ST JOE Co (JOE) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast
Company Overview — What Does ST JOE Co Do?
The St. Joe Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development, asset management, and operating company in Northwest Florida. It operates through three segments: Residential, Hospitality, and Commercial. The Residential segment plans and develops residential communities of various sizes for homebuilders or retail consumers. It primarily sells developed homesites and parcels of entitled or undeveloped land. The Hospitality segment owns and operates a private membership club, golf courses, beach clubs, retail outlets, marinas, and other entertainment assets. This segment also engages in the hotel, food and beverage, and gulf-front vacation rental operations, as well as provides management services. The Commercial segment engages in leasing of commercial property, multi-family, a senior living community, and other assets. This segment also plans, develops, entitles, manages, and sells commercial land holdings for retail, office, hotel, senior living, multi-family, self-storage, and industrial uses; and grows and sells pulpwood, sawtimber, and other forest products. The company owns 170,000 acres of land in Northwest Florida. The St. Joe Company was incorporated in 1936 and is based in Panama City Beach, Florida. ST JOE Co (JOE) is classified as a mid-cap stock in the Real Estate sector. The company is led by CEO Jorge L. Gonzalez and employs approximately 620 people, headquartered in WATERSOUND, Florida. With a market capitalization of $3.7B, JOE is one of the notable companies in the Real Estate sector.
ST JOE Co (JOE) Stock Rating — Hold (April 2026)
As of April 2026, ST JOE Co receives a Hold rating with a composite score of 41.8/100 and 3 out of 5 stars from the Blank Capital Research quantitative model.JOE ranks #1,954 out of 4,446 stocks in our coverage universe. Within the Real Estate sector, ST JOE Co ranks #20 of 57 stocks, placing it in the upper half of its Real Estate peers. The rating is generated by a multi-factor model that weighs quality (30%), momentum (25%), value (15%), investment (10%), stability (10%), and short interest (10%).
JOE Stock Price and 52-Week Range
ST JOE Co (JOE) currently trades at $67.37. The stock lost $0.48 (0.7%) in the most recent trading session. The 52-week high for JOE is $73.54, which means the stock is currently trading -8.4% from its annual peak. The 52-week low is $40.19, putting the stock 67.6% above its annual trough. Recent trading volume was 133K shares, suggesting relatively thin trading activity.
Is JOE Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis
ST JOE Co (JOE) carries a value factor score of 45/100 in the Blank Capital model, indicating fair valuation relative to historical norms. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio is 32.34x, compared to the Real Estate sector average of 32.31x — a premium of 0%. The price-to-book ratio stands at 5.33x, versus the sector average of 1.18x. The price-to-sales ratio is 7.30x, compared to 0.80x for the average Real Estate stock. On an enterprise value basis, JOE trades at 23.87x EV/EBITDA, versus 8.62x for the sector.
Overall, JOE's valuation appears roughly in line with sector benchmarks, suggesting the market is pricing the stock fairly given its current fundamentals and growth trajectory. Neither deep value nor significantly overpriced, the stock occupies a middle ground on valuation.
ST JOE Co Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score
ST JOE Co (JOE) earns a quality factor score of 25/100, signaling below-average profitability metrics relative to the broader market. The return on equity (ROE) is 15.1%, compared to the Real Estate sector average of 1.5%, which is within a healthy range. Return on assets (ROA) comes in at 7.6% versus the sector average of 0.8%.
On a margin basis, ST JOE Co reports gross margins of -0.4%, compared to 26.0% for the sector. The operating margin is 27.5% (sector: 3.7%). Net profit margin stands at 22.1%, versus 1.8% for the average Real Estate stock. Revenue growth is running at 30.2% on a trailing basis, compared to 6.1% for the sector. Profitability is below benchmark levels, which may reflect industry headwinds, elevated reinvestment, or structural challenges.
