Equity Research Analysis: NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ)
|Blank Capital Research Unit|Spot: $11.44
Price$11.44
Composite Score31.9/100
RatingAVOID (1★)
Rank#4387 OF 7,333
Market Cap$4.4B
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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#4387
Positioning
Market Dominance
Services
Computer Software
$4.4B
James Peck
We are a leading global consumer intelligence company positioned at the nexus of brands, retailers and consumers. Our principal executive offices are located in Chicago, Illinois.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = NIQ ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$YALA Yalla Group Ltd | 75 | 89 | 99 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GRVY GRAVITY Co., Ltd. | 75 | 82 | 96 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ISSC INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC | 73 | 81 | 88 | 94 | 25.0x | 14.1x | 17.1% | 10.3% | 35.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 105.2% | 0.0% | 41.0x | $244M | VS | |
$AER AerCap Holdings N.V. | 72 | 60 | 87 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$HCSG HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP INC | 72 | 74 | 88 | 88 | 7.1x | 6.1x | 28.9% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 1.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$LQDT LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | 72 | 90 | 88 | 68 | 24.9x | 14.3x | 14.1% | 8.3% | 45.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 28.1% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $736M | VS | |
$TRTNpA Triton International Ltd | 71 | 70 | 89 | 70 | - | 1.7x | 0.0% | - | 97.4% | 58.0% | 37.4% | - | 8.8% | 264.0x | $2.5B | VS | |
$EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. | 71 | 83 | 52 | 77 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NTES NetEase, Inc. | 71 | 88 | 93 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC | 70 | 86 | 86 | 72 | 43.2x | 16.0x | 15.3% | 5.8% | 100.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 24.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$NIQ NIQ Global Intelligence plc | 32 | 31 | 31 | 29 | - | 8.8x | -64.3% | -11.5% | 56.0% | -3.3% | -18.7% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 458.0x | $4.4B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 23.7x | 11.7x | 5.7% | 2.4% | 64.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 31.9/100. It ranks #4387 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for NIQ.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 31 | 18 | +13ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 29 | 23 | +6ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 31 | 24 | +7ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 24 | 11 | +13ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 49 | 50 | -1NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 32 | 19 | +13ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC -0.9% vs WACC 5.0% (spread -5.9%)
GM 56% vs sector 65%, OM -3% vs sector 5%
Capital turnover 0.33x
Rev growth 7%
Interest coverage -1.1x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) as Avoid with a composite score of 31.9/100 at a current price of $11.44. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
NIQ Global Intelligence plc holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 31.9/100 places it at rank #4387 in our full universe.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 56% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 458% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
NIQ Global Intelligence plc represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags NIQ Global Intelligence plc with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 31.9/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #4387 of 7,333 stocks, NIQ falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
NIQ's quality score of 31/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of -64.3% (sector avg: 5.7%), gross margins of 56.0% (sector avg: 64.6%), net margins of -18.7% (sector avg: 2.8%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 31/100, NIQ appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include an EV/EBITDA of 8.85x, a P/B ratio of 2.72x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
NIQ Global Intelligence plc's investment score of 24/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 7.2% vs. a sector average of 8.6% and a return on assets of -11.5% (sector: 2.4%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
NIQ Global Intelligence plc is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 29/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at 7.2% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.07 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
With a stability score of 49/100, NIQ exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.07 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 458.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
NIQ Global Intelligence plc's short interest score of 32/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 458.00x). At $4.4B (mid-cap), NIQ carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
NIQ Global Intelligence plc is a mid-cap company in the Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #4387 of 7,333 overall (40th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -64.3% trailing the 5.7% sector median and operating margins of -3.3% below the 4.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Services peers.
While NIQ currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Investment (24) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 25% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 1221% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 13% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NYSE:NIQ) is among the 11 Newly-Listed NYSE Stocks to Buy Now. On February 17, 2026, BofA analyst Curtis Nagle reinstated coverage of NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NYSE:NIQ) with a Buy rating and a $20 price target. Curtis Nagle said that as BofA resumes coverage of 19 Information and Business Services companies, […]
We recently compiled a list of the 15 Best Strong Buy Tech Stocks to Invest In. NIQ Global Intelligence plc is among the best Strong Buy stocks. The Fly reported on February 3 that Baird analyst Jeffrey Meuler lowered the price target on NIQ to $20 from $24 while maintaining an Outperform rating. The report also corrected […]
NIQ Global Intelligence plc ( NYSE:NIQ ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period...
Why NIQ Global Intelligence Is On Investors’ Radar NIQ Global Intelligence (NIQ) has been drawing attention after recent share price moves, with a 4.2% decline over the past week contrasting with gains over the past month and past 3 months. For investors, that mix of short term weakness and recent momentum raises questions about how the current US$16.99 share price lines up with the company’s fundamentals and long term potential. See our latest analysis for NIQ Global Intelligence. That...
If you are looking at NIQ Global Intelligence and wondering whether the current share price really reflects its underlying value, this article is written to help you answer that question with numbers rather than guesswork. Over the short term, the stock has seen a 4.9% decline over the last 7 days, a 4.8% gain over the last 30 days, and an 8.4% return year to date. These moves can change how the market views both its growth potential and its risks. Recent coverage has focused on NIQ Global...