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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#3398
Positioning
Market Dominance
Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services
Communication
$260M
Ross B. Levinsohn
The Arena Group Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in New York, New York. The company offers the Platform, a proprietary online publishing platform. The Platform offers publishing tools, video platforms, social distribution channels and newsletter technology.
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UGP ULTRAPAR HOLDINGS INC | 79 | 90 | 95 | 87 | - | - | 29.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | -16.9% | 4.9% | 22.0x | $2.8B | VS | |
$TNK TEEKAY TANKERS LTD. | 78 | 94 | 97 | 82 | - | - | 24.4% | 20.6% | 67.0% | 30.9% | 32.8% | -16.6% | 7.6% | 0.0x | $1.3B | VS | |
$DHT DHT Holdings, Inc. | 75 | 84 | 88 | 78 | - | - | 17.5% | 12.2% | 54.8% | 36.8% | 31.7% | 2.0% | 10.9% | 40.0x | $1.5B | VS | |
$STNG Scorpio Tankers Inc. | 75 | 86 | 95 | 74 | - | - | 24.7% | 16.6% | 63.1% | 61.5% | 53.8% | -7.2% | 3.3% | 30.0x | $2.6B | VS | |
$NAT NORDIC AMERICAN TANKERS Ltd | 75 | 82 | 88 | 87 | - | - | 8.9% | 5.5% | 64.4% | 22.1% | 13.3% | -10.7% | 18.0% | 53.0x | $465M | VS | |
$AMX AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV/ | 74 | 86 | 81 | 68 | - | - | 5.8% | 1.5% | 61.1% | 20.7% | 3.2% | -13.7% | 3.5% | 202.0x | $44.7B | VS | |
$PAC Pacific Airport Group | 73 | 94 | 80 | 78 | - | - | 35.2% | 10.8% | 84.4% | 44.8% | 26.4% | -18.0% | 5.6% | 81.0x | $8.5B | VS | |
$GSL Global Ship Lease, Inc. | 73 | 82 | 94 | 81 | - | - | 26.7% | 15.6% | 100.0% | 53.7% | 50.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 47.0x | $753M | VS | |
$TRMD TORM plc | 73 | 86 | 94 | 65 | - | - | 32.7% | 19.3% | 58.8% | 40.9% | 38.0% | 2.5% | 30.1% | 59.0x | $1.7B | VS | |
$VIV TELEFONICA BRASIL S.A. | 73 | 82 | 90 | 78 | - | - | 7.0% | 4.0% | 43.9% | 15.5% | 10.0% | -15.9% | 5.6% | 0.0x | $12.5B | VS | |
$AREN Arena Group Holdings, Inc. | 41 | 49 | 53 | 51 | 1.3x | 5.9x | -60.5% | 101.8% | 51.6% | 28.9% | 72.2% | 9.5% | 0.0% | - | $260M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 16.9x | 6.1x | 11.9% | 3.5% | 55.1% | 17.6% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.0x | - | REF |
Arena Group Holdings, Inc. (AREN) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 41.2/100. It ranks #3398 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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In-line with peers — no strong momentum signal
Fair valuation relative to peers
Average quality profile
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for AREN.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 49 | 54 | -5NEUTRAL |
| MOMENTUM | 51 | 54 | -3NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 53 | 61 | -8DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 30 | 28 | +2NEUTRAL |
| STABILITY | 19 | 14 | +5NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 14 | 3 | +11ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 9.7% vs WACC 7.8% (spread +1.9%)
GM 52% vs sector 55%, OM 29% vs sector 18%
Capital turnover 0.30x
Rev growth 9%, 10yr history
Interest coverage N/A, Net debt/EBITDA 9.4x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Arena Group Holdings, Inc. (AREN) as a Reduce with a composite score of 41.2/100 at a current price of $3.14. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
Arena Group Holdings, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 41.2/100 places it at rank #3398 in our full universe.
No Moat
Medium
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 52% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
Arena Group Holdings, Inc. represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Arena Group Holdings, Inc. receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 41.2/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #3398 out of 7,333 stocks. AREN's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
With a quality score of 49/100, AREN shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of -60.5% (sector avg: 11.9%), gross margins of 51.6% (sector avg: 55.1%), net margins of 72.2% (sector avg: 10.4%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
AREN's value score of 53/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 1.29x, an EV/EBITDA of 5.86x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
Arena Group Holdings, Inc.'s investment score of 30/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 9.5% vs. a sector average of 4.0% and a return on assets of 101.8% (sector: 3.5%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
AREN demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 51/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at 9.5% year-over-year, while a beta of 0.86 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
Arena Group Holdings, Inc. registers a low stability score of 19/100, indicating high volatility and potentially stressed financial conditions. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.86. Stocks at this level carry elevated capital loss risk and may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios without careful risk management.
Arena Group Holdings, Inc.'s short interest score of 14/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include micro-cap liquidity risk. At $260M (micro-cap), AREN carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
Arena Group Holdings, Inc. is a micro-cap company in the Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #3398 of 7,333 overall (54th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -60.5% trailing the 11.9% sector median and operating margins of 28.9% above the 17.6% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services peers.
While AREN currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the TRANSPORTATION, COMMUNICATIONS, ELECTRIC, GAS, AND SANITARY SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Transportation, Communications, Electric, Gas, And Sanitary Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Short Int. (14) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA IN LINE WITH SECTOR BENCHMARKS
ROE 607% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 6% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
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