Is DLTR a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our 6-factor quantitative model, DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 46.6/100. It is ranked #2,101 out of 4,446 stocks. Key factor scores: Quality 50/100, Value 45/100, Momentum 58/100. The timing signal is "Neutral". This is quantitative analysis only — not investment advice.

What is the stock rating for DLTR?

DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) has a "Reduce" rating and 2-star score. The composite score of 46.6 ranks it #2,101 among 4,446 U.S. stocks. Ratings are updated weekly using academically-proven factor models.

What sector is DLTR in?

DOLLAR TREE, INC. operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail industry) with a market cap of $21.45 billion. It is classified as a large-cap stock.

Does DLTR pay a dividend?

DLTR does not currently pay a regular dividend. The company may be reinvesting profits for growth.

What is DLTR's P/E ratio?

DLTR has a trailing P/E ratio of 20.79x. The Consumer Discretionary sector average is 24.5x. This P/E is in a moderate range relative to the broader market.

How profitable is DLTR?

DLTR's quality factor score is 50/100. Gross margin: 35.3%. ROE: 29.1% vs sector average 6.2%. Margins are moderate to low, reflecting competitive market dynamics.

How is DLTR valued compared to peers?

DLTR's value factor score is 45/100 (higher = cheaper). Key multiples: P/E 20.8x, EV/EBITDA 16.3x. Valuation is roughly in line with peers.

What is DLTR's debt level?

DLTR's debt-to-equity ratio is 294%. Sector average: 89%. Elevated leverage increases credit risk.

DLTR has a beta of 0.70, meaning it is less volatile than the market. Stability score: 63/100.

Does DLTR have high short interest?

DLTR's short interest factor score is 14/100 (higher = less short selling). Elevated short interest may indicate bearish sentiment or short squeeze potential.

DLTR Stock Analysis: Reduce (Score 46.6/100) | Blank Capital Research

Data Series	1D	5D	1M	YTD	1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y
DLTR	-2.97%	-8.20%	-14.78%	-19.07%	+38.76%	-	-	-
Industry Proxy XLY	+0.13%	+4.38%	-1.35%	-5.46%	-39.92%	-	-	-
U.S. Market SPY	-0.07%	+3.60%	+0.34%	-0.36%	+29.52%	-	-	-
Alpha vs Market	-2.91%	-11.80%	-15.12%	-18.71%	+9.24%	-	-	-
Alpha vs Sector	-3.11%	-12.58%	-13.43%	-13.61%	+78.69%	-	-	-

Metric	DLTR	Benchmark
P/E Ratio	20.8x	-15%
EV/EBITDA	16.3x	+231%
Price / Book	6.1x

Stock Entity	Score▼	Quality	Value	Momentum	P/E Ratio	ROE	Gross Margin	Net Margin	Rev Growth	D/E Ratio	Market Cap	Compare
CASY CASEYS GENERAL STORES INC	57	50	68	67	42.2x	16.9%	24.0%	3.8%	0.3%	123.0x	$27.2B	VS
TGT TARGET CORP	53	50	70	56	16.2x	20.7%	28.4%	3.4%	-0.7%	89.0x	$54.5B	VS
APEI AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION INC	53	49	58	72	78.3x	4.6%	52.8%	2.1%	6.8%	32.0x	$1.1B	VS
LINC LINCOLN EDUCATIONAL SERVICES CORP	52	50	48	75	116.7x	5.6%	59.2%	2.3%	37.4%	147.0x	$1.3B	VS
FIVE FIVE BELOW, INC	52	50	56	73	105.5x	5.4%	32.5%	3.1%	26.5%	125.0x	$13.0B	VS
IMKTA INGLES MARKETS INC	51	50	51	62	17.4x	6.2%	23.9%	1.9%	0.4%	57.0x	$1.7B	VS
PRDO PERDOCEO EDUCATION Corp	51	50	70	57	14.2x	16.7%	100.0%	20.4%	27.1%	28.0x	$2.4B	VS
MCRI MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC	51	50	66	47	16.7x	19.7%	24.5%	19.4%	11.5%	33.0x	$1.7B	VS
FCFS FirstCash Holdings, Inc.	49	50	29	66	34.7x	10.8%	50.2%	8.0%	26.6%	98.0x	$8.4B	VS
ESCA ESCALADE INC	48	50	65	51	15.2x	9.0%	26.1%	6.2%	8.4%	11.0x	$249M	VS
DLTR DOLLAR TREE, INC.	47	50	45	58	20.8x	29.1%	35.3%	5.5%	16.9%	294.0x	$21.4B

