Is CMG a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our 6-factor quantitative model, CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 41.8/100. It is ranked #2,721 out of 4,446 stocks. Key factor scores: Quality 50/100, Value 58/100, Momentum 27/100. The timing signal is "Neutral". This is quantitative analysis only — not investment advice.

What is the stock rating for CMG?

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) has a "Reduce" rating and 2-star score. The composite score of 41.8 ranks it #2,721 among 4,446 U.S. stocks. Ratings are updated weekly using academically-proven factor models.

What sector is CMG in?

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants, Hotels, Motels industry) with a market cap of $42.50 billion. It is classified as a large-cap stock.

Does CMG pay a dividend?

CMG does not currently pay a regular dividend. The company may be reinvesting profits for growth.

What is CMG's P/E ratio?

CMG has a trailing P/E ratio of 27.04x. The Consumer Discretionary sector average is 24.5x. This P/E is in a moderate range relative to the broader market.

How profitable is CMG?

CMG's quality factor score is 50/100. Gross margin: 24.0%. ROE: 56.3% vs sector average 6.2%. Margins are moderate to low, reflecting competitive market dynamics.

How is CMG valued compared to peers?

CMG's value factor score is 58/100 (higher = cheaper). Key multiples: P/E 27.0x, EV/EBITDA 21.6x. Valuation is roughly in line with peers.

What is CMG's debt level?

CMG's debt-to-equity ratio is 0%. Sector average: 89%. Low leverage suggests conservative financial management.

CMG has a beta of 0.97, meaning it tracks the market. Stability score: 58/100.

Does CMG have high short interest?

CMG's short interest factor score is 23/100 (higher = less short selling). Elevated short interest may indicate bearish sentiment or short squeeze potential.

CMG Stock Analysis: Reduce (Score 41.8/100) | Blank Capital Research

Data Series	1D	5D	1M	YTD	1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y
CMG	-0.44%	+2.80%	-1.81%	-7.86%	-32.19%	-	-	-
Industry Proxy XLY	+0.13%	+4.38%	-1.35%	-5.46%	-39.92%	-	-	-
U.S. Market SPY	-0.07%	+3.60%	+0.34%	-0.36%	+29.52%	-	-	-
Alpha vs Market	-0.37%	-0.80%	-2.15%	-7.50%	-61.71%	-	-	-
Alpha vs Sector	-0.57%	-1.58%	-0.46%	-2.40%	+7.73%	-	-	-

Metric	CMG	Benchmark
P/E Ratio	27.0x	+11%
EV/EBITDA	21.6x	+341%
Price / Book	15.2x

Stock Entity	Score▼	Quality	Value	Momentum	P/E Ratio	ROE	Gross Margin	Net Margin	Rev Growth	D/E Ratio	Market Cap	Compare
CASY CASEYS GENERAL STORES INC	57	50	68	67	43.1x	16.9%	24.0%	3.8%	0.3%	123.0x	$27.2B	VS
TGT TARGET CORP	53	50	70	56	16.7x	20.7%	28.4%	3.4%	-0.7%	89.0x	$54.5B	VS
APEI AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION INC	53	49	58	72	79.0x	4.6%	52.8%	2.1%	6.8%	32.0x	$1.1B	VS
LINC LINCOLN EDUCATIONAL SERVICES CORP	52	50	48	75	113.9x	5.6%	59.2%	2.3%	37.4%	147.0x	$1.3B	VS
FIVE FIVE BELOW, INC	52	50	56	73	106.3x	5.4%	32.5%	3.1%	26.5%	125.0x	$13.0B	VS
IMKTA INGLES MARKETS INC	51	50	51	62	17.7x	6.2%	23.9%	1.9%	0.4%	57.0x	$1.7B	VS
PRDO PERDOCEO EDUCATION Corp	51	50	70	57	14.1x	16.7%	100.0%	20.4%	27.1%	28.0x	$2.4B	VS
MCRI MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC	51	50	66	47	16.6x	19.7%	24.5%	19.4%	11.5%	33.0x	$1.7B	VS
FCFS FirstCash Holdings, Inc.	49	50	29	66	35.4x	10.8%	50.2%	8.0%	26.6%	98.0x	$8.4B	VS
ESCA ESCALADE INC	48	50	65	51	15.6x	9.0%	26.1%	6.2%	8.4%	11.0x	$249M	VS
CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC	42	50	58	27	27.0x	56.3%	24.0%	13.6%	1.0%	0.0x	$42.5B

