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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2036
Positioning
Market Dominance
Mining
Petroleum And Natural Gas
$5.6B
Daniel E. Brown
Chord Energy Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production company. It acquires, exploits, develops, and explores for crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Williston Basin. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Headcount
530
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$VALE Vale S.A. | 75 | 88 | 93 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SU SUNCOR ENERGY INC | 74 | 87 | 90 | 53 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRX TRX GOLD Corp | 72 | 83 | 77 | 96 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ORLA Orla Mining Ltd. | 72 | 94 | 83 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$KGC KINROSS GOLD CORP | 71 | 83 | 89 | 79 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD | 71 | 80 | 80 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$RIO RIO TINTO PLC | 70 | 76 | 84 | 64 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IAG IAMGOLD CORP | 70 | 71 | 82 | 89 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NGD New Gold Inc. /FI | 70 | 76 | 67 | 92 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp | 70 | 77 | 90 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CHRD Chord Energy Corp | 50 | 56 | 73 | 20 | 32.3x | 4.1x | 2.3% | 1.4% | 74.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 18.0x | $5.6B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 13.7x | 5.2x | 4.3% | 3.9% | 45.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 49.8/100. It ranks #2036 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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HQ Base
HOUSTON, Texas
Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
Average quality profile
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Mining sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for CHRD.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 56 | 64 | -8DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 20 | 12 | +8ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 73 | 81 | -8DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 32 | 33 | -1NEUTRAL |
| STABILITY | 64 | 71 | -7DRAG |
| SHORT INT | 25 | 9 | +16ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 14.8% vs WACC 8.0% (spread +6.8%)
GM 74% vs sector 46%, OM 6% vs sector 8%
Capital turnover 1.54x
Rev growth 4%, 10yr history
Interest coverage 9.1x, Net debt/EBITDA 1.6x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) as a Reduce with a composite score of 49.8/100 at a current price of $104.96. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
Chord Energy Corp holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Mining sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 49.8/100 places it at rank #2036 in our full universe.
Narrow
Medium
Standard
Undervalued
Gross margins of 74% signal strong pricing power.
Value factor score of 73 suggests attractive pricing.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Chord Energy Corp represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Chord Energy Corp receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 49.8/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2036 out of 7,333 stocks. CHRD's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
With a quality score of 56/100, CHRD shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 2.3% (sector avg: 4.3%), gross margins of 74.0% (sector avg: 45.8%), net margins of 2.6% (sector avg: 5.8%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
CHRD carries a solid value score of 73/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 32.33x, an EV/EBITDA of 4.06x, a P/B ratio of 0.74x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
Chord Energy Corp's investment score of 32/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 4.1% vs. a sector average of 0.1% and a return on assets of 1.4% (sector: 3.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
Chord Energy Corp is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 20/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at 4.1% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.27 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
With a stability score of 64/100, CHRD exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.27 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 18.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
Chord Energy Corp's short interest score of 25/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.27), elevated leverage (D/E: 18.00x). At $5.6B (mid-cap), CHRD carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
Chord Energy Corp offers an attractive dividend yield of 5.5%, placing it among the higher-yielding stocks in its peer group. A yield this high can provide meaningful income, but investors should verify the payout is sustainable by examining the payout ratio, free cash flow coverage, and any history of dividend cuts.
Chord Energy Corp is a mid-cap company in the Mining sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2036 of 7,333 overall (72nd percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 2.3% trailing the 4.3% sector median and operating margins of 6.4% below the 7.6% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Mining peers.
While CHRD currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the MINING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
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Improvement in Momentum (20) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 22% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 47% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 62% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
The article recommends investing $3,000 in three energy dividend stocks - Phillips 66, Chord Energy, and the Global X MLP ETF - to generate $1,000 in passive income over 5 years. It highlights the high dividend yields and potential for these investments to outperform the S&P 500.
COP, MRO, FANG, HES and CHRD emerge as the energy headline makers during the week.
If you are wondering whether Chord Energy's share price still reflects good value or if the opportunity has passed, looking closely at how the market is pricing the business can give you useful clues. The stock recently closed at US$105.25, with returns of 3.2% over the past 7 days, 10.2% over the last 30 days, 11.2% year to date and a 0.3% decline over the last year, which may leave investors debating whether this is renewed enthusiasm or a reassessment of risk. Recent news flow around...
Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CHRD) is included among the 12 Best Crude Oil Stocks to Buy as Tensions Rise. With its premier acreage position in the Williston Basin, Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CHRD) engages in the exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. On February 11, Piper Sandler reduced its price target […]
Throughout the last three months, 9 analysts have evaluated Chord Energy (NASDAQ:CHRD), offering a diverse set of opinions from bullish to bearish. The following table provides a quick overview of their recent ratings, highlighting the changing sentiments over the past 30 days and comparing them to the preceding months. Bullish Somewhat Bullish Indifferent Somewhat Bearish Bearish Total Ratings 5 4 0 0 0 Last 30D 1 0 0 0 0 1M Ago 2 0 0 0 0 2M Ago 1 2 0 0 0 3M Ago 1 2 0 0 0 Analysts have recently evaluated Chord Energy and provided 12-month price targets. The average target is $217.11, accompanied by a high estimate of $233.00 and a low estimate of $195.00. This upward trend is evident, with the current average reflecting a 0.51% increase from the previous average price target of $216.00. Breaking Down Analyst Ratings: A Detailed Examination The perception of Chord Energy by financial experts is analyzed through recent analyst actions. The following summary presents key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets. Analyst Analyst Firm Action Taken Rating Current Price Target Prior Price Target Paul Diamond Citigroup Announces Buy $195.00 - Noah Hungness B of A Securities Announces Buy $201.00 - Neal Dingmann Truist Securities Lowers Buy $226.00 $228.00 Mark Lear Piper Sandler Raises Overweight $233.00 $231.00 Mark Lear Piper Sandler Raises Overweight $231.00 $230.00 Nitin Kumar Mizuho Raises Buy $214.00 $195.00 Scott Hanold RBC ...Full story available on Benzinga.com