IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Blank Capital Research ("BCR") is a technology platform, not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer. The algorithmically generated signals, scores, and rankings provided on this site ("God Mode" Signals) are for informational and research purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or solicit an offer to buy any securities.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS: The "timing scores" and "regime signals" displayed are based on quantitative models. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity.
RISK OF LOSS: Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Data provided by third-party sources (Intrinio, Snowflake) is believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
© 2026 Blank Capital Research. All rights reserved. System Version: Aegis V8 (God Mode).
Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#4604
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Consumer Goods
$968M
Jochen Zeitz
N/A
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | 28.5% | 8.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 10.4% | -4.6% | 3.3% | 0.0x | $141.8B | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | 46.1% | 16.6% | 51.3% | 31.9% | 26.8% | -4.0% | 1.0% | 25.0x | $272.1B | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | 10.3% | 3.1% | 24.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 14.3% | 0.8% | 25.0x | $11.4B | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | 2.2% | 1.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | -8.5% | 2.2% | 16.0x | $18.9B | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 35.5% | 19.8% | 48.7% | 29.2% | 24.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 32.0x | $181.9B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | 11.8% | 8.8% | 45.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 25.7% | 3.7% | 0.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.6% | 7.0% | 66.5% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 39.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $115M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | 22.6% | 4.9% | 71.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 124.0x | $72.1B | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | 3.0% | 1.1% | 20.9% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 67.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | 8.2% | 3.5% | 55.3% | 25.9% | 12.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.0x | $87.0B | VS | |
$LVWR LiveWire Group, Inc. | 29 | 24 | 45 | 31 | - | - | -174.2% | -54.8% | -38.7% | -497.8% | -468.5% | -11.6% | 0.0% | 218.0x | $968M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -2.5% | -0.1% | 42.5% | 1.3% | -0.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
LiveWire Group, Inc. (LVWR) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 28.8/100. It ranks #4604 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
Sign in to join the discussion.
YOY expansion rate
Core pricing power
Operating efficiency
Bottom-line conversion
Equity capital efficiency
Asset base utilization
Financial leverage load
Direct cash return
Jochen Zeitz
Chief Executive Officer
Labor Force
220
24
25
13
Audit Verdict: Lower quality and stability scores may indicate governance concerns.
No recent insider transactions available for LVWR
Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for LVWR.
View All RatingsMaterial decline in asset turnover efficiency detected
High margin volatility — erratic forensic earnings quality
ROE proxy -174.2% (sector -2.5%)
GM -39% vs sector 43%, OM -498% vs sector 1%
Capital turnover N/A, R&D intensity 93.1%
Rev growth -12%, 4yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
Our quantitative model flags LiveWire Group, Inc. with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 28.8/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #4604 of 7,333 stocks, LVWR falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
LiveWire Group, Inc. registers a weak quality score of just 24/100, indicating significant profitability challenges. The company reports a return on equity of -174.2% (sector avg: -2.5%), gross margins of -38.7% (sector avg: 42.5%), net margins of -468.5% (sector avg: -0.2%). Low quality scores are often associated with businesses in turnaround mode, early-stage growth, or structurally challenged industries.
With a value score of 45/100, LVWR appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/B ratio of 9.79x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
LiveWire Group, Inc.'s investment score of 25/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -11.6% vs. a sector average of 5.9% and a return on assets of -54.8% (sector: -0.1%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
LVWR is currently showing below-average momentum at 31/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at -11.6% year-over-year, while a beta of 2.75 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
LiveWire Group, Inc. registers a low stability score of 13/100, indicating high volatility and potentially stressed financial conditions. Key stability metrics include a beta of 2.75 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 218.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). Stocks at this level carry elevated capital loss risk and may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios without careful risk management.
