Is HPK a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our 6-factor quantitative model, HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 40.7/100. It is ranked #1,029 out of 4,446 stocks. Key factor scores: Quality 50/100, Value 64/100, Momentum 33/100. The timing signal is "Bullish". This is quantitative analysis only — not investment advice.

What is the stock rating for HPK?

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) has a "Hold" rating and 3-star score. The composite score of 40.7 ranks it #1,029 among 4,446 U.S. stocks. Ratings are updated weekly using academically-proven factor models.

What sector is HPK in?

HighPeak Energy, Inc. operates in the Energy sector (Petroleum And Natural Gas industry) with a market cap of $796 million. It is classified as a small-cap stock.

Does HPK pay a dividend?

Yes, HPK pays a dividend with a current yield of 2.26%. The Energy sector average yield is 1.89%. For every $1,000 invested, you would receive approximately $22.60 in annual dividend income.

What is HPK's P/E ratio?

HPK has a trailing P/E ratio of 9.52x. The Energy sector average is 19.6x. This below-average P/E may indicate the stock is undervalued.

How profitable is HPK?

HPK's quality factor score is 50/100. Gross margin: 82.0%. ROE: 5.9% vs sector average 6.7%. High margins suggest pricing power and competitive moats.

How is HPK valued compared to peers?

HPK's value factor score is 64/100 (higher = cheaper). Key multiples: P/E 9.5x, EV/EBITDA 8.7x. The stock appears attractively valued versus peers.

What is HPK's debt level?

HPK's debt-to-equity ratio is 75%. Sector average: 55%. Moderate leverage is normal for established companies.

HPK has a beta of 1.41, meaning it amplifies market moves. Stability score: 28/100.

Does HPK have high short interest?

HPK's short interest factor score is 12/100 (higher = less short selling). Elevated short interest may indicate bearish sentiment or short squeeze potential.

HPK Stock Analysis: Top Small-Cap Hold (Score 40.7/100) | Blank Capital Research

Data Series	1D	5D	1M	YTD	1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y
HPK	+0.63%	-8.12%	+15.27%	+33.76%	-25.15%	-	-	-
Industry Proxy XLE	-0.68%	-3.90%	+2.41%	+27.35%	-26.03%	-	-	-
U.S. Market SPY	-0.07%	+3.60%	+0.34%	-0.36%	+29.52%	-	-	-
Alpha vs Market	+0.70%	-11.72%	+14.94%	+34.12%	-54.67%	-	-	-
Alpha vs Sector	+1.32%	-4.22%	+12.86%	+6.40%	+0.89%	-	-	-

Metric	HPK	Benchmark
P/E Ratio	9.5x	-51%
EV/EBITDA	8.7x	+149%
Price / Book	0.6x

Stock Entity	Score▼	Quality	Value	Momentum	P/E Ratio	ROE	Gross Margin	Net Margin	Rev Growth	D/E Ratio	Market Cap	Compare
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd.	59	48	91	64	4.8x	59.1%	96.5%	15.4%	11.2%	40.0x	$761M	VS
PARR PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS, INC.	57	50	77	77	10.7x	19.8%	-	3.7%	-0.2%	53.0x	$3.1B	VS
TTE TotalEnergies SE	57	36	90	62	14.4x	-	34.7%	8.2%	-	-	$191.7B	VS
XOM EXXON MOBIL CORP	55	50	63	62	21.3x	12.0%	32.0%	9.4%	-8.4%	68.0x	$669.9B	VS
GPRK GeoPark Ltd	55	47	97	55	4.4x	189.6%	75.2%	14.6%	-	262.0x	$452M	VS
APA APA Corp	55	50	79	69	12.4x	17.5%	85.0%	13.5%	-16.8%	154.0x	$14.6B	VS
PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp	53	30	61	75	16.2x	0.8%	34.4%	5.9%	-	71.0x	$1.2B	VS
AMPY Amplify Energy Corp.	53	50	80	60	116.2x	0.5%	93.3%	0.5%	-16.5%	31.0x	$242M	VS
NBR NABORS INDUSTRIES LTD	53	50	80	72	3.8x	34.0%	55.1%	10.0%	10.1%	351.0x	$1.2B	VS
DVN DEVON ENERGY CORP/DE	53	50	67	59	10.5x	19.0%	46.0%	17.3%	10.6%	54.0x	$30.1B	VS
HPK HighPeak Energy, Inc.	41	50	64	33	9.5x	5.9%	82.0%	9.0%	-31.4%	75.0x	$796M

