Equity Research Analysis: Arrive AI Inc. (ARAI)
|Blank Capital Research Unit|Spot: $1.10
Price$1.10
Composite Score22.2/100
RatingAVOID (1★)
Rank#4829 OF 7,333
Market Cap$121M
ROE
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Blank Capital Research ("BCR") is a technology platform, not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer. The algorithmically generated signals, scores, and rankings provided on this site ("God Mode" Signals) are for informational and research purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to sell or solicit an offer to buy any securities.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS: The "timing scores" and "regime signals" displayed are based on quantitative models. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity.
RISK OF LOSS: Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Data provided by third-party sources (Intrinio, Snowflake) is believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
© 2026 Blank Capital Research. All rights reserved. System Version: Aegis V8 (God Mode).
Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#4829
Positioning
Market Dominance
Services
Business Services
$121M
Daniel S. O’Toole
We were incorporated on April 30, 2020, in the State of Delaware under the name of Dronedek Corporation. The Company changed its name to Arrive Technology Inc. on July 27, 2023. The Company changed its name to Arrive AI Inc. on September 30, 2024. We are a developmental technology company with a focus on designing and implementing a commercially viable smart mailbox and platform system for smart, secure, and seamless exchange of packages, goods, supplies, food, and medications between people, through the use of robots, and drones. We have not started conducting commercial operations and we had no revenues for fiscal years 2022, 2023 or 2024. Arrive executed an exclusive patent license agreement on May 26, 2020 with its CEO, Mr. O’Toole and amended in December 2024 and March 2025, whereby Mr. O’Toole granted Arrive rights to use, sell, manufacture and otherwise commercialize certain technologies relating to secured drone delivery ALM mailboxes in exchange for license fees. Such technologies helped jumpstart our business operations and will continue to play such a critical role in our growth that we became heavily reliant on the right to use them. Our corporate address is in Fishers, Indiana.
Headcount
7
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = ARAI ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$YALA Yalla Group Ltd | 75 | 89 | 99 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GRVY GRAVITY Co., Ltd. | 75 | 82 | 96 | 71 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ISSC INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INC | 73 | 81 | 88 | 94 | 25.0x | 14.1x | 17.1% | 10.3% | 35.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 105.2% | 0.0% | 41.0x | $244M | VS | |
$AER AerCap Holdings N.V. | 72 | 60 | 87 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$HCSG HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP INC | 72 | 74 | 88 | 88 | 7.1x | 6.1x | 28.9% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 1.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$LQDT LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | 72 | 90 | 88 | 68 | 24.9x | 14.3x | 14.1% | 8.3% | 45.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 28.1% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $736M | VS | |
$TRTNpA Triton International Ltd | 71 | 70 | 89 | 70 | - | 1.7x | 0.0% | - | 97.4% | 58.0% | 37.4% | - | 8.8% | 264.0x | $2.5B | VS | |
$EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. | 71 | 83 | 52 | 77 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NTES NetEase, Inc. | 71 | 88 | 93 | 68 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UTI UNIVERSAL TECHNICAL INSTITUTE INC | 70 | 86 | 86 | 72 | 43.2x | 16.0x | 15.3% | 5.8% | 100.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 24.0x | $1.8B | VS | |
$ARAI Arrive AI Inc. | 22 | 10 | 26 | 14 | - | - | -189.9% | -92.0% | 100.0% | -22151.0% | -30021.0% | - | 0.0% | 106.0x | $121M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 23.7x | 11.7x | 5.7% | 2.4% | 64.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 0.3x | - | REF |
Arrive AI Inc. (ARAI) receives a "Avoid" rating with a composite score of 22.2/100. It ranks #4829 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 1-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
Sign in to join the discussion.
HQ Base
INDIANAPOLIS, Indiana
Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Below-average composite — caution warranted
Get full access to institutional-quality research tools with Blank Capital Pro.
Upgrade to ProStarting at $19.99/mo
Relative valuation derived from Services sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
No analyst ratings for ARAI.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 10 | 0 | +10ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 14 | 9 | +5NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 26 | 19 | +7ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 20 | 4 | +16ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 11 | 5 | +6ALPHA |
| SHORT INT | 52 | 58 | -6DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC -40.8% vs WACC 9.2% (spread -49.9%)
GM 100% vs sector 65%, OM -22151% vs sector 5%
Capital turnover 0.00x
Rev growth N/A
Interest coverage -10.0x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate Arrive AI Inc. (ARAI) as Avoid with a composite score of 22.2/100 at a current price of $1.10. The stock falls in the bottom quintile, and the multi-factor weakness suggests a high probability of continued underperformance.
Arrive AI Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 22.2/100 places it at rank #4829 in our full universe.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 100% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Leverage of 106% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
Arrive AI Inc. represents a avoid based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our quantitative model flags Arrive AI Inc. with an Avoid rating, assigning a composite score of 22.2/100 and 1 out of 5 stars. Ranked #4829 of 7,333 stocks, ARAI falls in the bottom tier across key factors. Historically, stocks with this profile have faced elevated risk of underperformance and capital loss.
Arrive AI Inc. registers a weak quality score of just 10/100, indicating significant profitability challenges. The company reports a return on equity of -189.9% (sector avg: 5.7%), gross margins of 100.0% (sector avg: 64.6%), net margins of -30021.0% (sector avg: 2.8%). Low quality scores are often associated with businesses in turnaround mode, early-stage growth, or structurally challenged industries.
ARAI registers a value score of just 26/100, suggesting the stock trades at a significant premium to its fundamental metrics. Key valuation metrics include a P/B ratio of 8.90x. High-premium valuations like this require strong future execution to avoid multiple compression, and downside risk is elevated if growth disappoints.
Arrive AI Inc.'s investment score of 20/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include a return on assets of -92.0% (sector: 2.4%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
Arrive AI Inc. is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 14/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth data is not currently available, while a beta of 3.37 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
Arrive AI Inc. registers a low stability score of 11/100, indicating high volatility and potentially stressed financial conditions. Key stability metrics include a beta of 3.37 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 106.00x (sector avg: 0.3x). Stocks at this level carry elevated capital loss risk and may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios without careful risk management.
The short interest score of 52/100 for ARAI suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include high market sensitivity (beta: 3.37), elevated leverage (D/E: 106.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. With a $121M market cap (micro-cap), Arrive AI Inc. may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
Arrive AI Inc. is a micro-cap company in the Services sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #4829 of 7,333 overall (34th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -189.9% trailing the 5.7% sector median and operating margins of -22151.0% below the 4.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Services peers.
While ARAI currently exhibits a AVOID profile, superior opportunities exist within the SERVICES sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Services Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Upgrade catalyst
Improvement in Quality (10) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
ROE 3409% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 55% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Op. Margin 492344% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
NEW DELHI, IN / ACCESS Newswire / February 16, 2026 / Arrive AI (NASDAQ:ARAI), an autonomous delivery infrastructure company, today announced the global expansion of its AI-powered autonomous logistics ecosystem at the India AI Impact Summit 2026. ...
PEACHTREE CORNERS, GA AND INDIANAPOLIS, IN / ACCESS Newswire / February 9, 2026 / Arrive AI (NASDAQ:ARAI), an autonomous delivery network company built around patented, AI-powered Arrive Points™, will conduct a live demonstration at Curiosity Lab ...