Key Ratio	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
Gross Margin %	0.2%	-	-	-	-	-	0.7%	0.7%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
Operating Margin %	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
EBITDA Margin %	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Net Margin %	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
FCF Margin %	2.3%	-	-	-	-	-	4.9%	6.9%	6.9%	5.6%	2.5%
ROE %	0.6%	0.5%	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
ROA %	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
ROIC %	0.5%	54.0%	41.4%	40.2%	38.7%	27.7%	16.2%	29.2%	17.1%	18.1%	2.1%

Key Ratio

TTM

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

Gross Margin %

0.2%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

Operating Margin %

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

EBITDA Margin %

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Net Margin %

0.1%

0.0%

FCF Margin %

2.3%

4.9%

6.9%

5.6%

2.5%

ROE %

0.6%

0.5%

0.4%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

ROA %

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

ROIC %

0.5%

54.0%

41.4%

40.2%

38.7%

27.7%

16.2%

29.2%

17.1%

18.1%

2.1%

Line Item	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
	$11.7B	$11.9B	$11.3B	$9.9B	$8.6B	$7.5B	$6.0B	$5.6B	$4.9B	$4.5B	$3.9B	$4.5B
	—	—	—	—	—	—	$4.1B	$3.7B	$3.3B	$756M	$498M	$1.2B
Gross Margin	24.0%	---	---	---	---	---	67.7%	66.9%	67.1%	16.9%	12.8%	26.1%
	—	—	—	—	—	—	$239M	$377M	$202M	$163M	$146M	$130M
Total Operating Expenses	—	$10.0B	$9.4B	$8.3B	$7.5B	$6.7B	—	—	—	—	—	—
	$2.0B	$1.9B	$1.9B	$1.6B	$1.2B	$805M	$290M	$444M	$258M	$271M	$35M	$764M
EBIT	$2.0B	$1.9B	$1.9B	$1.6B	$1.2B	$805M	$290M	$444M	$258M	$271M	$35M	$764M
EBITDA	$2.0B	$1.9B	$1.9B	$1.6B	$1.2B	$805M	$532M	$671M	$470M	$434M	$185M	$900M
Operating Margin	16.9%	16.2%	16.9%	15.8%	13.4%	10.7%	4.9%	8.0%	5.3%	6.0%	0.9%	17.0%
EBITDA Margin	17.0%	16.2%	16.9%	15.8%	13.4%	10.7%	8.9%	12.0%	9.7%	9.7%	4.7%	20.0%
	—	$2.0B	$2.0B	$1.6B	$1.2B	$813M	—	—	—	—	—	—
Income Tax Expense	—	$474M	$476M	$392M	$282M	$160M	-$62M	$108M	$92M	$99M	$16M	$294M
	$1.6B	$1.5B	$1.5B	$1.2B	$899M	$653M	$356M	$350M	$177M	$176M	$23M	$476M
Net Margin	13.6%	12.9%	13.6%	12.4%	10.4%	8.6%	5.9%	6.3%	3.6%	3.9%	0.6%	10.6%
	$1.15	$1.15	$1.12	$44.59	$32.28	$23.21	$12.74	$12.62	$6.35	$6.19	$0.78	$15.30
Diluted EPS	$1.15	$1.14	$1.11	$44.34	$32.04	$22.90	$12.74	$12.62	$6.35	$6.19	$0.78	$15.30
Weighted Avg Basic	—	1.3B	1.4B	28M	28M	28M	—	—	—	—	—	—
Weighted Avg Diluted	—	1.3B	1.4B	28M	28M	29M	—	—	—	—	—	—

