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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#1637
Positioning
Market Dominance
Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate
Trading
$3.1B
Jeremy J. Male
Outfront Media Inc. leverages the power of technology, location and creativity to connect brands with consumers outside of their homes. The company has one of the largest and most diverse sets of billboard, transit, and mobile assets in North America.
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Dates updated upon official exchange announcement.
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X-AXIS: EV/EBITDA (LOWER = CHEAPER) | Y-AXIS: ROE (HIGHER = ELITE) | RED CIRCLE = OUT ANALYSIS TARGET
| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$SII SPROTT INC. | 75 | 91 | 87 | 98 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PUK PRUDENTIAL PLC | 73 | 88 | 97 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NMR NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | 72 | 81 | 92 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PSLV Sprott Physical Silver Trust | 69 | 82 | 80 | 98 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UFCS UNITED FIRE GROUP INC | 68 | 81 | 93 | 76 | 5.0x | 3.5x | 13.2% | 4.1% | 99.9% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 16.0x | $775M | VS | |
$SLF SUN LIFE FINANCIAL INC | 68 | 83 | 95 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. | 68 | 75 | 63 | 77 | 21.3x | 15.7x | 24.0% | 13.7% | 41.7% | 32.4% | 26.4% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 30.0x | $25.7B | VS | |
$VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. | 67 | 69 | 77 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PHYS Sprott Physical Gold Trust | 67 | 64 | 82 | 91 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GLDM World Gold Trust | 66 | 54 | 85 | 92 | 11.3x | 11.3x | - | 20.9% | 100.0% | 97.1% | 554.8% | -19.0% | 0.0% | - | $32.0B | VS | |
$OUT OUTFRONT Media Inc. | 52 | 28 | 44 | 84 | 51.5x | 11.2x | 15.6% | 1.6% | 48.0% | 12.7% | 4.4% | -1.8% | 9.0% | 832.0x | $3.1B | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 11.9x | 7.8x | 9.0% | 1.3% | 77.7% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 0.5x | - | REF |
OUTFRONT Media Inc. (OUT) receives a "Hold" rating with a composite score of 52.3/100. It ranks #1637 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 3-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Outperforming peers — winners tend to keep winning over 3-12 months
Fair valuation relative to peers
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
High volatility — wider range of outcomes increases timing risk
Moderate investment profile
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for OUT.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 28 | 20 | +8ALPHA |
| MOMENTUM | 84 | 92 | -8DRAG |
| VALUATION | 44 | 53 | -9DRAG |
| INVESTMENT | 48 | 92 | -44DRAG |
| STABILITY | 34 | 26 | +8ALPHA |
| SHORT INT | 50 | 56 | -6DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
ROIC 3.2% vs WACC 7.9% (spread -4.6%)
GM 48% vs sector 78%, OM 13% vs sector 18%
Capital turnover 0.17x
Rev growth -2%, 10yr history
Interest coverage N/A, Net debt/EBITDA 21.1x
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate OUTFRONT Media Inc. (OUT) as a Hold with a composite score of 52.3/100 at a current price of $26.37. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling.
OUTFRONT Media Inc. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 52.3/100 places it at rank #1637 in our full universe.
The near-term outlook is constructive, with revenue growing at -2% and momentum in the 84th percentile confirming positive market sentiment. The combination of strong top-line growth and favorable price dynamics suggests the company is executing well on its growth strategy.
No Moat
Very High
Poor
Fair Value
Gross margins of 48% signal strong pricing power.
Returns on equity of 15.6% exceed cost of capital.
Positive momentum indicates institutional accumulation.
Elevated P/E ratio of 51.5x leaves little room for execution misses.
Leverage of 832% D/E amplifies downside risk.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
OUTFRONT Media Inc. represents a hold based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
Our model assigns OUTFRONT Media Inc. a Hold rating, with a composite score of 52.3/100 and 3 out of 5 stars. Ranked #1637 of 7,333 stocks, OUT presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to initiate new positions nor weak enough to warrant selling. Investors already holding may consider maintaining their position while monitoring for changes in the factor profile.
OUT's quality score of 28/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. The company reports a return on equity of 15.6% (sector avg: 9.0%), gross margins of 48.0% (sector avg: 77.7%), net margins of 4.4% (sector avg: 21.9%). Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
With a value score of 44/100, OUT appears somewhat expensive relative to its fundamentals. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 51.47x, an EV/EBITDA of 11.21x, a P/B ratio of 8.04x. Investors paying a premium here are likely betting on above-average growth or margin expansion to justify current prices.
With an investment score of 48/100, OUT exhibits moderate growth-oriented spending. Key growth metrics include revenue growth of -1.8% vs. a sector average of 10.7% and a return on assets of 1.6% (sector: 1.3%). The company appears to be balancing growth investments with capital returns, though the pace of investment may not be enough to accelerate top-line growth meaningfully.
OUT shows strong momentum characteristics with a score of 84/100. The stock has been trending above key moving averages, indicating solid demand from institutional buyers. Revenue growth stands at -1.8% year-over-year, while a beta of 1.22 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. This level of momentum typically signals sustained investor confidence and favorable near-term price action.
OUT's stability score of 34/100 signals elevated volatility and/or leverage concerns. Key stability metrics include a beta of 1.22 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 832.00x (sector avg: 0.5x). Investors should be prepared for wider-than-average price swings and consider position sizing accordingly to manage portfolio risk.
The short interest score of 50/100 for OUT suggests somewhat elevated bearish positioning by institutional traders. Specific risk factors include above-average market sensitivity (beta: 1.22), elevated leverage (D/E: 832.00x). With a $3.1B market cap (mid-cap), OUTFRONT Media Inc. may experience above-average volatility. Investors should consider whether the short thesis has merit or if it creates a potential short-squeeze opportunity.
OUTFRONT Media Inc. offers an attractive dividend yield of 9.0%, placing it among the higher-yielding stocks in its peer group. This compares to a sector average dividend yield of 2.0%. A yield this high can provide meaningful income, but investors should verify the payout is sustainable by examining the payout ratio, free cash flow coverage, and any history of dividend cuts.
OUTFRONT Media Inc. is a mid-cap company in the Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #1637 of 7,333 overall (78th percentile). Key comparisons include ROE of 15.6% exceeding the 9.0% sector median and operating margins of 12.7% below the 18.1% sector average. This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate peers.
While OUT currently exhibits a HOLD profile, superior opportunities exist within the FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
Key factor gap
Momentum (84) vs Quality (28) — closing this gap could shift the rating.
EV/EBITDA 44% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN
ROE 74% ABOVE SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Gross Margin 38% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081
BCE's unit Bell Media acquires OUTFRONT Media's Canada-based business in an all-cash deal worth C$410 million.
OUTFRONT Media announces the completion of the sale of its Canadian business to Bell Media for C$410 million.
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OUTFRONT Media's (OUT) diversified advertising sites and strategic investments for the digital billboard portfolio bode well. However, competition from its industry peers and high expenses are worrisome.