PRA

We rate PROASSURANCE CORP (PRA) as a Hold with a composite score of 54.2/100 at a current price of $24.48. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling for existing holders. Our factors are split, and the overall profile suggests patience is warranted.

The rating is primarily driven by strength in momentum (67th percentile) and stability (59th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. All factors score above the 40th percentile, indicating no material weakness in the quantitative profile. We assign a No Moat rating (21/100), Low uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation.

Key items to watch: whether strong momentum is fundamentally supported by revenue trends. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.

PROASSURANCE CORP holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 54.2/100 places it at rank #1365 in our full 7,333-stock universe. At $1.2B in market capitalization, PROASSURANCE CORP is a small-cap player in the Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate space, which limits certain scale advantages but may allow for more agile strategic execution.

Despite positive momentum (67th percentile), revenue contraction of -4% creates a divergence between price action and fundamental trajectory. This divergence suggests either that the market is looking through near-term weakness or that technical factors are temporarily inflating the stock. Investors should assess whether the revenue decline reflects cyclical weakness or structural challenges.

The margin cascade tells an important story: gross margins of 83% (+6.5pp vs sector) narrow to operating margins of 4% (-12.9pp vs sector) and net margins of 3.0%, yielding a gross-to-net conversion rate of 4%. The significant margin erosion from gross to net suggests elevated operating expenses, high interest costs, or other structural drags that warrant monitoring.

At a current price of $24.48, PROASSURANCE CORP is trading near fair value based on current fundamentals. Our value factor score of 40/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. Valuation metrics are mixed, with no strong signal of mispricing in either direction.

The stock currently trades at a P/E of 37.1x (a 211% premium to the sector median of 11.9x), EV/EBITDA of 36.1x (at a premium), P/B of 1.0x, P/S of 1.1x. The above-sector P/E multiple suggests the market is pricing in superior growth or quality, which our analysis finds only partially justified by current fundamentals.

We assign a Low uncertainty rating to PROASSURANCE CORP. The company exhibits strong financial stability with a beta of 0.01, conservative leverage (32% D/E), and a stability factor in the 59th percentile. The predictable nature of the business model and solid financial position reduce the range of potential outcomes, giving us confidence in our fair value estimate.

Specific risk factors that inform our assessment include: low beta of 0.01 — while defensive, this may indicate limited upside participation in bull markets. Each of these factors independently widens the distribution of potential outcomes, and in combination they create a risk profile that demands careful position sizing. The stability factor at the 59th percentile and quality factor at the 56th percentile provide a quantitative summary of the overall risk landscape.

Key risk mitigants include: healthy gross margins of 83% provide a buffer against cost pressures. These factors partially offset the identified risks and provide downside protection in adverse scenarios. On balance, the risk-reward profile is favorable for long-term investors.

We rate PROASSURANCE CORP's capital allocation as Poor. Key concerns include low returns on equity (2.6%), weak asset returns (ROA 0.6%). Exemplary capital allocators generate ROE above 20% and maintain conservative leverage — PROASSURANCE CORP significantly underperforms these benchmarks, raising questions about management's ability to create shareholder value.

Investors should scrutinize management's reinvestment decisions and balance sheet trajectory before committing capital. Poor capital allocation often compounds over time: overlevered balance sheets limit strategic flexibility, while low returns on capital destroy shareholder value. We would need to see sustained improvement in profitability metrics and balance sheet discipline before considering an upgrade.

In summary, PROASSURANCE CORP receives a Hold rating with a composite score of 54.2/100 (rank #1365 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a No Moat (21/100, trend: stable), Low uncertainty, and Poor capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 54/100.

Our analysis supports a neutral stance on PROASSURANCE CORP. While the quantitative profile is not weak enough to warrant selling, it lacks the multi-factor strength required for a buy recommendation. Existing holders should maintain positions and monitor for catalysts — either fundamental improvement or valuation compression — that would shift the risk-reward balance.