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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1832
Positioning
Market Dominance
Mining
Petroleum And Natural Gas
$3.7B
David L. Lamp
CVR Energy, Inc. engages in the petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing activities in the United States. It operates in two segments, Petroleum and Nitrogen Fertilizer. The company owns and operates a nitrogen fertilizer plant in North America that utilizes a pet coke gasification process to produce nitrogen fertilizer products.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$VALE Vale S.A. | 75 | 88 | 93 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SU SUNCOR ENERGY INC | 74 | 87 | 90 | 53 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRX TRX GOLD Corp | 72 | 83 | 77 | 96 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ORLA Orla Mining Ltd. | 72 | 94 | 83 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$KGC KINROSS GOLD CORP | 71 | 83 | 89 | 79 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD | 71 | 80 | 80 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$RIO RIO TINTO PLC | 70 | 76 | 84 | 64 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IAG IAMGOLD CORP | 70 | 71 | 82 | 89 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NGD New Gold Inc. /FI | 70 | 76 | 67 | 92 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp | 70 | 77 | 90 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CVI CVR ENERGY INC | 51 | 76 | 81 | 24 | 24.8x | 21.9x | 9.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | -1.2% | 0.0% | 189.0x | $3.7B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 13.7x | 5.2x | 4.3% | 3.9% | 45.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
CVR ENERGY INC (CVI) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 51.2/100. It ranks #1832 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Headcount
1.5K
HQ Base
SUGAR LAND, Texas
Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Mining sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for CVI.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 76 | 86 | -10DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 24 | 15 | +9ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 81 | 89 | -8DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 33 | 34 | -1NEUTRAL |
| STABILITY | 53 | 57 | -4NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 55 | 67 | -12DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 17.7% vs WACC 7.6% (spread +10.1%)
GM 4% vs sector 46%, OM 2% vs sector 8%
Capital turnover 6.95x
Rev growth -1%, 10yr history
Interest coverage N/A, Net debt/EBITDA 5.4x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate CVR ENERGY INC (CVI) as a Hold with a composite score of 51.2/100 at a current price of $22.65. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
CVR ENERGY INC holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Mining sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 51.2/100 places it at rank #1832 in our full universe.
No Moat
Medium
Poor
Undervalued
Value factor score of 81 suggests attractive pricing.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 189% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
CVR ENERGY INC represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns CVR ENERGY INC a Hold rating, with a composite score of 51.2/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1832 of 7,333 stocks, CVI presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
CVI earns a quality score of 76/100, indicating above-average business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 9.3% (sector avg: 4.3%), gross margins of 3.9% (sector avg: 45.8%), net margins of 0.6% (sector avg: 5.8%). Companies in this tier generally demonstrate consistent profitability and efficient capital deployment, though they may face some competitive pressure.
CVI carries a solid value score of 81/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 24.80x, an EV/EBITDA of 21.87x, a P/B ratio of 2.32x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
CVR ENERGY INC's investment score of 33/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -1.2% vs. a sector average of 0.1% and a return on assets of 2.3% (sector: 3.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
CVR ENERGY INC is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 24/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at -1.2% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.92 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
With a stability score of 53/100, CVI exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.92 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 189.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
The short interest score of 55/100 for CVI suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 189.00x). With a $3.7B market cap (mid-cap), CVR ENERGY INC may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
CVR ENERGY INC is a mid-cap company in the Mining sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1832 of 7,333 overall (75th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 9.3% exceeding the 4.3% sector median and operating margins of 1.6% below the 7.6% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Mining peers.
While CVI currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MINING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Mining Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Value (81) vs Momentum (24) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 318% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 117% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 91% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
CVR Energy (CVI) recently completed a $1 billion private offering of senior unsecured notes, comprising $600 million due 2031 and $400 million due 2034. This deal, with its new covenants and refinancing of existing debt, reshapes the company's financial structure and extends maturities. While the offering doesn't immediately alter operational catalysts, it shifts focus to whether improved throughput and fertilizer trends can support the higher debt load amidst regulatory and maintenance challenges.
CVR Energy (CVI) has completed a US$1 billion private offering of senior unsecured notes to refinance existing debt, impacting its capital structure and future interest costs. Despite a recent share price decline, the company is considered 11.3% undervalued at $27.67 per share, based on improving margins, cash flow, and renewable projects. While its P/E ratio is above the industry average, it is below peer averages, suggesting a complex valuation picture.
CVR Energy (CVI) is projected to report a year-over-year decline in Q4 2025 earnings and revenue, with an expected quarterly loss of $0.84 per share and revenues of $1.74 billion. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS has been revised 110.81% lower over the last 30 days. Despite a strong past earnings surprise history, the stock's current Zacks Earnings ESP of 0% and Zacks Rank #3 make it difficult to definitively predict an earnings beat for the upcoming report on February 18.
CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI) reported mixed quarterly results, impacting its performance within the NYSE Composite. The article indicates revenue strength, refining dynamics, and activity in its fertilizer segment, alongside evolving downstream energy conditions. To access the full details, readers are prompted to log in or register.
CVR Energy Inc. has released its 2025 Form 10-K report, detailing financial performance, operational highlights, and strategic initiatives. The company reported net sales of $7,344 million, with increased gross profit, operating income, and net income attributed to favorable RFS liability adjustments and improved market conditions. Strategic moves include reverting a renewable diesel unit back to hydrocarbon processing and exploring potential acquisitions, while facing significant market, operational, and regulatory risks.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081