Key Ratio	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2019
Gross Margin %	0.8%	-	-	-	-	-	0.6%
Operating Margin %	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%	0.4%	0.6%	0.5%	-1.4%
EBITDA Margin %	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%	0.4%	0.6%	0.5%	-0.9%
Net Margin %	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	-1.4%
FCF Margin %	-9.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-895.8%
ROE %	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	-0.0%
ROA %	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	-0.0%
ROIC %	0.1%	4.3%	10.1%	12.5%	17.8%	12.4%	-2.1%

Key Ratio

TTM

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2019

Gross Margin %

0.8%

0.6%

Operating Margin %

0.3%

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

0.6%

0.5%

-1.4%

EBITDA Margin %

0.3%

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

0.6%

0.5%

-0.9%

Net Margin %

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

-1.4%

FCF Margin %

-9.5%

-895.8%

ROE %

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

-0.0%

ROA %

0.0%

0.1%

-0.0%

ROIC %

0.1%

4.3%

10.1%

12.5%

17.8%

12.4%

-2.1%

Line Item	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2019
	$918M	$863M	$1.1B	$1.1B	$756M	$220M	$8M
	—	—	—	—	—	—	$5M
Gross Margin	82.0%	---	---	---	---	---	58.5%
	—	$25M	$20M	$17M	$12M	$9M	—
Depreciation	—	—	—	—	—	—	$4M
Total Operating Expenses	—	$713M	$732M	$685M	$333M	$118M	—
	$240M	$150M	$337M	$426M	$423M	$102M	-$12M
EBIT	$240M	$150M	$337M	$426M	$423M	$102M	-$12M
EBITDA	$240M	$150M	$337M	$426M	$423M	$102M	-$7M
Operating Margin	25.3%	17.4%	31.6%	38.4%	55.9%	46.3%	-142.7%
EBITDA Margin	26.1%	17.4%	31.6%	38.4%	55.9%	46.3%	-90.1%
	—	$147M	$169M	$148M	$51M	$2M	$0
	—	$26M	$131M	$282M	$312M	$72M	—
Income Tax Expense	—	$7M	$36M	$66M	$75M	$17M	$0
	$94M	$19M	$95M	$216M	$237M	$56M	-$12M
Net Margin	9.0%	2.2%	8.9%	19.4%	31.3%	25.2%	-142.7%
	$0.13	$0.13	$0.69	$1.64	$2.04	$0.55	$0.00
Diluted EPS	$0.13	$0.14	$0.67	$1.58	$1.93	$0.54	$0.00
Weighted Avg Basic	—	125M	125M	118M	105M	93M	—
Weighted Avg Diluted	—	125M	129M	123M	111M	95M	—

Line Item

TTM

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2019

$918M

$863M

$1.1B

$756M

$220M

$8M

—

$5M

Gross Margin

82.0%

---

58.5%

—

$25M

$20M

$17M

$12M

$9M

—

Depreciation

—

$4M

Total Operating Expenses

—

$713M

$732M

$685M

$333M

$118M

—

$240M

$150M

$337M

$426M

$423M

$102M

-$12M

EBIT

$240M

$150M

$337M

$426M

$423M

$102M

-$12M

EBITDA

$240M

$150M

$337M

$426M

$423M

$102M

-$7M

Operating Margin

25.3%

17.4%

31.6%

38.4%

55.9%

46.3%

-142.7%

EBITDA Margin

26.1%

17.4%

31.6%

38.4%

55.9%

46.3%

-90.1%

—

$147M

$169M

$148M

$51M

$2M

—

$26M

$131M

$282M

$312M

$72M

—

Income Tax Expense

—

$7M

$36M

$66M

$75M

$17M

$94M

$19M

$95M

$216M

$237M

$56M

-$12M

Net Margin

9.0%

2.2%

8.9%

19.4%

31.3%

25.2%

-142.7%

$0.13

$0.69

$1.64

$2.04

$0.55

$0.00

Diluted EPS

$0.13

$0.14

$0.67

$1.58

$1.93

$0.54

$0.00

Weighted Avg Basic

—

125M

118M

105M

93M

—

Weighted Avg Diluted

—

125M

129M

123M

111M

95M

—

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast

Last updated: April 2026

Company Overview — What Does HighPeak Energy, Inc. Do?

