Equity Research Analysis: OTG Acquisition Corp. I (OTGAU)
|Blank Capital Research Unit|Spot: $10.18
Price$10.18
Composite Score44.4/100
RatingREDUCE (2★)
Rank#2895 OF 7,333
Market Cap$96M
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Verdict
Quantitative factor alignment verified for current market regime.
Quant Score
Rank
#2895
Positioning
Market Dominance
Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate
Trading
$96M
Shibin Wang
We are a blank check company newly incorporated as a Cayman corporation and formed for the purpose of effecting a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses or entities, which we refer to throughout this prospectus as our initial business combination. Our executive offices are located in Singapore.
Headcount
2
HQ Base
PALM BEACH GARDENS, Florida
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| Stock | Rating | Score▼ | Quality | Value | Momentum | P/E | EV/EBITDA | ROE | ROA | Gross Mgn | Op Mgn | Net Mgn | Rev Growth | Div Yield | D/E | Mkt Cap | AUDIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$SII SPROTT INC. | 75 | 91 | 87 | 98 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PUK PRUDENTIAL PLC | 73 | 88 | 97 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$NMR NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | 72 | 81 | 92 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PSLV Sprott Physical Silver Trust | 69 | 82 | 80 | 98 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$UFCS UNITED FIRE GROUP INC | 68 | 81 | 93 | 76 | 5.0x | 3.5x | 13.2% | 4.1% | 99.9% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 16.0x | $775M | VS | |
$SLF SUN LIFE FINANCIAL INC | 68 | 83 | 95 | 63 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. | 68 | 75 | 63 | 77 | 21.3x | 15.7x | 24.0% | 13.7% | 41.7% | 32.4% | 26.4% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 30.0x | $25.7B | VS | |
$VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. | 67 | 69 | 77 | 80 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$PHYS Sprott Physical Gold Trust | 67 | 64 | 82 | 91 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | $0 | VS | |
$GLDM World Gold Trust | 66 | 54 | 85 | 92 | 11.3x | 11.3x | - | 20.9% | 100.0% | 97.1% | 554.8% | -19.0% | 0.0% | - | $32.0B | VS | |
$OTGAU OTG Acquisition Corp. I | 44 | 34 | 25 | 27 | 107.1x | - | - | 0.4% | - | - | - | - | 0.0% | 0.0x | $96M | ||
| SECTOR BENCH | - | - | - | - | - | 11.9x | 7.8x | 9.0% | 1.3% | 77.7% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 0.5x | - | REF |
OTG Acquisition Corp. I (OTGAU) receives a "Reduce" rating with a composite score of 44.4/100. It ranks #2895 out of 7,333 stocks in our coverage universe and carries a 2-star rating. Ratings are driven by a 6-factor quantitative model measuring quality, value, momentum, investment, stability, and short interest.
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Lagging peers — losers tend to keep underperforming
Expensive relative to fundamentals — limited margin of safety
Weak fundamentals — higher risk of value trap
Low volatility — smoother ride and historically better risk-adjusted returns
Aggressive spending — empire-building risk, dilutive growth
Mid-range overall rating
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Relative valuation derived from Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector benchmarks. Model weights: EV/EBITDA (40%), P/B (35%), P/S (25%). Re-calculated daily.
Projection based on user-defined inputs. Re-calculated daily against current market data.
Reverse DCF Framework — Mauboussin Methodology
Institutional-grade Reverse DCF analysis. This model identifies the growth hurdles embedded in current market prices. When implied growth is significantly lower than historical or projected rates, a margin of safety may exist. Re-audited daily.
No analyst ratings for OTGAU.
View All Ratings| Factor | Global | Sector | Tilt |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | 34 | 64 | -30DRAG |
| MOMENTUM | 27 | 20 | +7ALPHA |
| VALUATION | 25 | 16 | +9ALPHA |
| INVESTMENT | 35 | 58 | -23DRAG |
| STABILITY | 95 | 97 | -2NEUTRAL |
| SHORT INT | 88 | 99 | -11DRAG |
Global = full universe. Sector = relative to industry peers. Positive tilt indicates idiosyncratic strength.
Insufficient data for ROIC calculation
GM N/A vs sector 78%, OM N/A vs sector 18%
Capital turnover N/A
Rev growth N/A
Interest coverage N/A
Composite assessment of profitability, capital efficiency, and financial strength. Top-tier entities demonstrate sustainable cash flow generation and elite competitive moats.
Profit generated per dollar of shareholder equity
Efficiency of asset utilization
Pricing power and cost efficiency
Core business profitability
Bottom-line profitability
The Quality factor evaluates the persistence and magnitude of realized cash flows. Companies with scores >70 exhibit superior pricing power and structural financial resilience through diverse economic regimes.
