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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1148
Positioning
Market Dominance
Retail Trade
Retail
$6.7B
Richard A. Hayne
Urban Outfitters, Inc. engages in the retail and wholesale of general consumer products. It operates through three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and Nully. The company is also involved in the wholesale of young women's contemporary casual apparel, intimates, activewear, and shoes under the Free People brand. As of January 31, 2022, it operated 261 Urban Outfitsters, 238 Anthropologie Group, and 173 Free People stores.
Headcount
23.0K
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = URBN ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. | 73 | 85 | 89 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$IMKTA INGLES MARKETS INC | 70 | 73 | 89 | 76 | 11.3x | 4.1x | 6.9% | 4.1% | 24.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | -3.4% | 1.1% | 33.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$SGU STAR GROUP, L.P. | 69 | 82 | 79 | 63 | - | - | -25.2% | -10.6% | 28.1% | -6.3% | -5.4% | -7.8% | 6.1% | 57.0x | $396M | VS | |
$EZPW EZCORP INC | 68 | 77 | 82 | 89 | 7.2x | 4.2x | 12.0% | 6.2% | 59.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 52.0x | $764M | VS | |
$HTHT H World Group Ltd | 68 | 91 | 44 | 84 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd | 68 | 86 | 82 | 57 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | 68 | 83 | 92 | 77 | 5.1x | 2.3x | 32.0% | 6.6% | 51.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | -1.0% | 0.0% | 178.0x | $934M | VS | |
$SPH SUBURBAN PROPANE PARTNERS LP | 67 | 80 | 90 | 53 | - | 13.0x | 0.4% | -3.5% | 61.7% | 2.1% | -5.7% | 2.2% | 7.1% | 190.0x | $1.2B | VS | |
$IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC /NEW/ | 67 | 63 | 81 | 67 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$ROST ROSS STORES, INC. | 67 | 63 | 55 | 83 | 25.2x | 16.5x | 34.8% | 13.3% | 28.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 1.0% | 26.0x | $51.6B | VS | |
$URBN URBAN OUTFITTERS INC | 56 | 61 | 74 | 63 | 12.8x | 8.4x | 18.0% | 9.8% | 36.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 0.0% | 83.0x | $6.7B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 21.4x | 9.1x | 9.6% | 3.6% | 37.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.7x | - | REF |
URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 56.0/100. It ranks #1148 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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HQ Base
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Trading at a discount to fundamentals — favorable entry valuation
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
Average volatility — neutral timing signal
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Retail Trade sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for URBN.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 61 | 77 | -16DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 63 | 66 | -3NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 74 | 82 | -8DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 33 | 49 | -16DRAG |
| STABILITY | 53 | 57 | -4NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 63 | 75 | -12DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROE proxy 18.0% (sector 9.6%)
GM 37% vs sector 37%, OM 10% vs sector 4%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth 11%, 11yr history
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN) as a Hold with a composite score of 56.0/100 at a current price of $64.75. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
URBAN OUTFITTERS INC holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Retail Trade sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 56.0/100 places it at rank #1148 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at 11% and momentum in the 63th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
Narrow
Medium
Poor
Undervalued
Returns on equity of 18.0% exceed cost of capital.
Value factor score of 74 suggests attractive pricing.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
URBAN OUTFITTERS INC represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns URBAN OUTFITTERS INC a Hold rating, with a composite score of 56.0/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1148 of 7,333 stocks, URBN presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
With a quality score of 61/100, URBN shows adequate but unremarkable business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 18.0% (sector avg: 9.6%), gross margins of 36.9% (sector avg: 37.3%), net margins of 8.4% (sector avg: 2.4%). This suggests the company generates acceptable returns but may lack the competitive positioning or operational efficiency to stand out from peers.
URBN carries a solid value score of 74/100, pointing to an attractively priced stock relative to peers. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 12.75x, an EV/EBITDA of 8.38x, a P/B ratio of 2.29x. This score suggests reasonable compensation for the risks involved, with potential upside if the market recognizes the stock's underlying worth.
URBAN OUTFITTERS INC's investment score of 33/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 11.3% vs. a sector average of 3.7% and a return on assets of 9.8% (sector: 3.6%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
URBN demonstrates moderate momentum with a score of 63/100, suggesting a neutral price trend without strong directional conviction. Revenue growth stands at 11.3% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.29 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Moderate momentum may indicate the stock is consolidating or transitioning between trends, warranting close monitoring of upcoming catalysts.
With a stability score of 53/100, URBN exhibits average financial resilience. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.29 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 83.00x (sector avg: 0.7x). While the balance sheet is not a major concern, the stock is subject to typical market volatility and may experience sharper drawdowns during risk-off episodes.
URBN carries a short interest score of 63/100, indicating moderate short selling activity. This is a neutral reading — not enough to signal systemic bearishness, but worth monitoring. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.29), elevated leverage (D/E: 83.00x). At $6.7B market cap (mid-cap), URBAN OUTFITTERS INC offers reasonable institutional liquidity.
URBAN OUTFITTERS INC is a mid-cap company in the Retail Trade sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1148 of 7,333 overall (84th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 18.0% exceeding the 9.6% sector median and operating margins of 10.1% above the 4.4% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Retail Trade peers.
While URBN currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the RETAIL TRADE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Retail Trade Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Value (74) vs Investment (33) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 8% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
ROE 87% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin IN LINE WITH SECTOR BENCHMARKS
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
Tech markets experienced volatility last week, with initial declines reversed by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's promising remarks about potential interest rate cuts. Nvidia's upcoming Q2 earnings report is expected to be a key catalyst for the tech sector, with analysts anticipating significant year-over-year growth.
Margaret Hayne, Co-President of Urban Outfitters, sold 18,666 shares indirectly for $1.44 million on December 9-10, 2025. The sale represented only 0.53% of her combined holdings, consistent with her recent trading patterns. Analysts view this as likely profit-taking given the stock's 190% five-year gain and current P/E ratio of 15, well below the S&P 500 average of 31.
Margaret Hayne, co-president and CCO of Urban Outfitters, sold 18,666 shares indirectly for approximately $1.5 million through trust entities. The sale follows a pre-established trading plan and represents a negligible portion of her overall holdings. Urban Outfitters stock has gained 43% over the past year, with the company recently reporting record earnings including 12% revenue growth and 49% subscription revenue growth.
While TJX Companies is a solid recession-proof retail stock with strong 2025 performance, analyst Jennifer Saibil recommends Urban Outfitters as a better buy for 2026. Urban Outfitters has delivered superior growth (224% over three years vs. TJX's gains) while trading at a significantly lower P/E ratio of 15 compared to TJX's 35, offering better value despite strong recent results.
Clothing and accessories retailer Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN) will be reporting earnings this Wednesday after market hours. Here’s what to look for.