0%, placing it among the higher-yielding stocks in its peer group. This compares to a sector average dividend yield of 1.4%. A yield this high can provide meaningful income, but investors should verify the payout is sustainable by examining the payout ratio, free cash flow coverage, and any history of dividend cuts.
NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORP is a mid-cap company in the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #630 of 7,333 overall (91st percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 12.1% exceeding the 11.9% sector median and operating margins of 23.1% above the 14.8% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services peers.
While NJR currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the TRANSPORTATION, COMMUNICATIONS, ELECTRIC, GAS, AND SANITARY SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Stability (90) vs Investment (39) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 89% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE IN LINE WITH SECTOR BENCHMARKS
Gross Margin IN LINE WITH SECTOR BENCHMARKS
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Investing in defensive stocks like ResMed Inc. (RMD), Encompass Health Corporation (EHC), New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) and Global Water Resources, Inc. (GWRS) would be a wise idea during these times of uncertainty.
New Jersey Resources (NJR) is back in focus after reporting quarterly results that topped analyst forecasts on both revenue and earnings per share, while management lifted full-year net financial EPS guidance to a range of 7% to 9% growth. See our latest analysis for New Jersey Resources. The latest earnings beat and higher guidance have arrived alongside a 12.6% 30 day share price return and a 17.8% year to date share price return. The 1 year total shareholder return of 21.8% suggests...
Primo Water announced a special dividend of 82 cents per share, an 811% increase from its quarterly dividend, in connection with its merger with BlueTriton. The company continues to see organic growth and strategic investments, positioning it well for the future.
Stephen Westhoven, the President & CEO of New Jersey Resources Corp, sold 30,000 shares of the company. This sale is part of a broader trend where there have been 5 insider sells and no insider buys over the last year. The company's stock is currently trading at $45.05, which is significantly overvalued compared to its intrinsic value.
New Jersey Resources (NJR) makes a strong case for investment, given its growth prospects, strong ROE and capability to increase shareholders' value.