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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3580
Positioning
Market Dominance
Mining
Coal
$4.3B
Paul A. Lang
Core Natural Resources, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bituminous coal in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Pennsylvania Mining Complex (PAMC) and CONSOL Marine Terminal. The company's PAMC segment engages in the mining, preparing, and marketing of bituminous coal to power generators, industrial end-users, and metallurgical end-users. This segment includes the Bailey Mine, the Enlow Fork Mine, the Harvey Mine, and the central preparation plant. Its CONSOL Marine Terminal segment provides coal export terminal services through the Port of Baltimore. The company also develops and operates the Itmann Mining Complex located in Wyoming County, West Virginia; and Greenfield Reserves and Resources located in the Northern Appalachian, Central Appalachian, and Illinois basins. The company was formerly known as CONSOL Energy Inc. and changed its name to Core Natural Resources, Inc. in January 2025. Core Natural Resources, Inc. was founded in 1864 and is headquartered in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania.
Headcount
2.0K
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$VALE Vale S.A. | 75 | 88 | 93 | 67 | - | - | 15.8% | 6.9% | 36.6% | 22.8% | 15.9% | -8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $38.7B | VS | |
$SU SUNCOR ENERGY INC | 74 | 87 | 90 | 53 | - | - | 13.1% | 6.5% | 58.3% | 18.4% | 11.0% | -3.6% | 4.9% | 29.0x | $46.0B | VS | |
$TRX TRX GOLD Corp | 72 | 83 | 77 | 96 | - | - | 10.7% | 6.1% | 41.5% | 27.8% | 11.4% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 2.0x | $104M | VS | |
$ORLA Orla Mining Ltd. | 72 | 94 | 83 | 78 | - | - | 19.6% | 15.7% | 74.8% | 47.5% | 26.2% | 47.2% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $1.7B | VS | |
$KGC KINROSS GOLD CORP | 71 | 83 | 89 | 79 | - | - | 15.1% | 9.3% | 37.8% | 31.6% | 20.0% | 21.3% | 1.3% | 21.0x | $11.4B | VS | |
$AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD | 71 | 80 | 80 | 71 | - | - | 9.4% | 6.5% | 60.5% | 36.0% | 22.9% | 25.0% | 2.0% | 6.0x | $38.9B | VS | |
$RIO RIO TINTO PLC | 70 | 76 | 84 | 64 | - | - | 20.3% | 11.2% | 23.0% | 20.1% | 23.1% | -1.3% | 11.2% | 26.0x | $93.8B | VS | |
$IAG IAMGOLD CORP | 70 | 71 | 82 | 89 | - | - | 29.9% | 17.1% | 33.7% | 57.8% | 51.9% | 65.4% | 0.0% | 34.0x | $2.5B | VS | |
$NGD New Gold Inc. /FI | 70 | 76 | 67 | 92 | - | - | 11.1% | 4.8% | 52.8% | 19.7% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 38.0x | $1.7B | VS | |
$PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp | 70 | 77 | 90 | 65 | - | - | 6.6% | 3.6% | 34.4% | 11.0% | 5.9% | -10.0% | 0.0% | 52.0x | $876M | VS | |
$CNR Core Natural Resources, Inc. | 40 | 35 | 33 | 35 | 184.6x | 9.3x | 0.7% | 0.4% | 36.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 104.3% | 0.7% | 11.0x | $4.3B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 13.7x | 5.2x | 4.0% | 3.9% | 43.2% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
Core Natural Resources, Inc. (CNR) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 39.7/100. It ranks #3580 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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YOY expansion rate
Core pricing power
Operating efficiency
Bottom-line conversion
Equity capital efficiency
Asset base utilization
Financial leverage load
Direct cash return
Paul A. Lang
Chief Executive Officer
Labor Force
2,020
35
18
68
Audit Verdict: Lower quality and stability scores may indicate governance concerns.
No recent insider transactions available for CNR
HQ Base
Pending Verification
Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Mining sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for CNR.
