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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3448
Positioning
Market Dominance
Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate
Real Estate
$430M
Gregory S. Bielli
Tejon Ranch Co. operates as a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company. The Ranch Operations segment provides game management and ancillary land services. The Mineral Resources segment includes oil and gas royalties, rock and aggregate royalties, and royalties from a cement operation.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$SII SPROTT INC. | 75 | 91 | 87 | 98 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PUK PRUDENTIAL PLC | 73 | 88 | 97 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NMR NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | 72 | 81 | 92 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PSLV Sprott Physical Silver Trust | 69 | 82 | 80 | 98 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UFCS UNITED FIRE GROUP INC | 68 | 81 | 93 | 76 | 5.0x | 3.5x | 13.2% | 4.1% | 99.9% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 16.0x | $775M | VS | |
$SLF SUN LIFE FINANCIAL INC | 68 | 83 | 95 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. | 68 | 75 | 63 | 77 | 21.3x | 15.7x | 24.0% | 13.7% | 41.7% | 32.4% | 26.4% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 30.0x | $25.7B | VS | |
$VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. | 67 | 69 | 77 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PHYS Sprott Physical Gold Trust | 67 | 64 | 82 | 91 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GLDM World Gold Trust | 66 | 54 | 85 | 92 | 11.3x | 11.3x | - | 20.9% | 100.0% | 97.1% | 554.8% | -19.0% | 0.0% | - | $32.0B | VS | |
$TRC TEJON RANCH CO | 41 | 26 | 25 | 45 | 285.2x | - | -0.7% | -0.5% | 28.1% | -37.9% | -10.4% | 110.4% | 0.0% | 29.0x | $430M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 11.9x | 7.8x | 9.0% | 1.3% | 77.7% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 0.5x | - | REF |
TEJON RANCH CO (TRC) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 40.7/100. It ranks #3448 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for TRC.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 26 | 15 | +11ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 45 | 45 | 0NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 25 | 8 | +17ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 33 | 50 | -17DRAG |
| STABILITY | 78 | 85 | -7DRAG |
| SHORT INT | 28 | 16 | +12ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC -1.7% vs WACC 8.7% (spread -10.4%)
GM 28% vs sector 78%, OM -38% vs sector 18%
Capital turnover 0.13x
Rev growth 110%, 10yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate TEJON RANCH CO (TRC) as a Reduce with a composite score of 40.7/100 at a current price of $17.53. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
TEJON RANCH CO holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 40.7/100 places it at rank #3448 in our full universe.
No Moat
Medium
Poor
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Elevated P/E ratio of 285.2x leaves little room for execution misses.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
TEJON RANCH CO represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
TEJON RANCH CO receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 40.7/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #3448 out of 7,333 stocks. TRC's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
TRC's quality score of 26/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of -0.7% (sector avg: 9.0%), gross margins of 28.1% (sector avg: 77.7%), net margins of -10.4% (sector avg: 21.9%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
TRC registers a value score of just 25/100, suggesting the stock trades at a significant premium to its fundamental metrics. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 285.17x, a P/B ratio of 0.95x. High-premium valuations like this require strong future execution to avoid multiple compression, and downside risk is elevated if growth disappoints.
TEJON RANCH CO's investment score of 33/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 110.4% vs. a sector average of 10.7% and a return on assets of -0.5% (sector: 1.3%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
TRC is currently showing below-average momentum at 45/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 110.4% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.29 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
TRC shows good financial stability with a score of 78/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.29 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 29.00x (sector avg: 0.5x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
TEJON RANCH CO's short interest score of 28/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 29.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $430M (small-cap), TRC carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
TEJON RANCH CO is a small-cap company in the Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3448 of 7,333 overall (53rd percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -0.7% trailing the 9.0% sector median and operating margins of -37.9% below the 18.1% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate peers.
While TRC currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Value (25) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 108% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 64% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Op. Margin 309% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
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Key Insights Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Tejon Ranch's stock price might be vulnerable to their...
By M. Marin NYSE:TRC READ THE FULL TRC RESEARCH REPORT Unless company can demonstrate nearer term benefits of current development plans, continue to see significant gap between shareholders’ views and management plans Following Tejon Ranch Company’s (NYSE:TRC) Investor Day held on November 14, 2025, we noted that we believed a significant gap still existed between shareholders’ views and