Line Item

TTM

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

$11.7B

$11.9B

$11.3B

$9.9B

$8.6B

$7.5B

$6.0B

$5.6B

$4.9B

$4.5B

$3.9B

$4.5B

—

$4.1B

$3.7B

$3.3B

$756M

$498M

$1.2B

Gross Margin

24.0%

---

67.7%

66.9%

67.1%

16.9%

12.8%

26.1%

—

$239M

$377M

$202M

$163M

$146M

$130M

Total Operating Expenses

—

$10.0B

$9.4B

$8.3B

$7.5B

$6.7B

—

$2.0B

$1.9B

$1.6B

$1.2B

$805M

$290M

$444M

$258M

$271M

$35M

$764M

EBIT

$2.0B

$1.9B

$1.6B

$1.2B

$805M

$290M

$444M

$258M

$271M

$35M

$764M

EBITDA

$2.0B

$1.9B

$1.6B

$1.2B

$805M

$532M

$671M

$470M

$434M

$185M

$900M

Operating Margin

16.9%

16.2%

16.9%

15.8%

13.4%

10.7%

4.9%

8.0%

5.3%

6.0%

0.9%

17.0%

EBITDA Margin

17.0%

16.2%

16.9%

15.8%

13.4%

10.7%

8.9%

12.0%

9.7%

4.7%

20.0%

—

$2.0B

$1.6B

$1.2B

$813M

—

Income Tax Expense

—

$474M

$476M

$392M

$282M

$160M

-$62M

$108M

$92M

$99M

$16M

$294M

$1.6B

$1.5B

$1.2B

$899M

$653M

$356M

$350M

$177M

$176M

$23M

$476M

Net Margin

13.6%

12.9%

13.6%

12.4%

10.4%

8.6%

5.9%

6.3%

3.6%

3.9%

0.6%

10.6%

$1.15

$1.12

$44.59

$32.28

$23.21

$12.74

$12.62

$6.35

$6.19

$0.78

$15.30

Diluted EPS

$1.15

$1.14

$1.11

$44.34

$32.04

$22.90

$12.74

$12.62

$6.35

$6.19

$0.78

$15.30

Weighted Avg Basic

—

1.3B

1.4B

28M

—

Weighted Avg Diluted

—

1.3B

1.4B

28M

29M

—

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast

Last updated: April 2026

Company Overview — What Does CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC Do?

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. As of February 15, 2022, it owned and operated approximately 3,000 restaurants in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and rest of Europe. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California. CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is classified as a large-cap stock in the Consumer Discretionary sector, specifically within the Restaurants, Hotels, Motels industry. The company is led by CEO Brian R. Niccol and employs approximately 105,000 people, headquartered in DENVER, California. With a market capitalization of $42.5B, CMG is one of the prominent companies in the Consumer Discretionary sector.

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Rating — Reduce (April 2026)

As of April 2026, CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC receives a Reduce rating with a composite score of 41.8/100 and 2 out of 5 stars from the Blank Capital Research quantitative model.CMG ranks #2,721 out of 4,446 stocks in our coverage universe. Within the Consumer Discretionary sector, CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC ranks #291 of 442 stocks, placing it in the lower half of its Consumer Discretionary peers. The rating is generated by a multi-factor model that weighs quality (30%), momentum (25%), value (15%), investment (10%), stability (10%), and short interest (10%).

CMG Stock Price and 52-Week Range

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) currently trades at $34.13. The stock lost $0.11 (0.3%) in the most recent trading session. The 52-week high for CMG is $58.42, which means the stock is currently trading -41.6% from its annual peak. The 52-week low is $29.75, putting the stock 14.7% above its annual trough. Recent trading volume was 9.8M shares, reflecting moderate market activity.

Is CMG Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) carries a value factor score of 58/100 in the Blank Capital model, indicating fair valuation relative to historical norms. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio is 27.04x, compared to the Consumer Discretionary sector average of 24.47x — a premium of 11%. The price-to-book ratio stands at 15.21x, versus the sector average of 1.99x. The price-to-sales ratio is 3.67x, compared to 0.27x for the average Consumer Discretionary stock. On an enterprise value basis, CMG trades at 21.65x EV/EBITDA, versus 4.91x for the sector.

Overall, CMG's valuation appears roughly in line with sector benchmarks, suggesting the market is pricing the stock fairly given its current fundamentals and growth trajectory. Neither deep value nor significantly overpriced, the stock occupies a middle ground on valuation.

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) earns a quality factor score of 50/100, indicating solid business quality with consistent operational execution. The return on equity (ROE) is 56.3%, compared to the Consumer Discretionary sector average of 6.2%, which demonstrates strong shareholder value creation. Return on assets (ROA) comes in at 17.7% versus the sector average of 2.5%.

On a margin basis, CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC reports gross margins of 24.0%, compared to 36.9% for the sector. The operating margin is 16.9% (sector: 3.8%). Net profit margin stands at 13.6%, versus 2.1% for the average Consumer Discretionary stock. Revenue growth is running at 1.0% on a trailing basis, compared to 3.3% for the sector. The overall profitability profile is adequate, though there may be room for margin expansion.

CMG Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0%, compared to the Consumer Discretionary sector average of 89.0%. The low leverage indicates a conservative balance sheet with significant financial flexibility. The current ratio is 1.23x, suggesting adequate working capital coverage. Total debt on the balance sheet is $0. Cash and equivalents stand at $699M.

