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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3315
Positioning
Market Dominance
Services
Entertainment
$149M
Jirka Rysavy
Gaia, Inc. operates a digital video subscription service and on-line community for underserved member base in the United States, Canada, Australia, and internationally. It has a digital content library of approximately 10,000 titles in Spanish, German, and French languages available to its subscribers on internet-connected devices. The company's network includes Yoga channel, which provides access to yoga, eastern arts, and other movement based classes.
Headcount
150
HQ Base
LOUISVILLE, Colorado
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = GAIA ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$YALA Yalla Group Ltd | 75 | 89 | 99 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GRVY GRAVITY Co., Ltd. | 75 | 82 | 96 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ISSC INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC | 73 | 81 | 88 | 94 | 25.0x | 14.1x | 17.1% | 10.3% | 35.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 105.2% | 0.0% | 41.0x | $244M | VS | |
$AER AerCap Holdings N.V. | 72 | 60 | 87 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$HCSG HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP INC | 72 | 74 | 88 | 88 | 7.1x | 6.1x | 28.9% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 1.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$LQDT LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | 72 | 90 | 88 | 68 | 24.9x | 14.3x | 14.1% | 8.3% | 45.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 28.1% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $736M | VS | |
$TRTNpA Triton International Ltd | 71 | 70 | 89 | 70 | - | 1.7x | 0.0% | - | 97.4% | 58.0% | 37.4% | - | 8.8% | 264.0x | $2.5B | VS | |
$EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. | 71 | 83 | 52 | 77 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NTES NetEase, Inc. | 71 | 88 | 93 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC | 70 | 86 | 86 | 72 | 43.2x | 16.0x | 15.3% | 5.8% | 100.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 24.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$GAIA GAIA, INC | 42 | 51 | 52 | 35 | - | 31.4x | -6.3% | -4.2% | 86.7% | -6.1% | -6.7% | 13.2% | 0.0% | 49.0x | $149M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 23.7x | 11.7x | 5.7% | 2.4% | 64.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
GAIA, INC (GAIA) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 41.8/100. It ranks #3315 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for GAIA.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 51 | 60 | -9DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 35 | 31 | +4NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 52 | 55 | -3NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 27 | 21 | +6ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 48 | 49 | -1NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 41 | 35 | +6ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy -6.3% (sector 5.7%)
GM 87% vs sector 65%, OM -6% vs sector 5%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth 13%, 10yr history
Interest coverage N/A, Net debt/EBITDA -12.5x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate GAIA, INC (GAIA) as a Reduce with a composite score of 41.8/100 at a current price of $3.25. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
GAIA, INC holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 41.8/100 places it at rank #3315 in our full universe.
No Moat
High
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 87% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
GAIA, INC represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
GAIA, INC receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 41.8/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #3315 out of 7,333 stocks. GAIA's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
With a quality score of 51/100, GAIA shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of -6.3% (sector avg: 5.7%), gross margins of 86.7% (sector avg: 64.6%), net margins of -6.7% (sector avg: 2.8%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
GAIA's value score of 52/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include an EV/EBITDA of 31.42x, a P/B ratio of 0.76x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
GAIA, INC's investment score of 27/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 13.2% vs. a sector average of 8.6% and a return on assets of -4.2% (sector: 2.4%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
GAIA is currently showing below-average momentum at 35/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 13.2% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.25 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
With a stability score of 48/100, GAIA exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.25 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 49.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
The short interest score of 41/100 for GAIA suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.25), elevated leverage (D/E: 49.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. With a $149M market cap (micro-cap), GAIA, INC may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
GAIA, INC is a micro-cap company in the Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3315 of 7,333 overall (55th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -6.3% trailing the 5.7% sector median and operating margins of -6.1% below the 4.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Services peers.
While GAIA currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Investment (27) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 168% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 209% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 34% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
-Experiential Healing Conference with World Renowned Speakers Takes Place March 14 – 15, 2026 at the GaiaSphere Event Center in Boulder, Colorado-BOULDER, Colo., Feb. 12, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Gaia (NASDAQ: GAIA) the world's largest conscious streaming service with 10,000 titles reaching members in 185 countries, announced today that tickets are on sale for the Emersion Conference 2026. The fifth annual Emersion Conference features an unprecedented lineup of visionaries who won’t just teach,
Gaia reported Q3 2025 earnings with 14% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $25 million. The company is focusing on AI-driven engagement, direct member relationships, and launching a new community platform in 2026, while strategically increasing subscription prices.
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