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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1034
Positioning
Market Dominance
Services
Personal Services
$1.7B
John L. Lai
Mister Car Wash, Inc. provides conveyorized car wash services in the United States. It offers express exterior and interior cleaning services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 396 car wash locations in 21 states.
Headcount
6.3K
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = MCW ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$YALA Yalla Group Ltd | 75 | 89 | 99 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GRVY GRAVITY Co., Ltd. | 75 | 82 | 96 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ISSC INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC | 73 | 81 | 88 | 94 | 25.0x | 14.1x | 17.1% | 10.3% | 35.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 105.2% | 0.0% | 41.0x | $244M | VS | |
$AER AerCap Holdings N.V. | 72 | 60 | 87 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$HCSG HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP INC | 72 | 74 | 88 | 88 | 7.1x | 6.1x | 28.9% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 1.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$LQDT LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | 72 | 90 | 88 | 68 | 24.9x | 14.3x | 14.1% | 8.3% | 45.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 28.1% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $736M | VS | |
$TRTNpA Triton International Ltd | 71 | 70 | 89 | 70 | - | 1.7x | 0.0% | - | 97.4% | 58.0% | 37.4% | - | 8.8% | 264.0x | $2.5B | VS | |
$EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. | 71 | 83 | 52 | 77 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NTES NetEase, Inc. | 71 | 88 | 93 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC | 70 | 86 | 86 | 72 | 43.2x | 16.0x | 15.3% | 5.8% | 100.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 24.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$MCW Mister Car Wash, Inc. | 57 | 51 | 74 | 64 | 21.9x | 7.8x | 9.5% | 3.4% | 100.0% | 20.1% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 184.0x | $1.7B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 23.7x | 11.7x | 5.7% | 2.4% | 64.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
Mister Car Wash, Inc. (MCW) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 57.0/100. It ranks #1034 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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HQ Base
Pending Verification
Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for MCW.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 51 | 61 | -10DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 64 | 71 | -7DRAG |
| VALUATION | 74 | 85 | -11DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 47 | 83 | -36DRAG |
| STABILITY | 61 | 66 | -5NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 22 | 8 | +14ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 4.7% vs WACC 7.5% (spread -2.8%)
GM 100% vs sector 65%, OM 20% vs sector 5%
Capital turnover 0.33x
Rev growth 3%, 5yr history
Interest coverage 3.7x, Net debt/EBITDA 10.8x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Mister Car Wash, Inc. (MCW) as a Hold with a composite score of 57.0/100 at a current price of $6.99. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
Mister Car Wash, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 57.0/100 places it at rank #1034 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at 3% and momentum in the 64th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
No Moat
Medium
Poor
Undervalued
Gross margins of 100% signal strong pricing power.
Value factor score of 74 suggests attractive pricing.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 184% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Mister Car Wash, Inc. represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns Mister Car Wash, Inc. a Hold rating, with a composite score of 57.0/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1034 of 7,333 stocks, MCW presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 51/100, MCW shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 9.5% (sector avg: 5.7%), gross margins of 100.0% (sector avg: 64.6%), net margins of 10.1% (sector avg: 2.8%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
MCW carries a solid value score of 74/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 21.86x, an EV/EBITDA of 7.81x, a P/B ratio of 2.08x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
With an investment score of 47/100, MCW exhibits moderate growth-oriented spending. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 3.3% vs. a sector average of 8.6% and a return on assets of 3.4% (sector: 2.4%). The company appears to be balancing growth investments with capital returns, though the pace of investment may not be enough to accelerate top-line growth meaningfully.
MCW demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 64/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at 3.3% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.94 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
With a stability score of 61/100, MCW exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.94 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 184.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
Mister Car Wash, Inc.'s short interest score of 22/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 184.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $1.7B (small-cap), MCW carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
Mister Car Wash, Inc. is a small-cap company in the Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1034 of 7,333 overall (86th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 9.5% exceeding the 5.7% sector median and operating margins of 20.1% above the 4.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Services peers.
While MCW currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Value (74) vs Short Int. (22) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 33% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 66% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 55% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081

Major M&A activity continues across multiple sectors: Starboard Value pushes TripAdvisor toward a sale, Hims & Hers acquires Eucalyptus for $1.15B to expand internationally, Danaher buys Masimo for $9.9B, Mister Car Wash goes private via Leonard Green for $3.1B, and Devon Energy completes a $21.4B merger with Coterra Energy. Meanwhile, Saks Global struggles with vendor shipments during bankruptcy, and Warner Bros. Discovery rejects Paramount's hostile bid.
We recently published 10 Market Winners With Stunning Gains. Mister Car Wash Inc. (NASDAQ:MCW) was one of the best performers on Wednesday. Mister Car Wash extended its winning streak to a third straight day on Wednesday, jumping 16.14 percent to finish at $6.98 apiece as investors snapped up shares following announcements that it is set […]

Mister Car Wash stock surged 16.39% after Leonard Green & Partners announced it will take the company private in a $3.1 billion all-cash deal at $7.00 per share, representing a 29% premium to the 90-day average price. The acquisition comes after the company achieved record financial results in 2025, surpassing $1 billion in annual revenue for the first time with 6% revenue growth and 8% adjusted EBITDA growth.

Mister Car Wash stock surged 16.4% after announcing a definitive merger agreement to be taken private by Leonard Green & Partners at $7.00 per share, representing a 29% premium to the 90-day volume-weighted average price. The company also reported solid Q4 earnings with adjusted EPS of 11 cents slightly beating expectations and 4% year-over-year revenue growth to $261.2 million.

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