IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Blank Capital Research ("BCR") is a technology platform, not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer. The algorithmically generated signals, scores, and rankings provided on this site ("God Mode" Signals) are for informational and research purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or solicit an offer to buy any securities.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS: The "timing scores" and "regime signals" displayed are based on quantitative models. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity.
RISK OF LOSS: Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Data provided by third-party sources (Intrinio, Snowflake) is believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
© 2026 Blank Capital Research. All rights reserved. System Version: Aegis V8 (God Mode).
Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1507
Positioning
Market Dominance
Services
Personal Services
$6.2B
Brian E. Mueller
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides education services to colleges and universities in the United States. Technology services include learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services. Academic services comprises program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites.
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = LOPE ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$YALA Yalla Group Ltd | 75 | 89 | 99 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GRVY GRAVITY Co., Ltd. | 75 | 82 | 96 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ISSC INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC | 73 | 81 | 88 | 94 | 25.0x | 14.1x | 17.1% | 10.3% | 35.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 105.2% | 0.0% | 41.0x | $244M | VS | |
$AER AerCap Holdings N.V. | 72 | 60 | 87 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$HCSG HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP INC | 72 | 74 | 88 | 88 | 7.1x | 6.1x | 28.9% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 1.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$LQDT LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | 72 | 90 | 88 | 68 | 24.9x | 14.3x | 14.1% | 8.3% | 45.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 28.1% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $736M | VS | |
$TRTNpA Triton International Ltd | 71 | 70 | 89 | 70 | - | 1.7x | 0.0% | - | 97.4% | 58.0% | 37.4% | - | 8.8% | 264.0x | $2.5B | VS | |
$EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. | 71 | 83 | 52 | 77 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NTES NetEase, Inc. | 71 | 88 | 93 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC | 70 | 86 | 86 | 72 | 43.2x | 16.0x | 15.3% | 5.8% | 100.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 24.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$LOPE Grand Canyon Education, Inc. | 53 | 63 | 48 | 58 | 25.8x | 21.4x | 22.9% | 17.2% | 68.0% | 19.6% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 0.0% | 33.0x | $6.2B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 23.7x | 11.7x | 5.7% | 2.4% | 64.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 53.2/100. It ranks #1507 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
Sign in to join the discussion.
In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Fair valuation relative to peers
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Relative valuation derived from Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for LOPE.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 63 | 77 | -14DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 58 | 61 | -3NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 48 | 48 | 0NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 28 | 25 | +3NEUTRAL |
| STABILITY | 83 | 90 | -7DRAG |
| SHORT INT | 46 | 44 | +2NEUTRAL |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 22.9% (sector 5.7%)
GM 68% vs sector 65%, OM 20% vs sector 5%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth 15%, 10yr history
Interest coverage N/A, Net debt/EBITDA -0.4x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) as a Hold with a composite score of 53.2/100 at a current price of $157.01. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 53.2/100 places it at rank #1507 in our full universe.
Narrow
Low
Exemplary
Fair Value
Gross margins of 68% signal strong pricing power.
Returns on equity of 22.9% exceed cost of capital.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns Grand Canyon Education, Inc. a Hold rating, with a composite score of 53.2/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1507 of 7,333 stocks, LOPE presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 63/100, LOPE shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 22.9% (sector avg: 5.7%), gross margins of 68.0% (sector avg: 64.6%), net margins of 16.3% (sector avg: 2.8%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
With a value score of 48/100, LOPE appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 25.75x, an EV/EBITDA of 21.36x, a P/B ratio of 5.89x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s investment score of 28/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 14.8% vs. a sector average of 8.6% and a return on assets of 17.2% (sector: 2.4%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
LOPE demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 58/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at 14.8% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.61 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
LOPE shows good financial stability with a score of 83/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.61 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 33.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
The short interest score of 46/100 for LOPE suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 33.00x). With a $6.2B market cap (mid-cap), Grand Canyon Education, Inc. may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. is a mid-cap company in the Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1507 of 7,333 overall (79th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 22.9% exceeding the 5.7% sector median and operating margins of 19.6% above the 4.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Services peers.
While LOPE currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Stability (83) vs Investment (28) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 82% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 299% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 5% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Operator: Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Fourth Quarter 2025 Grand Canyon Education Earnings Conference Call.
Higher education company Grand Canyon Education (NASDAQ:LOPE) met Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q4 CY2025, with sales up 5.3% year on year to $308.1 million. The company expects next quarter’s revenue to be around $333.8 million, coming in 7.9% above analysts’ estimates. Its GAAP profit of $3.14 per share was in line with analysts’ consensus estimates.
Shares of higher education company Grand Canyon Education (NASDAQ:LOPE) jumped 3.4% in the morning session after the company reported strong fourth-quarter 2025 earnings, solid enrollment growth, and provided an upbeat financial forecast.

Strategic Education, Inc. has outperformed its peers in the education industry, driven by strong enrollment growth in its U.S. Higher Education segment and a rebound in its Australia/New Zealand segment. The company's diversified program offerings and disciplined expense management have also contributed to its margin expansion.

Here is how BrightView Holdings (BV) and Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.