Key Ratio	TTM	2026	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
Gross Margin %	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%
Operating Margin %	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	-0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	-0.0%	0.1%	0.1%
EBITDA Margin %	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	-0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	-0.0%	0.1%	0.1%
Net Margin %	0.1%	0.1%	-0.2%	-0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	-0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
FCF Margin %	-	-	-	-	-	-	7.1%	3.5%	4.2%	3.9%	5.4%
ROE %	0.3%	0.1%	-0.8%	-0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	-0.3%	0.2%	0.2%
ROA %	0.1%	0.0%	-0.2%	-0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	-0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
ROIC %	29.5%	7.8%	15.6%	-6.5%	20.2%	18.5%	10.5%	6.9%	-7.8%	13.3%	12.3%

Key Ratio

TTM

2026

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

Gross Margin %

0.4%

0.3%

Operating Margin %

0.1%

-0.0%

0.1%

-0.0%

0.1%

EBITDA Margin %

0.1%

-0.0%

0.1%

-0.0%

0.1%

Net Margin %

0.1%

-0.2%

-0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

FCF Margin %

7.1%

3.5%

4.2%

3.9%

5.4%

ROE %

0.3%

0.1%

-0.8%

-0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

-0.3%

0.2%

ROA %

0.1%

0.0%

-0.2%

-0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.1%

0.1%

ROIC %

29.5%

7.8%

15.6%

-6.5%

20.2%

18.5%

10.5%

6.9%

-7.8%

13.3%

12.3%

Line Item	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
	$18.3B	$17.6B	$30.6B	$28.3B	$26.3B	$25.5B	$23.6B	$22.8B	$22.2B	$20.7B	$15.5B
	—	$11.3B	$21.3B	$19.4B	$18.6B	—	—	—	—	—	—
	$6.5B	$6.3B	$9.3B	$8.9B	$7.7B	$7.8B	$7.0B	$6.9B	$7.0B	$6.4B	$4.7B
Gross Margin	35.3%	35.7%	30.4%	31.5%	29.3%	30.5%	29.8%	30.4%	31.6%	30.9%	30.0%
	—	$4.8B	$9.1B	—	$5.9B	—	—	—	—	—	—
Depreciation	—	—	—	—	—	$691M	$652M	$678M	$627M	$693M	$552M
Total Operating Expenses	—	$4.8B	$10.2B	$6.7B	$5.9B	—	—	—	—	—	—
	$1.3B	$1.5B	-$882M	$2.2B	$1.8B	$1.9B	$1.3B	-$940M	$2.0B	$1.7B	$1.0B
EBIT	$1.3B	$1.5B	-$882M	$2.2B	$1.8B	$1.9B	$1.3B	-$940M	$2.0B	$1.7B	$1.0B
EBITDA	$1.3B	$1.5B	-$882M	$2.2B	$1.8B	$2.6B	$1.9B	-$261M	$2.6B	$2.4B	$1.6B
Operating Margin	7.1%	8.3%	-2.9%	7.9%	6.9%	7.4%	5.3%	-4.1%	9.0%	8.2%	6.8%
EBITDA Margin	7.1%	8.3%	-2.9%	7.9%	6.9%	10.1%	8.1%	-1.1%	11.8%	11.6%	10.3%
	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	$370M	$302M	$376M	$599M
	—	$1.4B	-$989M	$2.1B	$1.6B	—	—	—	—	—	—
Income Tax Expense	—	$341M	$10M	$495M	$304M	$398M	$272M	$282M	-$10M	$433M	$166M
	$1.0B	-$3.0B	-$998M	$1.6B	$1.3B	$1.3B	$827M	-$1.6B	$1.7B	$896M	$282M
Net Margin	5.5%	-17.2%	-3.3%	5.7%	5.0%	5.3%	3.5%	-7.0%	7.7%	4.3%	1.8%
	$1.20	$-14.05	$-4.55	$7.24	$5.83	$5.68	$3.49	$-6.69	$7.24	$3.80	$1.27
Diluted EPS	$1.20	$-14.03	$-4.55	$7.21	$5.80	$5.68	$3.49	$-6.69	$7.24	$3.80	$1.27
Weighted Avg Basic	—	216M	220M	223M	228M	—	—	—	—	—	—
Weighted Avg Diluted	—	216M	220M	224M	229M	—	—	—	—	—	—