CMG has a beta of 0.97, meaning it is roughly in line with the broader market in terms of price volatility. The stability factor score for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC is 58/100, reflecting average volatility within the normal range for its sector.

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend

In TTM 2026, CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC reported revenue of $11.74B and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.15. Net income for the quarter was $1.59B. Gross margin was 24.0%. Operating income came in at $1.99B.

In FY 2025, CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC reported revenue of $11.93B and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.15. Net income for the quarter was $1.54B. Revenue grew 5.4% year-over-year compared to FY 2024. Operating income came in at $1.94B.

In Q3 2025, CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC reported revenue of $3.00B and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.29. Net income for the quarter was $382M. Revenue grew 7.5% year-over-year compared to Q3 2024. Operating income came in at $477M.

In Q2 2025, CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC reported revenue of $3.06B and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.32. Net income for the quarter was $436M. Revenue grew 3.0% year-over-year compared to Q2 2024. Operating income came in at $559M.

Over the past 8 quarters, CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC has demonstrated a growth trajectory, with revenue expanding from $2.97B to $11.74B. Investors analyzing CMG stock should weigh these quarterly trends alongside the valuation and quality metrics discussed above.

CMG Dividend Yield and Income Analysis

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) does not currently pay a dividend. This is common among growth-oriented companies in the Restaurants, Hotels, Motels industry that prefer to reinvest cash flows into business expansion rather than returning capital to shareholders. Income-focused investors looking for Consumer Discretionary dividend stocks may want to explore other Consumer Discretionary stocks or use the stock screener to filter by dividend yield.

CMG Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) has a momentum factor score of 27/100, signaling weak relative price performance. Stocks with low momentum scores have historically tended to continue underperforming in the near term. The investment factor score is 33/100, which measures capital allocation efficiency and asset growth patterns. The short interest score of 23/100 signals elevated short interest, which can indicate bearish sentiment among institutional investors.

CMG vs Competitors — Consumer Discretionary Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector, CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) ranks #291 out of 442 stocks based on the Blank Capital composite score. This places CMG in the lower half of all Consumer Discretionary stocks in our coverage universe. Key competitors and sector peers include MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC (MCRI) with a score of 50.5/100, CASEYS GENERAL STORES INC (CASY) with a score of 57.3/100, INGLES MARKETS INC (IMKTA) with a score of 51.0/100, FIVE BELOW, INC (FIVE) with a score of 51.6/100, and TARGET CORP (TGT) with a score of 52.6/100.

Comparing CMG against the S&P 500 benchmark is also instructive for understanding relative performance. Investors can view the full CMG vs S&P 500 (SPY) comparison to assess how CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC stacks up against the broader market across all factor dimensions.

CMG Next Earnings Date

No upcoming earnings date has been announced for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) at this time. Check the earnings calendar for the latest scheduling updates across all stocks in our coverage universe.

Should You Buy CMG? — Investment Thesis Summary

The quantitative profile for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC suggests caution. Momentum is weak at 27/100, a headwind for near-term performance.

In summary, CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) earns a Reduce rating with a composite score of 41.8/100 as of April 2026. The rating is derived from the Blank Capital Research methodology, which combines six factor dimensions into a single quantitative ranking. Investors should consider these quantitative signals alongside their own fundamental research, risk tolerance, and investment time horizon before making buy or sell decisions on CMG stock.

Related Resources for CMG Investors

Explore more research and tools: CMG vs S&P 500 comparison, top Consumer Discretionary stocks, stock screener, our methodology, quality factor explained, value factor explained, momentum factor explained. Compare CMG head-to-head with peers: CMG vs MCRI, CMG vs CASY, CMG vs IMKTA.

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CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Analysis — April 2026 Rating, Price, and Forecast

Company Overview — What Does CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC Do?

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Rating — Reduce (April 2026)

CMG Stock Price and 52-Week Range

Is CMG Overvalued or Undervalued? — Valuation Analysis

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC Profitability — ROE, Margins, and Quality Score

CMG Debt, Balance Sheet, and Financial Health

CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC Revenue and Earnings History — Quarterly Trend

CMG Dividend Yield and Income Analysis

CMG Momentum and Technical Analysis Profile

CMG vs Competitors — Consumer Discretionary Sector Ranking and Peer Comparison

CMG Next Earnings Date

Should You Buy CMG? — Investment Thesis Summary

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