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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3064
Positioning
Market Dominance
Mining
Petroleum And Natural Gas
$721M
Luke C. Brandenberg
N/A
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$VALE Vale S.A. | 75 | 88 | 93 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SU SUNCOR ENERGY INC | 74 | 87 | 90 | 53 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRX TRX GOLD Corp | 72 | 83 | 77 | 96 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ORLA Orla Mining Ltd. | 72 | 94 | 83 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$KGC KINROSS GOLD CORP | 71 | 83 | 89 | 79 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD | 71 | 80 | 80 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$RIO RIO TINTO PLC | 70 | 76 | 84 | 64 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IAG IAMGOLD CORP | 70 | 71 | 82 | 89 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NGD New Gold Inc. /FI | 70 | 76 | 67 | 92 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp | 70 | 77 | 90 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. | 43 | 51 | 47 | 12 | 11.7x | 9.2x | 9.1% | 5.2% | 79.0% | 24.3% | 13.4% | 24.3% | 8.1% | 47.0x | $721M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 13.7x | 5.2x | 4.3% | 3.9% | 45.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (GRNT) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 43.4/100. It ranks #3064 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Mining sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for GRNT.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 51 | 54 | -3NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 12 | 6 | +6ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 47 | 48 | -1NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 31 | 27 | +4NEUTRAL |
| STABILITY | 65 | 73 | -8DRAG |
| SHORT INT | 37 | 27 | +10ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 4.4% vs WACC 7.2% (spread -2.8%)
GM 79% vs sector 46%, OM 24% vs sector 8%
Capital turnover 0.39x
Rev growth 24%, 4yr history
Interest coverage 3.2x, Net debt/EBITDA 14.7x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (GRNT) as a Reduce with a composite score of 43.4/100 at a current price of $5.13. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Mining sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 43.4/100 places it at rank #3064 in our full universe.
No Moat
Low
Standard
Fair Value
Gross margins of 79% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 43.4/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #3064 out of 7,333 stocks. GRNT's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
With a quality score of 51/100, GRNT shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 9.1% (sector avg: 4.3%), gross margins of 79.0% (sector avg: 45.8%), net margins of 13.4% (sector avg: 5.8%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
With a value score of 47/100, GRNT appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 11.72x, an EV/EBITDA of 9.16x, a P/B ratio of 1.06x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.'s investment score of 31/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 24.3% vs. a sector average of 0.1% and a return on assets of 5.2% (sector: 3.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 12/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at 24.3% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.08 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
GRNT shows good financial stability with a score of 65/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.08 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 47.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.'s short interest score of 37/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 47.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $721M (small-cap), GRNT carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. offers an attractive dividend yield of 8.1%, placing it among the higher-yielding stocks in its peer group. A yield this high can provide meaningful income, but investors should verify the payout is sustainable by examining the payout ratio, free cash flow coverage, and any history of dividend cuts.
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. is a small-cap company in the Mining sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3064 of 7,333 overall (58th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 9.1% exceeding the 4.3% sector median and operating margins of 24.3% above the 7.6% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Mining peers.
While GRNT currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the MINING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Mining Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Momentum (12) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 75% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 111% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 73% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
As February 2026 begins, U.S. stock markets have shown resilience with major indices like the Dow Jones and S&P 500 ending sharply higher, buoyed by positive economic indicators such as an unexpected expansion in factory activity. In this dynamic environment, small-cap stocks present intriguing opportunities for investors seeking value and growth potential, especially when insider actions suggest confidence in a company's prospects amidst broader market optimism.
As the U.S. stock market continues to reach new heights, with the S&P 500 setting all-time records, investors are increasingly interested in exploring opportunities beyond large-cap stocks. Amidst this backdrop of strong market performance and economic indicators, identifying promising small-cap stocks can offer potential for growth, particularly when these companies demonstrate solid fundamentals and insider confidence through recent buying activity.
The consensus price target hints at a 42.6% upside potential for Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (GRNT). While empirical research shows that this sought-after metric is hardly effective, an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions could mean that the stock will witness an upside in the near term.
Granite Ridge Resources, Otter Tail, Vipshop and Huron are part of the Zacks Screen of the Week article.
Low-beta energy stocks like Kinder Morgan (KMI), Murphy USA (MUSA) and Granite Ridge (GRNT) are worth betting on since notorious volatility is an integral part of the energy sector.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081