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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1609
Positioning
Market Dominance
Manufacturing
Recreation
$87M
Brian D. Murphy
American Outdoor Brands, Inc. provides outdoor products and accessories for rugged outdoor enthusiasts in the United States and internationally. The company sells its products through e-commerce and traditional distribution channels under Marksman, Defender, Harvester, and Adventure brand lanes.
Headcount
320
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = AOUT ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$UL UNILEVER PLC | 78 | 96 | 98 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ASML ASML HOLDING NV | 77 | 89 | 86 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD | 76 | 81 | 87 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$MT ArcelorMittal | 75 | 71 | 98 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE | 75 | 85 | 87 | 84 | 20.9x | 13.6x | 32.9% | 20.5% | 48.8% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 7.7% | 0.9% | 32.0x | $148.6B | VS | |
$SIMO Silicon Motion Technology CORP | 75 | 84 | 86 | 85 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. | 74 | 83 | 90 | 79 | 16.3x | 11.9x | 7.4% | 7.5% | 68.3% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% | 0.0x | $84M | VS | |
$GSK GSK plc | 74 | 84 | 90 | 70 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$EFXT Enerflex Ltd. | 74 | 80 | 91 | 83 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV | 74 | 84 | 97 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$AOUT American Outdoor Brands, Inc. | 53 | 62 | 79 | 35 | 10.5x | 3.9x | -3.5% | -2.4% | 46.2% | -5.9% | -5.8% | -44.4% | 0.0% | 44.0x | $87M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 22.3x | 11.5x | -1.9% | 0.9% | 44.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.2x | - | REF |
American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 52.5/100. It ranks #1609 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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HQ Base
Pending Verification
Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Manufacturing sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for AOUT.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 62 | 68 | -6DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 35 | 24 | +11ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 79 | 84 | -5NEUTRAL |
| INVESTMENT | 46 | 87 | -41DRAG |
| STABILITY | 55 | 51 | +4NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 20 | 5 | +15ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy -3.5% (sector -1.9%)
GM 46% vs sector 44%, OM -6% vs sector 3%
Capital turnover N/A, R&D intensity 6.6%
Rev growth -44%, 6yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) as a Hold with a composite score of 52.5/100 at a current price of $9.08. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
American Outdoor Brands, Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Manufacturing sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 52.5/100 places it at rank #1609 in our full universe.
No Moat
Medium
Poor
Undervalued
Gross margins of 46% signal strong pricing power.
Value factor score of 79 suggests attractive pricing.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
American Outdoor Brands, Inc. represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns American Outdoor Brands, Inc. a Hold rating, with a composite score of 52.5/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1609 of 7,333 stocks, AOUT presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 62/100, AOUT shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of -3.5% (sector avg: -1.9%), gross margins of 46.2% (sector avg: 44.1%), net margins of -5.8% (sector avg: 1.0%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
AOUT carries a solid value score of 79/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 10.47x, an EV/EBITDA of 3.89x, a P/B ratio of 0.70x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
With an investment score of 46/100, AOUT exhibits moderate growth-oriented spending. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -44.4% vs. a sector average of 6.7% and a return on assets of -2.4% (sector: 0.9%). The company appears to be balancing growth investments with capital returns, though the pace of investment may not be enough to accelerate top-line growth meaningfully.
AOUT is currently showing below-average momentum at 35/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at -44.4% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.20 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
With a stability score of 55/100, AOUT exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.20 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 44.00x (sector avg: 0.2x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
American Outdoor Brands, Inc.'s short interest score of 20/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include elevated leverage (D/E: 44.00x), micro-cap liquidity risk. At $87M (micro-cap), AOUT carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
American Outdoor Brands, Inc. is a micro-cap company in the Manufacturing sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1609 of 7,333 overall (78th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of -3.5% trailing the -1.9% sector median and operating margins of -5.9% below the 2.5% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Manufacturing peers.
While AOUT currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the MANUFACTURING sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Manufacturing Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Value (79) vs Short Int. (20) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 66% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 85% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin IN LINE WITH SECTOR BENCHMARKS
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
American Outdoor Brands (NASDAQ: AOUT) has launched the Caldwell Clays App, which transforms backyards into sporting clays courses by enabling users to control up to 10 smart launchers, including the ClayCopter Surface-to-Air and Claymore Connect, directly from their mobile devices. The app offers features like Touch-to-Launch for precise target control and Hands Free Voice Launch, supporting a mix of biodegradable ClayCopter targets and traditional clays. This innovative system debuts at SHOT Show 2026, offering greater flexibility and customization for shotgun target shooting.
American Outdoor Brands (NASDAQ:AOUT) delivered strong Q3 results, exceeding analyst expectations for revenue, EPS, and EBITDA, attributing success to innovation and strategic execution. Despite a 5% revenue decline year-over-year, its performance was notable among leisure products stocks. Other companies like Harley-Davidson saw significant revenue growth, while Ruger experienced a softer quarter with missed EBITDA and EPS estimates.
American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:AOUT) currently has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.5x, which appears moderate compared to the Leisure industry median of 0.9x. However, the company faces concerns with forecast revenue declines, as analysts predict a 5.5% drop over the next year against an industry growth expectation of 4.9%. This negative growth outlook suggests that the current P/S ratio might not be justified, potentially setting shareholders up for future disappointment if the stock price aligns with shrinking revenues.
Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although...
Since August 2025, American Outdoor Brands has been in a holding pattern, posting a small return of 2.2% while floating around $9.44. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 10.2% gain during that period.