View All RatingsMaterial decline in asset turnover efficiency detected
High margin volatility — erratic forensic earnings quality
| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 35 | 32 | +3NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 35 | 32 | +3NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 33 | 31 | +2NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 18 | 2 | +16ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 68 | 77 | -9DRAG |
| SHORT INT | 52 | 62 | -10DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 0.7% (sector 4.0%)
GM 36% vs sector 43%, OM 3% vs sector 12%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth 104%, 9yr history
Interest coverage -17.2x, Net debt/EBITDA -0.1x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
Our quantitative model flags Core Natural Resources, Inc. with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 39.7/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #3580 of 7,333 stocks, CNR falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
CNR's quality score of 35/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of 0.7% (sector avg: 4.0%), gross margins of 36.0% (sector avg: 43.2%), net margins of 2.6% (sector avg: 6.2%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 33/100, CNR appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 184.59x, an EV/EBITDA of 9.33x, a P/B ratio of 1.22x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
Core Natural Resources, Inc.'s investment score of 18/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 104.3% vs. a sector average of 2.6% and a return on assets of 0.4% (sector: 3.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
CNR is currently showing below-average momentum at 35/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 104.3% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.56 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
CNR shows good financial stability with a score of 68/100. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.56 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 11.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). This suggests manageable leverage and moderate price volatility, making it appropriate for investors seeking a balance between growth potential and capital preservation.
The short interest score of 52/100 for CNR suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 11.00x). With a $4.3B market cap (mid-cap), Core Natural Resources, Inc. may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
CNR offers a modest dividend yield of 0.7%. While the income contribution is relatively small, even a small dividend signals management's commitment to shareholder returns and can serve as a signal of financial discipline.
Core Natural Resources, Inc. is a mid-cap company in the Mining sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3580 of 7,333 overall (51st percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 0.7% trailing the 4.0% sector median and operating margins of 3.2% below the 12.2% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Mining peers.
While CNR currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the MINING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
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Improvement in Investment (18) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 78% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 83% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 17% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
AUDIT DATA AS OF SEP 30, 2025 (Q2 FY2025)
We rate Core Natural Resources, Inc. (CNR) as Avoid with a composite score of 39.7/100 at a current price of $88.82. The stock falls in the bottom quintile of our universe across key quantitative factors, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
The rating is primarily driven by strength in stability (68th percentile) and quality (35th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. Offsetting weakness in investment (18th percentile) and value (33th percentile) tempers our overall conviction. We assign a No Moat rating (31/100), Low uncertainty, and Standard capital allocation.
Key items to watch: momentum to confirm whether the current price trend has legs; sustainability of the current growth rate. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.
Core Natural Resources, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Mining sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 39.7/100 places it at rank #3580 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $4.3B in market capitalization, Core Natural Resources, Inc. is a mid-cap player in the Mining space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.
Revenue is growing at 104%, though momentum at the 35th percentile suggests the market has not yet fully recognized this trajectory. This potential disconnect between fundamental improvement and market recognition could represent an opportunity for patient investors if the growth trend persists.
The margin cascade tells an important story: gross margins of 36% (-7.2pp vs sector) narrow to operating margins of 3% (-9.0pp vs sector) and net margins of 2.6%, yielding a gross-to-net conversion rate of 7%. The significant margin erosion from gross to net suggests elevated operating expenses, high interest costs, or other structural drags that warrant monitoring.
At a current price of $88.82, Core Natural Resources, Inc. is trading at a premium to fundamental value. Our value factor score of 33/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. The premium valuation implies the market is pricing in significant future growth or quality improvements that are not yet fully reflected in current fundamentals.
The stock currently trades at a P/E of 184.6x (a 1244% premium to the sector median of 13.7x), EV/EBITDA of 9.3x (at a premium), P/B of 1.2x, P/S of 1.2x. The above-sector P/E multiple suggests the market is pricing in superior growth or quality, which our analysis finds only partially justified by current fundamentals.
Revenue growth of 104% confirms the business is expanding its addressable market — growth at this level typically supports multiple expansion and attracts institutional capital.
A conservative balance sheet (11% D/E) provides financial flexibility for acquisitions, buybacks, or weathering economic downturns without dilution.
The Avoid rating (composite 39.7/100) reflects multi-factor weakness, and historically, stocks in this scoring range have underperformed the market by a meaningful margin.
A P/E of 184.6x leaves little room for execution misses — any earnings disappointment could trigger a sharp multiple compression.
Thin net margins of 2.6% provide limited cushion against cost pressures, competitive pricing, or macroeconomic headwinds — even small changes in costs could swing the company to a loss.
