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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3469
Positioning
Market Dominance
Services
Computer Software
$653M
Leonard Livschitz
Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. provides enterprise-level digital transformation services in the areas of search, analytics, and release automation for Fortune 1000 corporations in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers technical consulting, software design, development, testing, and internet service operations services.
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Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = GDYN ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$YALA Yalla Group Ltd | 75 | 89 | 99 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GRVY GRAVITY Co., Ltd. | 75 | 82 | 96 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ISSC INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC | 73 | 81 | 88 | 94 | 25.0x | 14.1x | 17.1% | 10.3% | 35.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 105.2% | 0.0% | 41.0x | $244M | VS | |
$AER AerCap Holdings N.V. | 72 | 60 | 87 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$HCSG HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP INC | 72 | 74 | 88 | 88 | 7.1x | 6.1x | 28.9% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 1.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$LQDT LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | 72 | 90 | 88 | 68 | 24.9x | 14.3x | 14.1% | 8.3% | 45.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 28.1% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $736M | VS | |
$TRTNpA Triton International Ltd | 71 | 70 | 89 | 70 | - | 1.7x | 0.0% | - | 97.4% | 58.0% | 37.4% | - | 8.8% | 264.0x | $2.5B | VS | |
$EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. | 71 | 83 | 52 | 77 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NTES NetEase, Inc. | 71 | 88 | 93 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC | 70 | 86 | 86 | 72 | 43.2x | 16.0x | 15.3% | 5.8% | 100.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 24.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$GDYN GRID DYNAMICS HOLDINGS, INC. | 41 | 39 | 45 | 31 | 42.3x | 32.5x | 2.5% | 2.2% | 35.4% | 0.0% | 3.5% | 25.4% | 0.0% | 14.0x | $653M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 23.7x | 11.7x | 5.7% | 2.4% | 64.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
GRID DYNAMICS HOLDINGS, INC. (GDYN) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 40.6/100. It ranks #3469 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for GDYN.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 39 | 32 | +7ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 31 | 25 | +6ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 45 | 44 | +1NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 33 | 45 | -12DRAG |
| STABILITY | 40 | 38 | +2NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 70 | 84 | -14DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 2.5% (sector 5.7%)
GM 35% vs sector 65%, OM 0% vs sector 5%
Capital turnover N/A, R&D intensity 6.2%
Rev growth 25%, 7yr history
Interest coverage N/A, Net debt/EBITDA -71.0x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate GRID DYNAMICS HOLDINGS, INC. (GDYN) as a Reduce with a composite score of 40.6/100 at a current price of $6.45. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
GRID DYNAMICS HOLDINGS, INC. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 40.6/100 places it at rank #3469 in our full universe.
No Moat
Medium
Standard
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Elevated P/E ratio of 42.3x leaves little room for execution misses.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
GRID DYNAMICS HOLDINGS, INC. represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
GRID DYNAMICS HOLDINGS, INC. receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 40.6/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #3469 out of 7,333 stocks. GDYN's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
GDYN's quality score of 39/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of 2.5% (sector avg: 5.7%), gross margins of 35.4% (sector avg: 64.6%), net margins of 3.5% (sector avg: 2.8%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 45/100, GDYN appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 42.33x, an EV/EBITDA of 32.47x, a P/B ratio of 1.07x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
GRID DYNAMICS HOLDINGS, INC.'s investment score of 33/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 25.4% vs. a sector average of 8.6% and a return on assets of 2.2% (sector: 2.4%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
GDYN is currently showing below-average momentum at 31/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 25.4% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.45 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
GDYN's stability score of 40/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.45 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 14.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
GDYN carries a short interest score of 70/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.45), elevated leverage (D/E: 14.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $653M market cap (small-cap), GRID DYNAMICS HOLDINGS, INC. offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
GRID DYNAMICS HOLDINGS, INC. is a small-cap company in the Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3469 of 7,333 overall (53rd percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 2.5% trailing the 5.7% sector median and operating margins of 0.0% below the 4.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Services peers.
While GDYN currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Momentum (31) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 177% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 56% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 45% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
SAN RAMON, Calif., February 19, 2026--Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: GDYN) (Grid Dynamics), a premier AI transformation partner for the Fortune 1000, today announced the launch of its NVIDIA Solution Center. This suite of ready-to-deploy AI applications helps retail and manufacturing enterprises move away from costly, recurring SaaS licenses and subscription fees toward high-performance, NVIDIA-powered solutions. Learn more by reading NVIDIA’s recent announcement.
Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GDYN ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very...
Wedbush analyst Moshe Katri initiated coverage on Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:GDYN) with an Outperform rating and a price target of $13. The rating reflected recent, encouraging first quarter and calendar year 2024 results. The company’s GenAI-focused initiatives and product engineering expertise bode well for a second-half calendar year 2024 sequential uptick. See Also: DOJ Case Against Live Nation Is ‘Weak,’ Analysts Say: ‘Separating Ticketmaster… Is Unlikely To Lower Ticket Prices’ Katri noted that the company’s outsized exposure to retail and TMT verticals, which impacted growth in calendar year 2023. He expects the company to post mid-single-digit and mid-double-digit currency revenue growth between 2024 and 2025, respectively. GDYN’s partnership model provides significant, long-term monetization ...Full story available on Benzinga.com
Providing a diverse range of perspectives from bullish to bearish, 5 analysts have published ratings on Grid Dynamics Holdings (NASDAQ:GDYN) in the last three months. The table below offers a condensed view of their recent ratings, showcasing the changing sentiments over the past 30 days and comparing them to the preceding months. Bullish Somewhat Bullish Indifferent Somewhat Bearish Bearish Total Ratings 2 3 0 0 0 Last 30D 0 1 0 0 0 1M Ago 1 1 0 0 0 2M Ago 1 0 0 0 0 3M Ago 0 1 0 0 0 Insights from analysts' 12-month price targets are revealed, presenting an average target of $15.2, a high estimate of $17.00, and a low estimate of $13.00. This current average represents a 5.0% decrease from the previous average price target of $16.00. Exploring Analyst Ratings: An In-Depth Overview In examining recent analyst actions, we gain insights into how financial experts perceive Grid Dynamics Holdings. The following summary outlines key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets. Analyst Analyst Firm Action Taken Rating Current Price Target Prior Price Target Moshe Katri Wedbush Announces Outperform $13.00 - Mayank Tandon Needham Maintains Buy $16.00 - Tien-Tsin Huang JP Morgan Lowers Overweight $15.00 $17.00 Ryan Potter Citigroup Lowers Buy $15.00 $17.00 Josh Siegler Cantor Fitzgerald Raises Overweight $17.00 $14.00 Key Insights: Action Taken: Analysts frequently update their recommendations based on evolving market conditions and company performance. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise' or 'Lower' their stance, it reflects their reaction to recent developments related to Grid Dynamics Holdings. This ...Full story available on Benzinga.com
Across the recent three months, 5 analysts have shared their insights on Grid Dynamics Holdings (NASDAQ:GDYN), expressing a variety of opinions spanning from bullish to bearish. The table below provides a snapshot of their recent ratings, showcasing how sentiments have evolved over the past 30 days and comparing them to the preceding months. Bullish Somewhat Bullish Indifferent Somewhat Bearish Bearish Total Ratings 2 3 0 0 0 Last 30D 1 0 0 0 0 1M Ago 0 0 0 0 0 2M Ago 1 2 0 0 0 3M Ago 0 1 0 0 0 Insights from analysts' 12-month price targets are revealed, presenting an average target of $16.4, a high estimate of $17.00, and a low estimate of $15.00. This upward trend is apparent, with the current average reflecting a 5.13% increase from the previous average price target of $15.60. Interpreting Analyst Ratings: A Closer Look The perception of Grid Dynamics Holdings by financial experts is analyzed through recent analyst actions. The following summary presents key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets. Analyst Analyst Firm Action Taken Rating Current Price Target Prior Price Target Ryan Potter Citigroup Lowers Buy $15.00 $17.00 Josh Siegler Cantor Fitzgerald Raises Overweight $17.00 $14.00 Puneet Jain JP Morgan Raises Overweight $17.00 $16.00 Ryan Potter Citigroup Raises Buy $17.00 $16.00 Puneet Jain JP Morgan Raises Overweight $16.00 $15.00 Key Insights: Action Taken: In response to dynamic market conditions and company performance, analysts update their recommendations. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise', or 'Lower' their stance, it signifies their reaction to recent developments related to Grid Dynamics Holdings. This insight gives a snapshot of analysts' perspectives on ...Full story available on Benzinga.com