OMC

We rate OMNICOM GROUP INC. (OMC) as a Hold with a composite score of 59.9/100 at a current price of $82.66. The stock presents a mixed quantitative picture — neither compelling enough to warrant new accumulation nor weak enough to justify selling for existing holders. Our factors are split, and the overall profile suggests patience is warranted.

The rating is primarily driven by strength in value (79th percentile) and stability (74th percentile), which together account for the majority of the composite score. All factors score above the 40th percentile, indicating no material weakness in the quantitative profile. We assign a No Moat rating (39/100), Low uncertainty, and Standard capital allocation.

Key items to watch: whether strong momentum is fundamentally supported by revenue trends. Any material change in these dynamics could warrant a reassessment of our rating. The moat trend is stable, which suggests the competitive landscape is stable for now.

OMNICOM GROUP INC. holds a top-quartile position (#0 of 50) within the Services sector, based on our composite quantitative scoring across quality, value, momentum, and stability factors. The composite score of 59.9/100 places it at rank #703 in our full 7,333-stock universe. With a $15.8B market capitalization, OMNICOM GROUP INC. operates at meaningful scale within the Services sector, providing competitive advantages in distribution, procurement, and customer reach.

The outlook is moderately positive, with revenue expanding at 5% and favorable momentum (71th percentile) reflecting constructive market sentiment. The business shows steady execution, though the growth rate is below the levels typically associated with high-conviction growth stories. Momentum confirmation provides support for the current price level.

The margin cascade tells an important story: gross margins of 18% (-41.6pp vs sector) narrow to operating margins of 13% (+9.4pp vs sector) and net margins of 8.7%, yielding a gross-to-net conversion rate of 48%. This efficient conversion suggests well-controlled operating costs and limited margin leakage between the gross and net levels.

At a current price of $82.66, OMNICOM GROUP INC. appears undervalued relative to its fundamentals. Our value factor score of 79/100 reflects a composite assessment across multiple valuation metrics including price-to-earnings, price-to-book, EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios relative to both sector peers and the broader market. The stock screens as attractively priced on a majority of these measures, suggesting the market may be underappreciating the underlying fundamentals.

The stock currently trades at a P/E of 19.4x (roughly in line with the sector median of 23.7x), EV/EBITDA of 15.7x (at a premium), P/B of 2.1x, P/S of 1.7x. The below-sector P/E suggests possible undervaluation or the market pricing in near-term headwinds.

We assign a Low uncertainty rating to OMNICOM GROUP INC.. The company exhibits strong financial stability with a beta of 0.73, and a stability factor in the 74th percentile. The predictable nature of the business model and solid financial position reduce the range of potential outcomes, giving us confidence in our fair value estimate.

We identify no major risk factors at this time. The company's stability factor sits at the 74th percentile with quality at the 52th percentile, both of which support our low-risk assessment. The absence of material leverage, profitability, or volatility concerns reduces the likelihood of a permanent capital loss scenario.

Key risk mitigants include: above-average stability (74th percentile) suggests predictable business dynamics; a 4.29% dividend yield anchors total return. These factors partially offset the identified risks and provide downside protection in adverse scenarios. On balance, the risk-reward profile is favorable for long-term investors.

We rate OMNICOM GROUP INC.'s capital allocation as Standard. Management has shown adequate — though not exceptional — stewardship of shareholder capital. Returns on equity stand at 10.7%, and the balance sheet is managed within acceptable parameters (D/E: 73%). Exemplary allocators typically sustain ROE above 20% and D/E below 50%; OMNICOM GROUP INC. falls short on at least one dimension.

There is room for improvement in optimizing the capital structure or enhancing shareholder returns. The 4.29% dividend yield provides some income return, but the overall capital allocation framework would benefit from either higher reinvestment returns, improved balance sheet efficiency, or increased shareholder distributions. We will monitor for signs of strategic improvement that could warrant an upgrade.

In summary, OMNICOM GROUP INC. receives a Hold rating with a composite score of 59.9/100 (rank #703 of 7,333). Our quantitative framework assigns a No Moat (39/100, trend: stable), Low uncertainty, and Standard capital allocation. The average factor score across quality, value, momentum, stability, and investment is 65/100.

Our analysis supports a neutral stance on OMNICOM GROUP INC.. While the quantitative profile is not weak enough to warrant selling, it lacks the multi-factor strength required for a buy recommendation. Existing holders should maintain positions and monitor for catalysts — either fundamental improvement or valuation compression — that would shift the risk-reward balance.