We assign a Low uncertainty rating to Core Natural Resources, Inc.. The company exhibits strong financial stability with a beta of 0.56, conservative leverage (11% D/E), and a stability factor in the 68th percentile. The predictable nature of the business model and solid financial position reduce the range of potential outcomes, giving us confidence in our fair value estimate.
Specific risk factors that inform our assessment include: low beta of 0.56 — while defensive, this may indicate limited upside participation in bull markets; elevated valuation multiple (P/E 184.6x) that leaves limited margin for error. Each of these factors independently widens the distribution of potential outcomes, and in combination they create a risk profile that demands careful position sizing. The stability factor at the 68th percentile and quality factor at the 35th percentile provide a quantitative summary of the overall risk landscape.
Key risk mitigants include: conservative leverage (11% D/E) limits balance sheet risk; above-average stability (68th percentile) suggests predictable business dynamics. These factors partially offset the identified risks and provide downside protection in adverse scenarios. On balance, the risk-reward profile is favorable for long-term investors.
We rate Core Natural Resources, Inc.'s capital allocation as Standard. Management has shown adequate — though not exceptional — stewardship of shareholder capital. Returns on equity stand at 0.7%, and the balance sheet is managed within acceptable parameters (D/E: 11%). Exemplary allocators typically sustain ROE above 20% and D/E below 50%; Core Natural Resources, Inc. falls short on at least one dimension.
There is room for improvement in optimizing the capital structure or enhancing shareholder returns. The 0.66% dividend yield provides some income return, but the overall capital allocation framework would benefit from either higher reinvestment returns, improved balance sheet efficiency, or increased shareholder distributions. We will monitor for signs of strategic improvement that could warrant an upgrade.
In summary, Core Natural Resources, Inc. receives a Avoid rating with a composite score of 39.7/100 (rank #3580 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a No Moat (31/100, trend: stable), Low uncertainty, and Standard capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 38/100.
Our analysis does not support a constructive view on Core Natural Resources, Inc. at this time. The combination of limited competitive advantages, low uncertainty, and standard capital allocation suggests unfavorable risk-reward at current levels. We recommend investors avoid new positions and existing holders consider reducing exposure.
Analysis derived from Blank Capital Research quantitative terminal. For informational purposes only. No trade solicitation. Past performance not indicative of future results. Consult a qualified advisor.
We do not assign Core Natural Resources, Inc. a meaningful economic moat, scoring 31/100 on our composite assessment. Current fundamentals do not demonstrate the kind of durable competitive advantages — such as superior returns on invested capital, margin superiority, or reinvestment efficiency — that would protect the company from competitive erosion over the long term. The highest-scoring pillar, financial resilience, reached only 10.8/20.
The strongest moat sources are financial resilience (10.8/20) and growth durability (9.9/20). Interest coverage -17.2x, Net debt/EBITDA -0.1x. Rev growth 104%, 9yr history. These pillars form the core of Core Natural Resources, Inc.'s competitive identity and are the primary drivers of excess returns in our framework.
Areas of relative weakness include reinvestment efficiency (0/20) and economic value creation (2/20). Capital turnover N/A. Improvement in these areas could meaningfully widen the moat over time, while deterioration would be an early warning of competitive erosion.
Our moat trend assessment is Stable. Multi-year ROIC and operating margin trajectories show neither meaningful improvement nor deterioration, suggesting the competitive position is steady. We expect Core Natural Resources, Inc.'s moat profile to remain largely unchanged absent a material shift in return on capital or industry dynamics.
Key profit drivers include gross margins of 36% providing a solid profitability foundation, robust top-line growth of 104% expanding the revenue base. The margin cascade from 36% gross to 3% operating to 2.6% net reveals the company's cost structure and reinvestment intensity. Our analysis indicates that profit quality raises some durability concerns, with the quality factor at the 35th percentile.
The margin profile shows gross margins of 36%, operating margins of 3%, net margins of 2.6%. Return metrics include ROE of 0.7% and ROA of 0.4%. Relative to the Mining sector, gross margins are 7.2 percentage points below the sector median of 43%, and ROE of 0.7% compares to a sector median of 4.0%.
The balance sheet reflects a conservatively managed balance sheet with D/E of 11%, a dividend yield of 0.66%, revenue growth of 104%. The sector median D/E is 0%, putting Core Natural Resources, Inc. at higher leverage than the typical peer. Overall balance sheet health is adequate for the current business environment.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
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