LiveWire Group, Inc.'s short interest score of 8/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include high market sensitivity (beta: 2.75), elevated leverage (D/E: 218.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $968M (small-cap), LVWR carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
LiveWire Group, Inc. is a small-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #4604 of 7,333 overall (37th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -174.2% trailing the -2.5% sector median and operating margins of -497.8% below the 1.3% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While LVWR currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Upgrade catalyst
Improvement in Short Int. (8) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 6925% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 191% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Op. Margin 38687% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
AUDIT DATA AS OF SEP 30, 2025 (Q2 FY2025)
We rate LiveWire Group, Inc. (LVWR) as Avoid with a composite score of 28.8/100 at a current price of $1.65. The stock falls in the bottom quintile of our universe across key quantitative factors, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
The rating is primarily driven by strength in value (45th percentile) and momentum (31th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. Offsetting weakness in stability (13th percentile) and quality (24th percentile) tempers our overall conviction. We assign a No Moat rating (14/100), Very High uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation.
Key items to watch: momentum to confirm whether the current price trend has legs; balance sheet deleveraging progress; the path to profitability. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.
LiveWire Group, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 28.8/100 places it at rank #4604 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $968M in market capitalization, LiveWire Group, Inc. is a small-cap player in the Manufacturing space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.
Revenue contraction of -12% combined with momentum at the 31th percentile paints a cautious picture of the near-term business outlook. The market appears to be pricing in continued challenges, and a catalyst for reversal is not clearly visible from current data.
The margin cascade tells an important story: gross margins of -39% (-81.2pp vs sector) narrow to operating margins of -498% (-499.1pp vs sector) and net margins of -468.5%, yielding a gross-to-net conversion rate of N/A%. The significant margin erosion from gross to net suggests elevated operating expenses, high interest costs, or other structural drags that warrant monitoring.
At a current price of $1.65, LiveWire Group, Inc. is trading near fair value based on current fundamentals. Our value factor score of 45/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. Valuation metrics are mixed, with no strong signal of mispricing in either direction.
The stock currently trades at P/B of 9.8x, P/S of 24.0x. We evaluate these multiples in the context of both absolute levels and sector-relative positioning to form our valuation view.
The stock may offer contrarian value if near-term headwinds prove transitory — the current weakness in factor scores may reverse if business fundamentals stabilize.
The Avoid rating (composite 28.8/100) reflects multi-factor weakness, and historically, stocks in this scoring range have underperformed the market by a meaningful margin.
Elevated leverage (218% D/E) amplifies downside risk and limits management's financial flexibility in adverse scenarios.
Revenue decline of -12% signals business deterioration — declining revenues make it difficult to grow into the current valuation and often precede further negative revisions.
Thin net margins of -468.5% provide limited cushion against cost pressures, competitive pricing, or macroeconomic headwinds — even small changes in costs could swing the company to a loss.
We assign a Very High uncertainty rating to LiveWire Group, Inc.. The stock exhibits multiple compounding risk factors: elevated market sensitivity (beta of 2.75), significant leverage (218% debt-to-equity), current negative profitability (net margin -468.5%). The extreme uncertainty around future cash flows makes precise valuation difficult, and the range of outcomes is exceptionally wide. Only investors with high risk tolerance and extended time horizons should consider this name.
Specific risk factors that inform our assessment include: elevated market sensitivity (beta of 2.75); significant leverage (218% debt-to-equity); current negative profitability (net margin -468.5%); below-average price stability (13th percentile). Each of these factors independently widens the distribution of potential outcomes, and in combination they create a risk profile that demands careful position sizing. The stability factor at the 13th percentile and quality factor at the 24th percentile provide a quantitative summary of the overall risk landscape.
We identify limited risk mitigants at this time, which contributes to our very high uncertainty assessment. Investors should monitor for improvement in balance sheet metrics, margin stability, and business predictability that could warrant a downgrade in our risk assessment over time.
We rate LiveWire Group, Inc.'s capital allocation as Poor. Key concerns include low returns on equity (-174.2%), elevated leverage (218% D/E), negative profitability, weak asset returns (ROA -54.8%). Exemplary capital allocators generate ROE above 20% and maintain conservative leverage — LiveWire Group, Inc. significantly underperforms these benchmarks, raising questions about management's ability to create shareholder value.
Investors should scrutinize management's reinvestment decisions and balance sheet trajectory before committing capital. Poor capital allocation often compounds over time: overlevered balance sheets limit strategic flexibility, while low returns on capital destroy shareholder value. We would need to see sustained improvement in profitability metrics and balance sheet discipline before considering an upgrade.
