IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Blank Capital Research ("BCR") is a technology platform, not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer. The algorithmically generated signals, scores, and rankings provided on this site ("God Mode" Signals) are for informational and research purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or solicit an offer to buy any securities.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS: The "timing scores" and "regime signals" displayed are based on quantitative models. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity.
RISK OF LOSS: Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Data provided by third-party sources (Intrinio, Snowflake) is believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
© 2026 Blank Capital Research. All rights reserved. System Version: Aegis V8 (God Mode).
Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#4510
Positioning
Market Dominance
Services
Business Services
$6.8B
Frederick G. Thiel
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. operates as a digital asset technology company that mines cryptocurrencies. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 8,115 bitcoins. The company was formerly known as Marathon Patent Group.
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = MARA ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$YALA Yalla Group Ltd | 75 | 89 | 99 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GRVY GRAVITY Co., Ltd. | 75 | 82 | 96 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ISSC INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC | 73 | 81 | 88 | 94 | 25.0x | 14.1x | 17.1% | 10.3% | 35.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 105.2% | 0.0% | 41.0x | $244M | VS | |
$AER AerCap Holdings N.V. | 72 | 60 | 87 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$HCSG HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP INC | 72 | 74 | 88 | 88 | 7.1x | 6.1x | 28.9% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 1.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$LQDT LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | 72 | 90 | 88 | 68 | 24.9x | 14.3x | 14.1% | 8.3% | 45.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 28.1% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $736M | VS | |
$TRTNpA Triton International Ltd | 71 | 70 | 89 | 70 | - | 1.7x | 0.0% | - | 97.4% | 58.0% | 37.4% | - | 8.8% | 264.0x | $2.5B | VS | |
$EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. | 71 | 83 | 52 | 77 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NTES NetEase, Inc. | 71 | 88 | 93 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC | 70 | 86 | 86 | 72 | 43.2x | 16.0x | 15.3% | 5.8% | 100.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 24.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$MARA MARA Holdings, Inc. | 30 | 25 | 51 | 24 | 11.0x | 10.4x | 5.3% | 3.0% | -50.9% | -20.0% | 10.9% | 73.9% | 0.0% | 63.0x | $6.8B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 23.7x | 11.7x | 5.7% | 2.4% | 64.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 30.3/100. It ranks #4510 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
Sign in to join the discussion.
Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Relative valuation derived from Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for MARA.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 25 | 9 | +16ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 24 | 17 | +7ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 51 | 54 | -3NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 17 | 0 | +17ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 22 | 12 | +10ALPHA |
| SHORT INT | 49 | 49 | 0NEUTRAL |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 1.0% vs WACC 4.8% (spread -3.8%)
GM -51% vs sector 65%, OM -20% vs sector 5%
Capital turnover 0.10x, R&D intensity 3.8%
Rev growth 74%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 3.7x, Net debt/EBITDA 11.3x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) as Avoid with a composite score of 30.3/100 at a current price of $8.03. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
MARA Holdings, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 30.3/100 places it at rank #4510 in our full universe.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
MARA Holdings, Inc. represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags MARA Holdings, Inc. with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 30.3/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #4510 of 7,333 stocks, MARA falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
MARA's quality score of 25/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of 5.3% (sector avg: 5.7%), gross margins of -50.9% (sector avg: 64.6%), net margins of 10.9% (sector avg: 2.8%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
MARA's value score of 51/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 11.04x, an EV/EBITDA of 10.40x, a P/B ratio of 0.58x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
MARA Holdings, Inc.'s investment score of 17/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 73.9% vs. a sector average of 8.6% and a return on assets of 3.0% (sector: 2.4%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
MARA Holdings, Inc. is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 24/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at 73.9% year-over-year, while a beta of 2.25 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
MARA Holdings, Inc. registers a low stability score of 22/100, indicating high volatility and potentially stressed financial conditions. Key stability metrics include a beta of 2.25 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 63.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). Stocks at this level carry elevated capital loss risk and may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios without careful risk management.
The short interest score of 49/100 for MARA suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include high market sensitivity (beta: 2.25), elevated leverage (D/E: 63.00x). With a $6.8B market cap (mid-cap), MARA Holdings, Inc. may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
MARA Holdings, Inc. is a mid-cap company in the Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #4510 of 7,333 overall (38th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 5.3% trailing the 5.7% sector median and operating margins of -20.0% below the 4.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Services peers.
While MARA currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Upgrade catalyst
Improvement in Investment (17) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 11% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 8% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 179% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081

US stocks advanced on December 22 with falling volatility supporting risk appetite. The S&P 500 gained 0.43%, Nasdaq rose 0.46%, and Russell 2000 led with +1.08%. AI stocks drove gains with NVIDIA up on China H200 chip shipment plans. Energy rallied on Venezuela tanker seizures, while gold and silver hit record highs on rate-cut expectations. Bitcoin approached $90,000 amid broader hard-asset accumulation.
Bitcoin briefly sank below $63,000 on Tuesday, dragging down its miners alongside it.

TeraWulf surged 16.4% after Morgan Stanley initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and $37 price target, highlighting the company's potential as an AI-focused data center operator rather than just a bitcoin miner. The analyst call emphasized TeraWulf's ability to redirect energy capacity from crypto mining to AI infrastructure, setting it apart from peers. Trading volume reached 64.4 million shares, nearly double the three-month average.

Bitcoin's traditional four-year halving cycle no longer drives prices as institutional investors, ETFs, and corporate treasuries have fundamentally changed market dynamics. With companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla holding billions in Bitcoin, and institutional adoption accelerating through spot ETFs, Bitcoin is maturing into a digital asset class. However, risks remain including volatility, lack of organic network growth, and unproven safe-haven status.