HighPeak Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the Midland Basin in West Texas. As of December 31, 2021, the company had approximately 64,213 MBoe of proved reserves. HighPeak Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas. HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) is classified as a small-cap stock in the Energy sector, specifically within the Petroleum And Natural Gas industry. The company is led by CEO Jack D. Hightower and employs approximately 30 people. With a market capitalization of $796M, HPK is one of the notable companies in the Energy sector.

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) Stock Rating — Hold (April 2026)

As of April 2026, HighPeak Energy, Inc. receives a Hold rating with a composite score of 40.7/100 and 3 out of 5 stars from the Blank Capital Research quantitative model.HPK ranks #1,029 out of 4,446 stocks in our coverage universe. Within the Energy sector, HighPeak Energy, Inc. ranks #88 of 128 stocks, placing it in the lower half of its Energy peers. The rating is generated by a multi-factor model that weighs quality (30%), momentum (25%), value (15%), investment (10%), stability (10%), and short interest (10%).

HPK Stock Price and 52-Week Range

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) currently trades at $6.35. The stock gained $0.05 (0.8%) in the most recent trading session. The 52-week high for HPK is $13.12, which means the stock is currently trading -51.6% from its annual peak. The 52-week low is $3.85, putting the stock 64.9% above its annual trough. Recent trading volume was 620K shares, suggesting relatively thin trading activity.

Is HPK Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) carries a value factor score of 64/100 in the Blank Capital model, indicating fair valuation relative to historical norms. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio is 9.52x, compared to the Energy sector average of 19.63x — a discount of 51%. The price-to-book ratio stands at 0.56x, versus the sector average of 1.64x. The price-to-sales ratio is 0.98x, compared to 0.47x for the average Energy stock. On an enterprise value basis, HPK trades at 8.71x EV/EBITDA, versus 3.50x for the sector.

Overall, HPK's valuation appears roughly in line with sector benchmarks, suggesting the market is pricing the stock fairly given its current fundamentals and growth trajectory. Neither deep value nor significantly overpriced, the stock occupies a middle ground on valuation.

HighPeak Energy, Inc. Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) earns a quality factor score of 50/100, indicating solid business quality with consistent operational execution. The return on equity (ROE) is 5.9%, compared to the Energy sector average of 6.7%, which is below typical expectations for high-quality companies. Return on assets (ROA) comes in at 2.9% versus the sector average of 3.7%.

On a margin basis, HighPeak Energy, Inc. reports gross margins of 82.0%, compared to 52.7% for the sector. The operating margin is 25.3% (sector: 10.7%). Net profit margin stands at 9.0%, versus 6.4% for the average Energy stock. Revenue growth is running at -31.4% on a trailing basis, compared to -1.2% for the sector. The overall profitability profile is adequate, though there may be room for margin expansion.

HPK Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health

HighPeak Energy, Inc. has a debt-to-equity ratio of 75.0%, compared to the Energy sector average of 55.0%. Leverage is within a manageable range for the industry, though investors should monitor debt trends over time. The current ratio is 1.13x, suggesting adequate working capital coverage. Total debt on the balance sheet is $1.19B. Cash and equivalents stand at $165M.

HPK has a beta of 1.41, meaning it is more volatile than the broader market — a $10,000 investment in HPK would be expected to move 40.7% more than the S&P 500 on any given day. The stability factor score for HighPeak Energy, Inc. is 28/100, suggesting elevated price swings that may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios.

HighPeak Energy, Inc. Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend

In TTM 2026, HighPeak Energy, Inc. reported revenue of $918M and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.13. Net income for the quarter was $94M. Gross margin was 82.0%. Operating income came in at $240M.

In FY 2025, HighPeak Energy, Inc. reported revenue of $863M and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.13. Net income for the quarter was $19M. Revenue grew -19.3% year-over-year compared to FY 2024. Operating income came in at $150M.

In Q3 2025, HighPeak Energy, Inc. reported revenue of $189M and earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.15. Net income for the quarter was $-18M. Revenue grew -30.5% year-over-year compared to Q3 2024. Operating income came in at $33M.