JOE Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health
ST JOE Co has a debt-to-equity ratio of 51.0%, compared to the Real Estate sector average of 60.0%. Leverage is within a manageable range for the industry, though investors should monitor debt trends over time. The current ratio is 2.68x, indicating strong short-term liquidity. Total debt on the balance sheet is $391M. Cash and equivalents stand at $130M.
JOE has a beta of 0.97, meaning it is roughly in line with the broader market in terms of price volatility. The stability factor score for ST JOE Co is 73/100, indicating low-volatility characteristics and consistent price behavior that appeals to risk-averse investors.
ST JOE Co Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend
In TTM 2026, ST JOE Co reported revenue of $513M and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.51. Net income for the quarter was $116M. Gross margin was -0.4%. Operating income came in at $107M.
In Q4 2025, ST JOE Co reported revenue of $129M. Net income for the quarter was $29M. Gross margin was -126.8%.
In FY 2025, ST JOE Co reported revenue of $513M and earnings per share (EPS) of $2.00. Net income for the quarter was $116M. Gross margin was 43.0%. Operating income came in at $146M.
In Q3 2025, ST JOE Co reported revenue of $161M and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.67. Net income for the quarter was $40M. Gross margin was 44.4%. Operating income came in at $53M.
Over the past 8 quarters, ST JOE Co has demonstrated a growth trajectory, with revenue expanding from $427M to $513M. Investors analyzing JOE stock should weigh these quarterly trends alongside the valuation and quality metrics discussed above.
JOE Dividend Yield and Income Analysis
ST JOE Co (JOE) currently pays a dividend yield of 1.1%. At this yield, a $10,000 investment in JOE stock would generate approximately $$113.00 in annual dividend income. With a net margin of 22.1%, the dividend appears well-covered by earnings, suggesting sustainable payouts going forward.
JOE Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile
ST JOE Co (JOE) has a momentum factor score of 64/100, reflecting neutral trend characteristics. The stock is neither significantly outperforming nor underperforming the broader market on a momentum basis. The investment factor score is 24/100, which measures capital allocation efficiency and asset growth patterns. The short interest score of 18/100 signals elevated short interest, which can indicate bearish sentiment among institutional investors.
JOE vs Competitors — Real Estate Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison
Within the Real Estate sector, ST JOE Co (JOE) ranks #20 out of 57 stocks based on the Blank Capital composite score. This places JOE in the upper half of all Real Estate stocks in our coverage universe. Key competitors and sector peers include Urban Edge Properties (UE) with a score of 51.9/100, Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. (KW) with a score of 48.0/100, AMREP CORP. (AXR) with a score of 49.0/100, GETTY REALTY CORP /MD/ (GTY) with a score of 53.1/100, and Curbline Properties Corp. (CURB) with a score of 50.5/100.
Comparing JOE against the S&P 500 benchmark is also instructive for understanding relative performance. Investors can view the full JOE vs S&P 500 (SPY) comparison to assess how ST JOE Co stacks up against the broader market across all factor dimensions.
JOE Next Earnings Date
No upcoming earnings date has been announced for ST JOE Co (JOE) at this time. Check the earnings calendar for the latest scheduling updates across all stocks in our coverage universe.
Should You Buy JOE? — Investment Thesis Summary
ST JOE Co presents a balanced picture with arguments on both sides. The quality score of 25/100 flags below-average profitability. Price momentum is positive at 64/100, suggesting the trend favors buyers. Low volatility (stability score 73/100) reduces downside risk.
In summary, ST JOE Co (JOE) earns a Hold rating with a composite score of 41.8/100 as of April 2026. The rating is derived from the Blank Capital Research methodology, which combines six factor dimensions into a single quantitative ranking. Investors should consider these quantitative signals alongside their own fundamental research, risk tolerance, and investment time horizon before making buy or sell decisions on JOE stock.
Related Resources for JOE Investors
Explore more research and tools: JOE vs S&P 500 comparison, top Real Estate stocks, stock screener, our methodology, quality factor explained, value factor explained, momentum factor explained. Compare JOE head-to-head with peers: JOE vs UE, JOE vs KW, JOE vs AXR.