In summary, LiveWire Group, Inc. receives a Avoid rating with a composite score of 28.8/100 (rank #4604 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a No Moat (14/100, trend: stable), Very High uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 27/100.
Our analysis does not support a constructive view on LiveWire Group, Inc. at this time. The combination of limited competitive advantages, very high uncertainty, and poor capital allocation suggests unfavorable risk-reward at current levels. We recommend investors avoid new positions and existing holders consider reducing exposure.
Analysis derived from Blank Capital Research quantitative terminal. For informational purposes only. No trade solicitation. Past performance not indicative of future results. Consult a qualified advisor.
We do not assign LiveWire Group, Inc. a meaningful economic moat, scoring 14/100 on our composite assessment. Current fundamentals do not demonstrate the kind of durable competitive advantages — such as superior returns on invested capital, margin superiority, or reinvestment efficiency — that would protect the company from competitive erosion over the long term. The highest-scoring pillar, reinvestment efficiency, reached only 7/20.
The strongest moat sources are reinvestment efficiency (7/20) and economic value creation (2.5/20). Capital turnover N/A, R&D intensity 93.1%. ROE proxy -174.2% (sector -2.5%). These pillars form the core of LiveWire Group, Inc.'s competitive identity and are the primary drivers of excess returns in our framework.
Areas of relative weakness include margin superiority (0/20) and growth durability (1.8/20). GM -39% vs sector 43%, OM -498% vs sector 1%. Improvement in these areas could meaningfully widen the moat over time, while deterioration would be an early warning of competitive erosion.
Our moat trend assessment is Stable. Multi-year ROIC and operating margin trajectories show neither meaningful improvement nor deterioration, suggesting the competitive position is steady. We expect LiveWire Group, Inc.'s moat profile to remain largely unchanged absent a material shift in return on capital or industry dynamics.
Key profit drivers include declining revenues (-12%) that pressure the earnings outlook. The margin cascade from -39% gross to -498% operating to -468.5% net reveals the company's cost structure and reinvestment intensity. Our analysis indicates that profit quality raises some durability concerns, with the quality factor at the 24th percentile.
The margin profile shows gross margins of -39%, operating margins of -498%, net margins of -468.5%. Return metrics include ROE of -174.2% and ROA of -54.8%. Relative to the Manufacturing sector, gross margins are 81.2 percentage points below the sector median of 43%, and ROE of -174.2% compares to a sector median of -2.5%.
The balance sheet reflects high leverage with D/E of 218%, which may limit financial flexibility, revenue growth of -12%. The sector median D/E is 0%, putting LiveWire Group, Inc. at higher leverage than the typical peer. Elevated leverage in combination with the current margin profile warrants close monitoring for any deterioration in debt-servicing capacity.
Weak momentum (31th percentile) suggests institutional selling pressure and unfavorable technical dynamics that may persist.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Shares of FactSet Research Systems Inc. (NYSE: FDS) fell sharply during Thursday’s session after the company reported worse-than-expected second-quarter revenue and issued FY24 guidance. FactSet Research posted adjusted earnings of $4.22 per share, beating market estimates of $3.88 per share. The company’s quarterly sales came in at $545.95 million, missing expectations of $546.80 million, according to data from Benzinga Pro. FactSet Research shares dipped 5.2% to $462.36 on Thursday. Here are some other stocks moving in today's mid-day session. Gainers Yield10 Bioscience, Inc. (NASDAQ: YTEN) shares jumped 136.7% to $0.5751 after the company announced that the USDA-APHIS Biotechnology Regulatory Services determined that the Camelina sativa varieties may be planted and bred in the United States. Kaival Brands Innovations Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: KAVL) shares jumped 101.7% to $2.6850 after falling 11% on Wednesday. CuriosityStream Inc. (NASDAQ: CURI) rose 63.2% to $2.6850 after the company reported financial results for fourth quarter. Portage Biotech Inc. (NASDAQ: PRTG) gained 53.7% to $0.7525. Lufax Holding Ltd (NYSE: LU) climbed 41.3% to $4.76 following fourth-quarter results. Asset Entities Inc. (NASDAQ: ASST) shares climbed 37% to $0.7173 after the company announced that it entered into an agreement with Zendrop. Cazoo Group Ltd (NYSE: CZOO) gained 33% to $4.6475. Guess?, Inc. (NYSE: GES) shares rose 23.1% to $31.95 as the company reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter financial results and declared a special dividend of $2.25 per share. Nortech Systems Incorporated (NASDAQ: NSYS) surged 22.3% to $13.35 after the company reported fourth-quarter results. JOANN Inc. (NASDAQ: JOAN) gained 20.8% to $0.1631. Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMTX) climbed 18.4% to $4.3238 after the company announced approval by the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services for a $200 million of EB-5 program investment for the Riverbank sustainable aviation fuel, production plant, the dairy renewable natural gas project, the ...
