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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2661
Positioning
Market Dominance
Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate
Trading
$21.7B
Jon Winkelried
TPG Inc. operates as an alternative asset manager worldwide. The company invests in private equity funds, real estate funds, fund of hedge funds, and credit funds. TPG offers investment management services to unconsolidated funds, collateralized loan obligations, and other vehicles.
Headcount
1.1K
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = TPG ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$SII SPROTT INC. | 75 | 91 | 87 | 98 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PUK PRUDENTIAL PLC | 73 | 88 | 97 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NMR NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | 72 | 81 | 92 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PSLV Sprott Physical Silver Trust | 69 | 82 | 80 | 98 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UFCS UNITED FIRE GROUP INC | 68 | 81 | 93 | 76 | 5.0x | 3.5x | 13.2% | 4.1% | 99.9% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 16.0x | $775M | VS | |
$SLF SUN LIFE FINANCIAL INC | 68 | 83 | 95 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. | 68 | 75 | 63 | 77 | 21.3x | 15.7x | 24.0% | 13.7% | 41.7% | 32.4% | 26.4% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 30.0x | $25.7B | VS | |
$VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. | 67 | 69 | 77 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PHYS Sprott Physical Gold Trust | 67 | 64 | 82 | 91 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GLDM World Gold Trust | 66 | 54 | 85 | 92 | 11.3x | 11.3x | - | 20.9% | 100.0% | 97.1% | 554.8% | -19.0% | 0.0% | - | $32.0B | VS | |
$TPG TPG Inc. | 46 | 76 | 55 | 33 | 23.0x | 28.7x | 7.1% | 2.2% | 100.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 64.4% | 3.3% | 42.0x | $21.7B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 11.9x | 7.8x | 9.0% | 1.3% | 77.7% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 0.5x | - | REF |
TPG Inc. (TPG) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 45.8/100. It ranks #2661 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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HQ Base
Pending Verification
Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Fair valuation relative to peers
High profitability & efficiency — strong quality floor supports entry
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for TPG.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 76 | 94 | -18DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 33 | 28 | +5NEUTRAL |
| VALUATION | 55 | 76 | -21DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 24 | 13 | +11ALPHA |
| STABILITY | 23 | 14 | +9ALPHA |
| SHORT INT | 30 | 20 | +10ALPHA |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 79.2% vs WACC 8.7% (spread +70.5%)
GM 100% vs sector 78%, OM 7% vs sector 18%
Capital turnover 7.27x
Rev growth 64%, 4yr history
Interest coverage N/A, Net debt/EBITDA 1.1x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate TPG Inc. (TPG) as a Reduce with a composite score of 45.8/100 at a current price of $43.16. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
TPG Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 45.8/100 places it at rank #2661 in our full universe.
Narrow
High
Standard
Fair Value
Gross margins of 100% signal strong pricing power.
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Vulnerability to macroeconomic shocks and interest rate volatility.
TPG Inc. represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
TPG Inc. receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 45.8/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2661 out of 7,333 stocks. TPG's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
TPG earns a quality score of 76/100, indicating above-average business quality. The company reports a return on equity of 7.1% (sector avg: 9.0%), gross margins of 100.0% (sector avg: 77.7%), net margins of 6.4% (sector avg: 21.9%). Companies in this tier generally demonstrate consistent profitability and efficient capital deployment, though they may face some competitive pressure.
TPG's value score of 55/100 indicates the stock is fairly valued based on its current fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 23.04x, an EV/EBITDA of 28.66x, a P/B ratio of 1.65x. At this level, neither a clear bargain nor overpriced, the stock's attractiveness depends more on forward growth expectations and qualitative factors.
TPG Inc.'s investment score of 24/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of 64.4% vs. a sector average of 10.7% and a return on assets of 2.2% (sector: 1.3%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
TPG is currently showing below-average momentum at 33/100, which may indicate weakening institutional interest or negative sentiment shifts. Revenue growth stands at 64.4% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.62 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. Investors should note that declining momentum can precede further price weakness, though contrarian opportunities sometimes emerge at these levels.
TPG Inc. registers a low stability score of 23/100, indicating high volatility and potentially stressed financial conditions. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.62 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 42.00x (sector avg: 0.5x). Stocks at this level carry elevated capital loss risk and may be unsuitable for conservative portfolios without careful risk management.
TPG Inc.'s short interest score of 30/100 reveals significant bearish positioning, suggesting institutional investors are actively betting against the stock. Specific risk factors include high market sensitivity (beta: 1.62), elevated leverage (D/E: 42.00x). At $21.7B (large-cap), TPG carries meaningful risk and is best suited for investors with high risk tolerance who have thoroughly evaluated the bear thesis.
TPG pays a solid dividend yield of 3.3%, contributing an income component to total returns. This compares to a sector average dividend yield of 2.0%. This moderate yield suggests a balance between returning capital to shareholders and retaining earnings for reinvestment — a common profile among quality compounders.
TPG Inc. is a large-cap company in the Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2661 of 7,333 overall (64th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 7.1% trailing the 9.0% sector median and operating margins of 6.5% below the 18.1% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate peers.
While TPG currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Stability (23) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
EV/EBITDA 269% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 21% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Gross Margin 29% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
RBC Capital analyst Bart Dziarski initiates coverage on TPG (NASDAQ:TPG) with a Outperform rating and announces Price Target of $59.
KKR has agreed to acquire a controlling stake in XCL Education Holdings, a Singapore-based K-12 education operator, at an enterprise value of approximately $1.3 billion. The stake is being sold by TPG, with KKR prevailing over other bidders including Warburg Pincus, Blackstone, and EQT AB in a competitive process. The deal is expected to close pending regulatory approvals.
Cencora agreed to acquire a majority stake in OneOncology for $5 billion, funded through new debt financing. The transaction is expected to close by the end of fiscal 2026 second quarter and is anticipated to be earnings neutral in the first twelve months.
U.S. equities posted broad-based gains on Tuesday, driven by a drop in Treasury yields and renewed optimism surrounding trade talks between the U.S. and the European Union. The S&P 500 rose 1.9%, extending May's gains to more than 6%, while technology and small-cap stocks outpaced broader benchmarks.