Line Item

TTM

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

$18.3B

$17.6B

$30.6B

$28.3B

$26.3B

$25.5B

$23.6B

$22.8B

$22.2B

$20.7B

$15.5B

—

$11.3B

$21.3B

$19.4B

$18.6B

—

$6.5B

$6.3B

$9.3B

$8.9B

$7.7B

$7.8B

$7.0B

$6.9B

$7.0B

$6.4B

$4.7B

Gross Margin

35.3%

35.7%

30.4%

31.5%

29.3%

30.5%

29.8%

30.4%

31.6%

30.9%

30.0%

—

$4.8B

$9.1B

—

$5.9B

—

Depreciation

—

$691M

$652M

$678M

$627M

$693M

$552M

Total Operating Expenses

—

$4.8B

$10.2B

$6.7B

$5.9B

—

$1.3B

$1.5B

-$882M

$2.2B

$1.8B

$1.9B

$1.3B

-$940M

$2.0B

$1.7B

$1.0B

EBIT

$1.3B

$1.5B

-$882M

$2.2B

$1.8B

$1.9B

$1.3B

-$940M

$2.0B

$1.7B

$1.0B

EBITDA

$1.3B

$1.5B

-$882M

$2.2B

$1.8B

$2.6B

$1.9B

-$261M

$2.6B

$2.4B

$1.6B

Operating Margin

7.1%

8.3%

-2.9%

7.9%

6.9%

7.4%

5.3%

-4.1%

9.0%

8.2%

6.8%

EBITDA Margin

7.1%

8.3%

-2.9%

7.9%

6.9%

10.1%

8.1%

-1.1%

11.8%

11.6%

10.3%

—

$370M

$302M

$376M

$599M

—

$1.4B

-$989M

$2.1B

$1.6B

—

Income Tax Expense

—

$341M

$10M

$495M

$304M

$398M

$272M

$282M

-$10M

$433M

$166M

$1.0B

-$3.0B

-$998M

$1.6B

$1.3B

$827M

-$1.6B

$1.7B

$896M

$282M

Net Margin

5.5%

-17.2%

-3.3%

5.7%

5.0%

5.3%

3.5%

-7.0%

7.7%

4.3%

1.8%

$1.20

$-14.05

$-4.55

$7.24

$5.83

$5.68

$3.49

$-6.69

$7.24

$3.80

$1.27

Diluted EPS

$1.20

$-14.03

$-4.55

$7.21

$5.80

$5.68

$3.49

$-6.69

$7.24

$3.80

$1.27

Weighted Avg Basic

—

216M

220M

223M

228M

—

Weighted Avg Diluted

—

216M

220M

224M

229M

—

DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast

Last updated: April 2026

Company Overview — What Does DOLLAR TREE, INC. Do?

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety retail stores. It operates in two segments, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree segment offers merchandise at the fixed price of $ 1.25. It provides consumable merchandise, including candy and food, and health and personal care, as well as everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise comprising toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods that include Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. As of January 29, 2022, this segment operated 8,061 stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, as well as 15 distribution centers in the United States and 2 distribution centers in Canada. The Family Dollar segment operates general merchandise retail discount stores that offer consumable merchandise, which comprise food and beverages, tobacco, health and personal care, household chemicals, paper products, hardware and automotive supplies, diapers, batteries, and pet food and supplies; and home products, including housewares, home décor, and giftware, as well as domestics, such as comforters, sheets, and towels. It also provides apparel and accessories merchandise comprising clothing, fashion accessories, and shoes; and seasonal and electronics merchandise that include Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise, as well as personal electronics, which comprise pre-paid cellular phones and services, stationery and school supplies, and toys. As of January 29, 2022, this segment operated 8,016 stores under the Family Dollar brand; and 11 distribution centers. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia. DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) is classified as a large-cap stock in the Consumer Discretionary sector, specifically within the Retail industry. The company is led by CEO Michael A. Witynski and employs approximately 210,600 people, headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia. With a market capitalization of $21.4B, DLTR is one of the prominent companies in the Consumer Discretionary sector.

DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) Stock Rating — Reduce (April 2026)

As of April 2026, DOLLAR TREE, INC. receives a Reduce rating with a composite score of 46.6/100 and 2 out of 5 stars from the Blank Capital Research quantitative model.DLTR ranks #2,101 out of 4,446 stocks in our coverage universe. Within the Consumer Discretionary sector, DOLLAR TREE, INC. ranks #204 of 442 stocks, placing it in the upper half of its Consumer Discretionary peers. The rating is generated by a multi-factor model that weighs quality (30%), momentum (25%), value (15%), investment (10%), stability (10%), and short interest (10%).

DLTR Stock Price and 52-Week Range

DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) currently trades at $99.70. The stock lost $2.90 (2.8%) in the most recent trading session. The 52-week high for DLTR is $142.40, which means the stock is currently trading -30.0% from its annual peak. The 52-week low is $61.87, putting the stock 61.1% above its annual trough. Recent trading volume was 836K shares, suggesting relatively thin trading activity.

Is DLTR Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis

DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) carries a value factor score of 45/100 in the Blank Capital model, indicating fair valuation relative to historical norms. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio is 20.79x, compared to the Consumer Discretionary sector average of 24.47x — a discount of 15%. The price-to-book ratio stands at 6.06x, versus the sector average of 1.99x. The price-to-sales ratio is 1.15x, compared to 0.27x for the average Consumer Discretionary stock. On an enterprise value basis, DLTR trades at 16.25x EV/EBITDA, versus 4.91x for the sector.

Overall, DLTR's valuation appears roughly in line with sector benchmarks, suggesting the market is pricing the stock fairly given its current fundamentals and growth trajectory. Neither deep value nor significantly overpriced, the stock occupies a middle ground on valuation.

DOLLAR TREE, INC. Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score

DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) earns a quality factor score of 50/100, indicating solid business quality with consistent operational execution. The return on equity (ROE) is 29.1%, compared to the Consumer Discretionary sector average of 6.2%, which demonstrates strong shareholder value creation. Return on assets (ROA) comes in at 7.4% versus the sector average of 2.5%.

On a margin basis, DOLLAR TREE, INC. reports gross margins of 35.3%, compared to 36.9% for the sector. The operating margin is 7.1% (sector: 3.8%). Net profit margin stands at 5.5%, versus 2.1% for the average Consumer Discretionary stock. Revenue growth is running at 16.9% on a trailing basis, compared to 3.3% for the sector. The overall profitability profile is adequate, though there may be room for margin expansion.

DLTR Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health

DOLLAR TREE, INC. has a debt-to-equity ratio of 294.0%, compared to the Consumer Discretionary sector average of 89.0%. This elevated leverage warrants close monitoring, as it increases the company's sensitivity to rising interest rates and economic downturns. The current ratio is 0.96x, which may signal near-term liquidity tightness.

DLTR has a beta of 0.70, meaning it is less volatile than the S&P 500, making it a relatively defensive holding. The stability factor score for DOLLAR TREE, INC. is 63/100, reflecting average volatility within the normal range for its sector.

DOLLAR TREE, INC. Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend

In TTM 2026, DOLLAR TREE, INC. reported revenue of $18.30B and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.20. Net income for the quarter was $1.01B. Gross margin was 35.3%. Operating income came in at $1.29B.

In Q3 2026, DOLLAR TREE, INC. reported revenue of $4.75B and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.20. Net income for the quarter was $245M. Gross margin was 35.8%. Revenue grew 9.5% year-over-year compared to Q3 2025. Operating income came in at $343M.

In Q2 2026, DOLLAR TREE, INC. reported revenue of $4.57B and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.91. Net income for the quarter was $188M. Gross margin was 34.4%. Revenue grew 12.4% year-over-year compared to Q2 2025. Operating income came in at $231M.

