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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2507
Positioning
Market Dominance
Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services
Utilities
$59.2B
Christopher M. Crane
Exelon Corporation engages in the energy generation, delivery, and marketing businesses in the United States and Canada. It owns nuclear, fossil, wind, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar generating facilities. The company also sells electricity to wholesale and retail customers; sells natural gas, renewable energy, and other energy-related products.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UGP ULTRAPAR HOLDINGS INC | 79 | 90 | 95 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TNK TEEKAY TANKERS LTD. | 78 | 94 | 97 | 82 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DHT DHT Holdings, Inc. | 75 | 84 | 88 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$STNG Scorpio Tankers Inc. | 75 | 86 | 95 | 74 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NAT NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS Ltd | 75 | 82 | 88 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMX AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV/ | 74 | 86 | 81 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PAC Pacific Airport Group | 73 | 94 | 80 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GSL Global Ship Lease, Inc. | 73 | 82 | 94 | 81 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRMD TORM plc | 73 | 86 | 94 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$VIV TELEFONICA BRASIL S.A. | 73 | 82 | 90 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EXC EXELON CORP | 47 | 36 | 43 | 41 | 17.0x | 19.1x | 10.0% | 2.5% | 42.0% | 20.4% | 11.3% | 25.1% | 3.5% | 172.0x | $59.2B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 16.9x | 6.1x | 11.9% | 3.2% | 52.6% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.3x | - | REF |
EXELON CORP (EXC) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 46.9/100. It ranks #2507 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for EXC.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 36 | 29 | +7ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 41 | 35 | +6ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 43 | 45 | -2NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 37 | 56 | -19DRAG |
| STABILITY | 84 | 86 | -2NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 42 | 40 | +2NEUTRAL |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 8.9% vs WACC 6.6% (spread +2.3%)
GM 42% vs sector 53%, OM 20% vs sector 15%
Capital turnover 0.51x
Rev growth 25%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 2.4x, Net debt/EBITDA 9.3x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate EXELON CORP (EXC) as a Reduce with a composite score of 46.9/100 at a current price of $48.89. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
EXELON CORP holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 46.9/100 places it at rank #2507 in our full universe.
No Moat
Medium
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 42% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 172% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
EXELON CORP represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
EXELON CORP receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 46.9/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2507 out of 7,333 stocks. EXC's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
EXC's quality score of 36/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of 10.0% (sector avg: 11.9%), gross margins of 42.0% (sector avg: 52.6%), net margins of 11.3% (sector avg: 7.7%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 43/100, EXC appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 16.97x, an EV/EBITDA of 19.06x, a P/B ratio of 1.70x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
EXELON CORP's investment score of 37/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 25.1% vs. a sector average of 4.2% and a return on assets of 2.5% (sector: 3.2%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
EXC is currently showing below-average momentum at 41/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 25.1% year-over-year, while a beta of -0.04 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
EXC shows good financial stability with a score of 84/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of -0.04 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 172.00x (sector avg: 1.3x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
The short interest score of 42/100 for EXC suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 172.00x). With a $59.2B market cap (large-cap), EXELON CORP may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
EXC pays a solid dividend yield of 3.5%, contributing an income component to total returns. This compares to a sector average dividend yield of 1.4%. This moderate yield suggests a balance between returning capital to shareholders and retaining earnings for reinvestment — a common profile among quality compounders.
EXELON CORP is a large-cap company in the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2507 of 7,333 overall (66th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 10.0% trailing the 11.9% sector median and operating margins of 20.4% above the 14.8% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services peers.
While EXC currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the TRANSPORTATION, COMMUNICATIONS, ELECTRIC, GAS, AND SANITARY SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Quality (36) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 212% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 16% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 20% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
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