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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3966
Positioning
Market Dominance
Retail Trade
Retail
$141M
Matt M. Meeker
The Original BARK Company, a dog-centric company, provides products, services, and content for dogs. It operates through two segments, Direct to Consumer and Commerce. The company also sells BARK Home products through BarkShop.com.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = BARK ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. | 73 | 85 | 89 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IMKTA INGLES MARKETS INC | 70 | 73 | 89 | 76 | 11.3x | 4.1x | 6.9% | 4.1% | 24.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | -3.4% | 1.1% | 33.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$SGU STAR GROUP, L.P. | 69 | 82 | 79 | 63 | - | - | -25.2% | -10.6% | 28.1% | -6.3% | -5.4% | -7.8% | 6.1% | 57.0x | $396M | VS | |
$EZPW EZCORP INC | 68 | 77 | 82 | 89 | 7.2x | 4.2x | 12.0% | 6.2% | 59.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 52.0x | $764M | VS | |
$HTHT H World Group Ltd | 68 | 91 | 44 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd | 68 | 86 | 82 | 57 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | 68 | 83 | 92 | 77 | 5.1x | 2.3x | 32.0% | 6.6% | 51.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | -1.0% | 0.0% | 178.0x | $934M | VS | |
$SPH SUBURBAN PROPANE PARTNERS LP | 67 | 80 | 90 | 53 | - | 13.0x | 0.4% | -3.5% | 61.7% | 2.1% | -5.7% | 2.2% | 7.1% | 190.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/ | 67 | 63 | 81 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ROST ROSS STORES, INC. | 67 | 63 | 55 | 83 | 25.2x | 16.5x | 34.8% | 13.3% | 28.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 1.0% | 26.0x | $51.6B | VS | |
$BARK Bark, Inc. | 37 | 45 | 31 | 28 | - | - | -46.6% | -20.1% | 61.4% | -9.2% | -8.7% | -21.9% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $141M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 21.4x | 9.1x | 9.6% | 3.6% | 37.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.7x | - | REF |
Bark, Inc. (BARK) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 36.5/100. It ranks #3966 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Average quality profile
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Moderate investment profile
Below-average composite — caution warranted
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Relative valuation derived from Retail Trade sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for BARK.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 45 | 44 | +1NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 28 | 23 | +5NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 31 | 23 | +8ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 35 | 60 | -25DRAG |
| STABILITY | 33 | 31 | +2NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 28 | 16 | +12ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy -46.6% (sector 9.6%)
GM 61% vs sector 37%, OM -9% vs sector 4%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth -22%, 6yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Bark, Inc. (BARK) as Avoid with a composite score of 36.5/100 at a current price of $0.77. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
Bark, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Retail Trade sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 36.5/100 places it at rank #3966 in our full universe.
No Moat
High
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 61% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Bark, Inc. represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags Bark, Inc. with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 36.5/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #3966 of 7,333 stocks, BARK falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
With a quality score of 45/100, BARK shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of -46.6% (sector avg: 9.6%), gross margins of 61.4% (sector avg: 37.3%), net margins of -8.7% (sector avg: 2.4%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
With a value score of 31/100, BARK appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/B ratio of 1.70x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
Bark, Inc.'s investment score of 35/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -21.9% vs. a sector average of 3.7% and a return on assets of -20.1% (sector: 3.6%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
Bark, Inc. is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 28/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth stands at -21.9% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.08 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
BARK's stability score of 33/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.08 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00x (sector avg: 0.7x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
Bark, Inc.'s short interest score of 28/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include micro-cap liquidity risk. At $141M (micro-cap), BARK carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
Bark, Inc. is a micro-cap company in the Retail Trade sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3966 of 7,333 overall (46th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -46.6% trailing the 9.6% sector median and operating margins of -9.2% below the 4.4% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Retail Trade peers.
While BARK currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the RETAIL TRADE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Retail Trade Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Momentum (28) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 586% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 65% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Op. Margin 312% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
BARK’s latest research update keeps the model fair value anchored at US$2.00, while some analysts have trimmed their price targets by about US$0.50. Those target moves are being framed as a response to refreshed assumptions around revenue growth, discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E expectations, rather than a wholesale shift in the story. As you read on, you will see how these different analyst views shape the evolving narrative around BARK and what it could mean for your own...
What Changed in the Latest BARK Price Target BARK's modeled fair value has been trimmed from about US$2.33 to US$2.00 per share, even as the updated assumptions now use a slightly lower discount rate of roughly 9.01% and a higher revenue growth input of about 4.21%. This reset reflects analysts trying to balance more optimistic growth expectations against a more careful view of how that growth might translate into value for shareholders. Stay tuned to see how you can track these shifting...
Here is how Walmart (WMT) and BARK Inc. (BARK) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
BARK (BARK) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. This might drive the stock higher in the near term.
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