Our uncertainty rating tracks the predictability of future cash flows and potential for permanent capital loss. Moderate visibility with standard industry cyclicality.
We rate OTG Acquisition Corp. I (OTGAU) as a Reduce with a composite score of 44.4/100 at a current price of $10.18. The quantitative profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting limited upside potential.
OTG Acquisition Corp. I holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 44.4/100 places it at rank #2895 in our full universe.
No Moat
Low
Standard
Fair Value
Stable competitive position in a defensive sector.
Elevated P/E ratio of 107.1x leaves little room for execution misses.
Weak momentum suggests persistent institutional selling pressure.
Below-average quality raises earnings sustainability concerns.
OTG Acquisition Corp. I represents a reduce based on multi-factor quantitative performance.
OTG Acquisition Corp. I receives a Reduce rating from our analysis, with a composite score of 44.4/100 and 2 out of 5 stars, ranking #2895 out of 7,333 stocks. OTGAU's factor profile shows weakness across multiple dimensions, suggesting the stock may underperform going forward. Existing holders may want to consider trimming positions or tightening stop-losses.
OTGAU's quality score of 34/100 is below average, suggesting challenges with profitability or capital efficiency. Investors should examine whether management is actively addressing these weaknesses or if they reflect structural industry headwinds.
OTGAU registers a value score of just 25/100, suggesting the stock trades at a significant premium to its fundamental metrics. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 107.06x, a P/B ratio of 644.93x. High-premium valuations like this require strong future execution to avoid multiple compression, and downside risk is elevated if growth disappoints.
OTG Acquisition Corp. I's investment score of 35/100 suggests limited reinvestment activity. Key growth metrics include a return on assets of 0.4% (sector: 1.3%). While this can be positive for mature, cash-generative businesses returning capital to shareholders, it may also signal a lack of growth opportunities or management conservatism.
OTG Acquisition Corp. I is experiencing notably weak momentum with a score of just 27/100. The stock has underperformed its peers and is trending below major moving averages. Revenue growth data is not currently available, while a beta of 0.00 reflects its sensitivity to broader market moves. While deep momentum weakness can occasionally present value opportunities, it often reflects deteriorating fundamentals or structural headwinds that may persist.
OTG Acquisition Corp. I earns an excellent stability score of 95/100, reflecting low price volatility and a conservatively managed balance sheet. Key stability metrics include a beta of 0.00 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00x (sector avg: 0.5x). Stocks with this level of stability tend to act as portfolio anchors, providing downside protection during market corrections while still participating in broad market advances.
OTGAU's short interest factor score of 88/100 indicates very low short selling activity relative to peers — a positive signal suggesting institutional investors see limited near-term downside. Specific risk factors include micro-cap liquidity risk. As a micro-cap company with a market capitalization of $96M, OTG Acquisition Corp. I benefits from the generally lower volatility and deeper liquidity associated with its size class.
OTG Acquisition Corp. I is a micro-cap company in the Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate sector, ranked #0 of 50 in its sector (100th percentile) and #2895 of 7,333 overall (61st percentile). This top-quartile standing reflects exceptional competitive strength relative to Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate peers.
While OTGAU currently exhibits a REDUCE profile, superior opportunities exist within the FINANCE, INSURANCE, AND REAL ESTATE sector. Our model identifies several "Strong Buy" candidates with higher quality scores and more attractive valuations among direct industry competitors.
View Top Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate Alpha →Quant Factor Profile
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Improvement in Value (25) would have the largest impact on the composite score.
Debt/Equity 100% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN (FAVORABLE)
Div. Yield 100% BELOW SECTOR MEDIAN
NEW YORK, Oct. 29, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- OTG Acquisition Corp. I (Nasdaq: OTGAU) (the “Company”), a special purpose acquisition company, today announced that, commencing on or about November 3, 2025, holders of the units sold in the Company’s initial public offering completed on September 15, 2025 (the “offering”), may elect to separately trade the ordinary shares and warrants included in the units. No fractional warrants will be issued upon separation of the units and only whole warrants wil
Expedition Infrastructure Partners ("XIP") is pleased to announce its role as strategic institutional advisor to OTG Acquisition Corp. I (NASDAQ: OTGAU, "OTG"), which has raised $230 million in its recently closed initial public offering. OTG is targeting businesses across the Digital Infrastructure Services sector, a market experiencing unprecedented growth driven by data proliferation, artificial intelligence, high-performance computing, and ubiquitous connectivity.
Above 50MA
37.18%
Net New Highs
+51081