In Q1 2026, DOLLAR TREE, INC. reported revenue of $4.64B and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.61. Net income for the quarter was $343M. Gross margin was 35.5%. Revenue grew 11.4% year-over-year compared to Q1 2025. Operating income came in at $384M.

Over the past 8 quarters, DOLLAR TREE, INC. has demonstrated a growth trajectory, with revenue expanding from $4.17B to $18.30B. Investors analyzing DLTR stock should weigh these quarterly trends alongside the valuation and quality metrics discussed above.

DLTR Dividend Yield and Income Analysis

DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) does not currently pay a dividend. This is common among growth-oriented companies in the Retail industry that prefer to reinvest cash flows into business expansion rather than returning capital to shareholders. Income-focused investors looking for Consumer Discretionary dividend stocks may want to explore other Consumer Discretionary stocks or use the stock screener to filter by dividend yield.

DLTR Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile

DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) has a momentum factor score of 58/100, reflecting neutral trend characteristics. The stock is neither significantly outperforming nor underperforming the broader market on a momentum basis. The investment factor score is 27/100, which measures capital allocation efficiency and asset growth patterns. The short interest score of 14/100 signals elevated short interest, which can indicate bearish sentiment among institutional investors.

DLTR vs Competitors — Consumer Discretionary Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector, DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) ranks #204 out of 442 stocks based on the Blank Capital composite score. This places DLTR in the upper half of all Consumer Discretionary stocks in our coverage universe. Key competitors and sector peers include MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC (MCRI) with a score of 50.5/100, CASEYS GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) with a score of 57.3/100, INGLES MARKETS INC (IMKTA) with a score of 51.0/100, FIVE BELOW, INC (FIVE) with a score of 51.6/100, and TARGET CORP (TGT) with a score of 52.6/100.

Comparing DLTR against the S&P 500 benchmark is also instructive for understanding relative performance. Investors can view the full DLTR vs S&P 500 (SPY) comparison to assess how DOLLAR TREE, INC. stacks up against the broader market across all factor dimensions.

DLTR Next Earnings Date

No upcoming earnings date has been announced for DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) at this time. Check the earnings calendar for the latest scheduling updates across all stocks in our coverage universe.

Should You Buy DLTR? — Investment Thesis Summary

The quantitative profile for DOLLAR TREE, INC. suggests caution. Low volatility (stability score 63/100) reduces downside risk.

In summary, DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) earns a Reduce rating with a composite score of 46.6/100 as of April 2026. The rating is derived from the Blank Capital Research methodology, which combines six factor dimensions into a single quantitative ranking. Investors should consider these quantitative signals alongside their own fundamental research, risk tolerance, and investment time horizon before making buy or sell decisions on DLTR stock.

Related Resources for DLTR Investors

Explore more research and tools: DLTR vs S&P 500 comparison, top Consumer Discretionary stocks, stock screener, our methodology, quality factor explained, value factor explained, momentum factor explained. Compare DLTR head-to-head with peers: DLTR vs MCRI, DLTR vs CASY, DLTR vs IMKTA.

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DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast

Company Overview — What Does DOLLAR TREE, INC. Do?

DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) Stock Rating — Reduce (April 2026)

DLTR Stock Price and 52-Week Range

Is DLTR Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis

DOLLAR TREE, INC. Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score

DLTR Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health

DOLLAR TREE, INC. Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend

DLTR Dividend Yield and Income Analysis

DLTR Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile

DLTR vs Competitors — Consumer Discretionary Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison

DLTR Next Earnings Date

Should You Buy DLTR? — Investment Thesis Summary

Related Resources for DLTR Investors

Comments

Institutional Benchmarks

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Intelligence Feed

Dollar Tree (DLTR) Gained from Lower Freight Costs and Favorable Product Mix

A Look Back at Non-Discretionary Retail Stocks’ Q4 Earnings: Sprouts (NASDAQ:SFM) Vs The Rest Of The Pack

Retail CEO Changes Really Can Move Stocks. Just Look at Walmart and Target.

Another Day, Another Massive AI Infrastructure Deal

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