Shares of Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) rose sharply in today’s pre-market trading as the company reported upbeat results for its second quarter and issued strong third-quarter guidance. Micron reported first-quarter revenue of $5.82 billion, which beat the consensus estimate of $5.342 billion. The company reported adjusted earnings of 42 cents per share, which easily beat analyst estimates for a loss of 25 cents per share, according to data from Benzinga Pro. Micron Technology shares jumped 17.1% to $112.69 in pre-market trading Here are some other stocks moving in pre-market trading. Gainers Kaival Brands Innovations Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: KAVL) shares rose 73.7% to $2.31 in pre-market trading after falling 11% on Wednesday. CuriosityStream Inc. (NASDAQ: CURI) rose 36.2% to $0.7919 in pre-market trading after the company reported financial results for fourth quarter. TROOPS, Inc. (NASDAQ: TROO) shares rose 27.8% to $2.11 in pre-market trading. Lufax Holding Ltd (NYSE: LU) climbed 26.4% to $4.26 in pre-market trading ...
U.S. stocks were mixed, with the Dow Jones index gaining around 0.1% on Wednesday. Shares of Sportradar Group AG (NASDAQ: SRAD) rose sharply during Wednesday’s session after the company reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results and authorized a $200 million share repurchase program. Sportradar posted quarterly earnings of 8 cents per share, beating market estimates of 4 cents per share. The company’s quarterly sales came in at $271.88 million, beating market expectations of $271.46 million, according to data from Benzinga Pro. Sportradar Group shares jumped 10.7% to $11.17 on Wednesday. Here are some other big stocks recording gains in today’s session. Annovis Bio, Inc. (NASDAQ: ANVS) shares surged 25.6% to $11.21 after the company announced the completion of data cleaning for its Phase 2/3 study of Buntanetap in patients with mild to moderate Alzheimer's disease, with Topline efficacy data expected in April. Taysha ...
U.S. stock futures traded higher this morning on Monday. Here are some big stocks recording gains in today’s pre-market trading session. Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: CRNX) shares jumped 35.8% to $21.69 in pre-market trading. Crinetics said Once-daily oral paltusotine achieved the primary and all secondary endpoints in the Phase 3 PATHFNDR-1 study evaluating treatment of patients with acromegaly. Canopy Growth Corporation (NASDAQ: CGC) shares rose 21.3% to $1.13 in pre-market trading after jumping over 22% on Friday. BeiGene, Ltd. (NASDAQ: BGNE) shares gained 8.2% ...
Gainers YS Biopharma Co., Ltd. (NASDAQ: YS) shares gained 57.6% to $1.19 in pre-market trading after the company announced the purchase of shares by company officers. Better Home & Finance Holding Co (NASDAQ: BETR) shares rose 35.6% to $1.56 in pre-market trading after dipping 93% on Thursday. Crown ElectroKinetics Corp. (NASDAQ: CRKN) rose 25.6% to $1.57 in pre-market trading after falling over 9% on Thursday. The company, on Thursday, issued a second-quarter business update. SciSparc Ltd. (NASDAQ: SPRC) shares climbed 22% to $0.1940 in pre-market trading. SciSparc recently announced pricing of $1.3 million underwritten public offering of 6.5m shares at $0.20 per share. Orgenesis Inc. (NASDAQ: ORGS) rose 15.2% to $0.50 in pre-market trading after falling 28% on Thursday. Marin Software Incorporated (NASDAQ: MRIN) shares rose 12.9% to $0.4990 in pre-market trading after falling ...