In Q2 2025, HighPeak Energy, Inc. reported revenue of $200M and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.19. Net income for the quarter was $26M. Revenue grew -27.2% year-over-year compared to Q2 2024. Operating income came in at $43M.

Over the past 8 quarters, HighPeak Energy, Inc. has demonstrated a growth trajectory, with revenue expanding from $275M to $918M. Investors analyzing HPK stock should weigh these quarterly trends alongside the valuation and quality metrics discussed above.

HPK Dividend Yield and Income Analysis

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) currently pays a dividend yield of 2.3%. At this yield, a $10,000 investment in HPK stock would generate approximately $$226.00 in annual dividend income. This compares to the Energy sector average dividend yield of 1.9%, meaning HPK offers above-average income for its sector. The net margin of 9.0% provides reasonable coverage for the dividend, though investors should monitor payout sustainability.

HPK Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) has a momentum factor score of 33/100, signaling weak relative price performance. Stocks with low momentum scores have historically tended to continue underperforming in the near term. The investment factor score is 38/100, which measures capital allocation efficiency and asset growth patterns. The short interest score of 12/100 signals elevated short interest, which can indicate bearish sentiment among institutional investors.

HPK vs Competitors — Energy Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison

Within the Energy sector, HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) ranks #88 out of 128 stocks based on the Blank Capital composite score. This places HPK in the lower half of all Energy stocks in our coverage universe. Key competitors and sector peers include TotalEnergies SE (TTE) with a score of 57.0/100, APA Corp (APA) with a score of 54.7/100, PRECISION DRILLING Corp (PDS) with a score of 53.4/100, Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) with a score of 59.2/100, and EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) with a score of 55.1/100.

Comparing HPK against the S&P 500 benchmark is also instructive for understanding relative performance. Investors can view the full HPK vs S&P 500 (SPY) comparison to assess how HighPeak Energy, Inc. stacks up against the broader market across all factor dimensions.

HPK Next Earnings Date

No upcoming earnings date has been announced for HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) at this time. Check the earnings calendar for the latest scheduling updates across all stocks in our coverage universe.

Should You Buy HPK? — Investment Thesis Summary

HighPeak Energy, Inc. presents a balanced picture with arguments on both sides. The value score of 64/100 suggests attractive pricing relative to fundamentals. Momentum is weak at 33/100, a headwind for near-term performance. High volatility (stability score 28/100) increases portfolio risk.

In summary, HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) earns a Hold rating with a composite score of 40.7/100 as of April 2026. The rating is derived from the Blank Capital Research methodology, which combines six factor dimensions into a single quantitative ranking. Investors should consider these quantitative signals alongside their own fundamental research, risk tolerance, and investment time horizon before making buy or sell decisions on HPK stock.

Related Resources for HPK Investors

Explore more research and tools: HPK vs S&P 500 comparison, top Energy stocks, stock screener, our methodology, quality factor explained, value factor explained, momentum factor explained. Compare HPK head-to-head with peers: HPK vs TTE, HPK vs APA, HPK vs PDS.

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Why HighPeak Energy (HPK) Is Shifting to a More Defensive 2026 Plan

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HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast

Company Overview — What Does HighPeak Energy, Inc. Do?

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) Stock Rating — Hold (April 2026)

HPK Stock Price and 52-Week Range

Is HPK Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis

HighPeak Energy, Inc. Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score

HPK Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health

HighPeak Energy, Inc. Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend

HPK Dividend Yield and Income Analysis

HPK Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile

HPK vs Competitors — Energy Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison

HPK Next Earnings Date

Should You Buy HPK? — Investment Thesis Summary

Related Resources for HPK Investors

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Institutional Benchmarks

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Why HighPeak Energy (HPK) Is Shifting to a More Defensive 2026 Plan

Spotting Winners: HighPeak Energy (NASDAQ:HPK) And U.S. Shale E&P Stocks In Q4

Q4 Earnings Outperformers: Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG) And The Rest Of The U.S. Shale E&P Stocks

Q4 Earnings Roundup: Viper Energy (NASDAQ:VNOM) And The Rest Of The U.S. Shale E&P Segment

Reflecting On U.S. Shale E&P Stocks’ Q4 Earnings: Riley Exploration Permian (NYSE:REPX)