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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1917
Positioning
Market Dominance
Mining
Petroleum And Natural Gas
$2.0B
Christopher P. Kalnin
Our core business is to produce natural gas from our owned and operated upstream businesses, which are supported by our four business lines: natural gas production; natural gas gathering, processing and transportation (our “natural gas midstream business”); power generation; and carbon capture, utilization and sequestration (“CCUS”). Our principal executive offices are located at 1200 17th Street, Suite 2100, Denver, Colorado.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$VALE Vale S.A. | 75 | 88 | 93 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SU SUNCOR ENERGY INC | 74 | 87 | 90 | 53 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$TRX TRX GOLD Corp | 72 | 83 | 77 | 96 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ORLA Orla Mining Ltd. | 72 | 94 | 83 | 78 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$KGC KINROSS GOLD CORP | 71 | 83 | 89 | 79 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD | 71 | 80 | 80 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$RIO RIO TINTO PLC | 70 | 76 | 84 | 64 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IAG IAMGOLD CORP | 70 | 71 | 82 | 89 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NGD New Gold Inc. /FI | 70 | 76 | 67 | 92 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp | 70 | 77 | 90 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BKV BKV Corp | 51 | 56 | 56 | 43 | 27.6x | 38.5x | 6.5% | 4.0% | 78.0% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 60.5% | 0.0% | 27.0x | $2.0B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 13.7x | 5.2x | 4.3% | 3.9% | 45.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
BKV Corp (BKV) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 50.6/100. It ranks #1917 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Mining sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for BKV.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 56 | 63 | -7DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 43 | 44 | -1NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 56 | 62 | -6DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 24 | 11 | +13ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 57 | 64 | -7DRAG |
| SHORT INT | 32 | 17 | +15ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 15.0% vs WACC 8.6% (spread +6.4%)
GM 78% vs sector 46%, OM 12% vs sector 8%
Capital turnover 0.50x
Rev growth 61%, 2yr history
Interest coverage 12.7x, Net debt/EBITDA 4.9x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate BKV Corp (BKV) as a Hold with a composite score of 50.6/100 at a current price of $29.73. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
BKV Corp holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Mining sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 50.6/100 places it at rank #1917 in our full universe.
Narrow
Low
Standard
Fair Value
Gross margins of 78% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
BKV Corp represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns BKV Corp a Hold rating, with a composite score of 50.6/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1917 of 7,333 stocks, BKV presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 56/100, BKV shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 6.5% (sector avg: 4.3%), gross margins of 78.0% (sector avg: 45.8%), net margins of 16.2% (sector avg: 5.8%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
BKV's value score of 56/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 27.55x, an EV/EBITDA of 38.55x, a P/B ratio of 1.79x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
BKV Corp's investment score of 24/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 60.5% vs. a sector average of 0.1% and a return on assets of 4.0% (sector: 3.9%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
BKV is currently showing below-average momentum at 43/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 60.5% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.18 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
With a stability score of 57/100, BKV exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.18 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 27.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
BKV Corp's short interest score of 32/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 27.00x), small-cap liquidity risk. At $2.0B (small-cap), BKV carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
BKV Corp is a small-cap company in the Mining sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1917 of 7,333 overall (74th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 6.5% exceeding the 4.3% sector median and operating margins of 11.8% above the 7.6% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Mining peers.
While BKV currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MINING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Mining Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Investment (24) is the limiting factor — improvement here would lift the composite score most.
EV/EBITDA 637% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 51% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 70% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Why BKV’s latest power moves matter for investors BKV (BKV) has moved quickly to complete its Power WI acquisition and lift its stake in a power joint venture to 75%, giving it majority control of the Temple I and Temple II plants in Texas. These steps increase BKV’s exposure to power generation alongside its natural gas operations, and have already prompted fresh analyst modeling ahead of the company’s fourth quarter 2025 earnings update. See our latest analysis for BKV. At a share price of...
BKV Corporation's CEO Christopher Kalnin sold 78,281 shares (6% of direct holdings) in an open-market transaction, reducing his direct stake while maintaining significant ownership. The sale occurred amid rising production volumes and increased capital expenditures.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081